Respect for Marriage Act (user search)
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Author Topic: Respect for Marriage Act  (Read 6643 times)
Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« on: September 17, 2022, 08:02:23 PM »

Portman's the only plausible GOP vote for a cloture vote here, let alone for actually passing the bill, and that's specifically because his son is gay. Everyone else will vote no (even Murkowski), and if Portman didn't have the immediate gay relative, he'd probably be a no vote too.

Collins?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2022, 01:15:33 AM »

My very early prediction, assuming the Collins amendment is added to the bill:

Collins
Murkowski
Portman
Tillis
Scott (FL)
Ernst
Toomey
Romney
Capito
Johnson

On the bubble (3 of them will vote yes):
Fischer
Cramer
Tuberville
Sullivan
Burr
Lummis

Fringey (1 of them will vote yes)
Rubio
Thune
McConnell
Crapo

Tuberville!? Lummis!? Rick Scott? Johnson?
Johnson and Tuberville made vaguely supportive noises a while back. Scott represents Florida. Lummis is a woman representing a sparsely populated, libertarian leaning western state. I have a gut feeling for some reason. A lot of this is based on extrapolating from the sorts of people that voted Yes in the House.

Close to 40% of Republicans outside the South/Bible Belt voted for it in the House.  Virtually no Republicans from the South voted for it, on the other hand.  I think you need to factor in regional politics, which would take someone like Tuberville off the board.

Tuberville said he was open to it. He's not you in the sense that he doesn't actively care much what people different than him in a different state a thousand miles away do in the privacy of their own homes.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2022, 01:18:14 AM »

When this inevitably passes, I hope - genuinely hope - that the GOP runs on trying to repeal it. I really, really hope they do that. It's a very good, fantastic idea.

If there was any appetite in the Republican Party for relitigating gay marriage, this bill wouldn’t even be discussed.

I don't doubt that it's fairly well-accepted, but Shapiro's reaction has already indicated that the America First wing is not going to be happy about it, and they still hold enough own-goaling power in the GOP to make a losing stink out of it.

There is even a division within the America First faction. Shapiro and the rest of the band of idiots like Matt Walsh and Steven Crowder are religious nuts, while the younger, less well off contingent are relatively fine with gay people as long as they can go back to hating women and minorities.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #3 on: November 17, 2022, 02:42:17 AM »

Sinema is such an embarrassment



Is there an LGBTQ equivalent of calling someone an Uncle Tom?

'Lindsey Graham'
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2022, 10:36:21 PM »


Hmmm...what happened to this Joe Biden?

16 years of political changes, introspection, and personal growth.

Try it out.

I'm not quite as old as Joe Biden, but as an old man, I don't see how opinions can change that quickly on a topic like that.

Do you honest to god believe that you'll have the exact same set of beliefs that you do right now in 2038?

Statistics show Klan members are more likely to retain their beliefs long-term.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2022, 11:33:08 PM »



Actually the younger fascist GOP crowd is much less anti-gay marriage than previous generations, as they prefer to focus their irrational hatred on Muslims, women, and people of color.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,357
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #6 on: November 30, 2022, 11:47:16 AM »

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