Florida 2022 Megathread

[TodayJunior]

How did Fried win in 2018

WEED

Weed indeed with Fried. But yeah this is such a disappointment.

[TodayJunior]

Overall, not a terrible night…..Max Frost winning is a huge upset in FL-10!!! Fried bombed worse than expected, and my longtime friend won her judgeship! 2/3 ain’t bad! On to November!!!!

[TodayJunior]

Does Val Demings have any serious chance against Marco Rubio? I'm guessing no?

Uphill battle for sure, but if central Florida can turnout in record numbers, which it did tonight, and maybe a little help from Marco’s lackluster campaigning, she may get within 3, enough to make him sweat profusely…She ran in the wrong year though. But she’s not a bad candidate. She will outrun Crist.

I’d like to see her run against Tricky Ricky in 2024. Presidential year, larger turnout overall could help her win.

[TodayJunior]

Does Val Demings have any serious chance against Marco Rubio? I'm guessing no?

Uphill battle for sure, but if central Florida can turnout in record numbers, which it did tonight, and maybe a little help from Marco’s lackluster campaigning, she may get within 3, enough to make him sweat profusely…She ran in the wrong year though. But she’s not a bad candidate. She will outrun Crist.

Uh didn’t FL-10 just have some really poor turnout despite the competitive primary? Most of the high turnout in central FL was in R areas lol

Overall not really. I was heavily invested in my friends judicial race and the total vote was 150k (she got 99k), up from 120k in 2020. Could be a one off, but nevertheless more participation is always encouraging for democracy!

And as you all can see, I changed my registration (and avatar) to Democrat for the purposes of 2022….I had to in order to vote in the primary. Don’t be mistaken though, I’m not in love with either side.

[TodayJunior]

Most people I talk to are in the “mushy middle” on this issue. Florida is by and large a “moderate” state with some fringes on either side. Same with abortion, there’s the complete ban at conception on one end and partial birth abortion at the other. Right now, our right to privacy essentially protects abortion all the way up to birth, but the proposed 15 week ban isn’t exactly what I’d call fringe, but it is highly restrictive. Fetal Viability is a reasonable position I think a majority of Americans can get onboard with.

it’s a mixed bag as to which side ultimately benefits from the roe fallout IMHO.

[TodayJunior]

Meanwhile...

https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1562452608765542400
Hello Charlie? This is not 2014 or 2018 when your State had more Democrats.

Calling out DeSantis Supporters "Haters" & playing the Hillary Clinton Deplorable Card sure will help you.

Does it change the trajectory though? It’s not like this is going to suddenly win over new people to Ron or vice versa. Now I personally think Crist is correct here, but it doesn’t move the needle. People who are voting for DeSantis are voting FOR him. People who are voting for Crist are voting AGAINST DeSantis by and large. The primary results alone prove that people wanted someone who can best beat Ron, which is probably not going to work here as it would in other states (trump v Biden)

[TodayJunior]

Meanwhile...

https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1562452608765542400
Hello Charlie? This is not 2014 or 2018 when your State had more Democrats.

Calling out DeSantis Supporters "Haters" & playing the Hillary Clinton Deplorable Card sure will help you.

Does it change the trajectory though? It’s not like this is going to suddenly win over new people to Ron or vice versa. Now I personally think Crist is correct here, but it doesn’t move the needle. People who are voting for DeSantis are voting FOR him. People who are voting for Crist are voting AGAINST DeSantis by and large. The primary results alone prove that people wanted someone who can best beat Ron, which is probably not going to work here as it would in other states (trump v Biden)

And yet with no Major Statewide Primary on the Republican Side Republicans outvoted Democrats 1,7M to 1,5M

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1562548562139185154


If DeSantis is such a hated Human Being I would have thought D-Turnout to be even higher.

The Problem for Crist is he needs significant Crossover Support to win and comments like that will make it harder + he needs significant support from the NPA Voters (Gillum & Nelson won them by 10 Points in 2018).

Polls have shown DeSantis leading with Independents and now Democrats because of NY-19 and other metrics all of the sudden thinking they will change their mind.

It’s a closed primary, so of those who did vote in the Democratic primary, I’m saying most wanted someone they thought was electable, ie whoever is the best to beat Ron. Dems went with the opposite approach (establishment) as opposed to last time (progressive). Im not talking about raw numbers. I’m well aware of the Republican gains statewide. As far as the hatred argument goes, that’s a matter of opinion.

[TodayJunior]

@RollRoons,
I cannot wait to see this flashing on my Screen on November 8th

Chill the f out dude.

[TodayJunior]

This is a full blown apocalyptic 10.5 earthquake. Going to bed early tonight. Congrats, Republicans. You definitely earned this one.

[TodayJunior]

All righty I will concede Florida is now a red state. A 20-point margin is just brutal. But better results everywhere else. Nice to see.

[TodayJunior]

If I were DeSantis I’d just go ahead and declare my 2024 candidacy sometime this week. He should beat Trump to it IMO.

Considering he’s really the only one that shines through a pretty mehhhhh result for the republicans, yeah he’ll probably go for it. He may not be able to refuse it. It was a shellacking here and Dems should be very afraid should Biden step down. That said, I still think Biden would have the edge against DeSantis, but not Harris or any other Dem who wouldn’t have the incumbency advantage.