Latino Vote Realignment (CA) (user search)
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Author Topic: Latino Vote Realignment (CA)  (Read 1944 times)
TodayJunior
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Posts: 1,620
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« on: September 15, 2021, 04:28:30 PM »
« edited: September 15, 2021, 04:40:02 PM by TodayJunior »

Democrats win, we all know that, but, those horrible margins with the Latino vote mean a total political realignment?
If you're talking ONLY California, probably a net zero since it looks like Latino-gains are being offset by losses in college-educated whites. I say this bc the margin is almost identical to 2020.

However, if we expand this to include other states, it could make a difference in certain places with high concentration of Latino voters in the first place, but where there also isn't much of an opposite trend in other demographics like the aforementioned white college-educated men/women. That could swing Nevada eventually, and Florida is one for sure (though Cubans are almost always overwhelming Republican and the main driver here). However, in places like Texas/Arizona, it appears these following the same trendlines in California, albeit, much more slowly.
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