2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85953 times)
Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #75 on: June 07, 2022, 08:28:41 PM »
Cassidy: 4,395 (47.6%)
Guest: 3,978 (43.1%)
16.6% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #76 on: June 07, 2022, 08:33:37 PM »
Cassidy: 5,717 (47.9%)
Guest: 5,162 (43.2%)
21.5% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #77 on: June 07, 2022, 08:51:48 PM »
Cassidy: 8,237 (48.2%)
Guest: 7,515 (44.0%)
30.4% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #78 on: June 07, 2022, 08:56:24 PM »
Cassidy: 12,665 (49.2%)
Guest*: 11,485 (44.6%)
45.9% IN

Runoff at least.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #79 on: June 07, 2022, 09:10:14 PM »
Cassidy: 14,656 (48.5%)
Guest*: 13,686 (45.3%)
53.0% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #80 on: June 07, 2022, 09:43:15 PM »
Cassidy: 16,389 (48.6%)
Guest*: 15,281 (45.3%)
59.5% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #81 on: June 07, 2022, 09:50:12 PM »
Cassidy: 16,551 (48.5%)
Guest*: 15,482 (45.4%)
60.3% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #82 on: June 07, 2022, 09:55:24 PM »
Guest*: 22,277 (51.2%)
Cassidy: 19,025 (43.7%)
77% IN
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #83 on: June 07, 2022, 11:08:01 PM »
Michael Cassidy: 21,312 (47.8%)
Michael Guest*: 20,784 (46.6%)
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #84 on: June 07, 2022, 11:09:14 PM »
Quote from: Drumpf is a RINO on June 07, 2022, 10:52:15 PM
Will Tony Thurmond get a majority and avoid a runoff for Superintendent of Public Instruction?

If he gets above 50% he fights the second top vote getter in November.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #85 on: June 07, 2022, 11:23:48 PM »
Would Mathys be more likely to lose?

WTF is going on in CA-04? The Dems are above 50%.

Anyway, Bera is close to 60%, which is good news.

Adam Gray is unexpected in CA-13. Not just the 55% total D vote but the fact that Arballo was my favorite to win the runoff spot because of name recognition.

Rishi Kumar is at 15%, lol. One of my colleagues when I wrote policy briefs was on that one.

While it's a longshot, McCarthy is only at 52%, and it would be fun if he had to divert the sex party money to his campaign.

Connie Conway is only at 57%, which is not good for a R+11 district (old map in effect)

Obernolte and therefore the GOP are at 51.6% in a R+15 district, lol

Pieman told me that Brownley was in danger but she's at 60%, so she was wrong.

The GOP is combining for 43% in CA-27, but the Christy Smith F**k-Up Factor brings that to about 55%.

Hopefully David Kim topples Gomez, looks like he'll get the second spot.

Dems are at 55% in the 41st.

Jay Chen is DOA, can't even get 50% before the ED

Porter at 60% lol

REMINDER TO SUBTRACT A FEW POINTS FROM Ds
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #86 on: June 07, 2022, 11:25:14 PM »
NOTE FOR EVERYONE:

CA is mail-in heavy. Everyone got one. While subtracting some for the E-day vote is good, at this point a Dem candidate won't be losing like 15%.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #87 on: June 08, 2022, 12:37:45 AM »
Wow this is a complete mess.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #88 on: June 08, 2022, 01:10:38 AM »
Wow. Who came up with the 'Bonta will lose' theory? He's outperforming several elected officials.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #89 on: June 08, 2022, 01:14:38 AM »
LOL at Mike Garcia being at 42.8%

Looks like Levin will stay above 50%
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #90 on: June 15, 2022, 01:24:55 AM »
Quote from: Huey Long is a Republican on June 14, 2022, 10:10:16 PM
Quote from: Open Border Advocate (Any/All) on June 14, 2022, 05:55:55 PM
Also just so y’all don’t get yer knickers in a twist I’ll remind you SC is a 50+1% to win primary state.  

Rice is either going to win or go to a runoff tonight. I’d be shocked if Fry (or anyone else) clears 50% with the crowded field. Arthur has been putting a lot of big ads across Horry so I wouldn’t be shocked if she got 10%.

How'd that work out for you?

Quote from: 2016 on June 14, 2022, 09:34:49 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on June 14, 2022, 09:28:13 PM
DDHQ says Beaufort finally dropped and Mace won it 52-46. That should be the ballgame.
Nikki Haley campaigned for Nancy Mace A LOT in the last couple of weeks + Nikki lives in her District. That certainly helped Nancy!

Oh well, here's to getting rid of her in 2024!

Fry is like less than 2% over 50%. He'll win, but it's not an 'own'
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #91 on: July 19, 2022, 09:22:33 PM »
Would mail-ins benefit Schulz? I assume since more educated people would vote for her and educated people are more likely to use mail in?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #92 on: August 02, 2022, 05:22:28 PM »
where is the best place to watch for results?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #93 on: August 02, 2022, 07:18:18 PM »
First Kansas results coming in. Nothing for the Abortion referendum though.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #94 on: August 02, 2022, 07:18:55 PM »
NVM no up 70%-30%
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #95 on: August 02, 2022, 07:21:11 PM »
Tlaib is probably going to win but coming under 50% would be embarrassing.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #96 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:43 PM »
No up 70%-30% in Shawnee, which only went 50-47 for Biden. Although that was the first time it went D in decades.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #97 on: August 02, 2022, 07:27:28 PM »
No now up 73.4%-26.6%
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #98 on: August 02, 2022, 07:30:42 PM »
The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,334
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #99 on: August 02, 2022, 07:31:42 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:30:52 PM
"Yes" has crashed to 11c on Predictit, which is known to swing wildly on election nights.

I made $100 off of it during the 2020 cycle after it crashed during the early returns.
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