2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 86555 times)
Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #125 on: August 02, 2022, 08:47:26 PM »

Well, I hope you enjoyed VA-2021 Republicans. It was fun while it lasted. Every other election night for you since 2016 has pretty much been a massive L.

Can you please be nicer? There’s no need to call names or taunt anybody

Can you please be nicer? There's no need to deny 10-year old rape victims abortions.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #126 on: August 02, 2022, 08:48:46 PM »

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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #127 on: August 02, 2022, 08:49:19 PM »

Am i really more right wing on this issue than the average Kansas Republican. Like I really am stunned on this

No, but probably as opposed to independents. It's probably mostly turnout.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #128 on: August 02, 2022, 08:56:17 PM »

Why did "The Devil Went Down to Georgia" start running through my head?

Oh, the flashbacks of sweet, sweet victory...

Funny I just put on an Appleseed Cast album. You see I always play a band from the most relevant state when watching election results, so we need a Kansas soundtrack!

This is the new Kansas soundtrack:


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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #129 on: August 02, 2022, 09:01:07 PM »

Kobach down to 2.5%
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #130 on: August 02, 2022, 09:02:02 PM »

LOL WAIT Kobach is now losing by 2%!!!!!!!!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #131 on: August 02, 2022, 09:08:50 PM »

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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #132 on: August 02, 2022, 09:20:33 PM »

I used to be in the camp that thought Dobbs would be a moderate help to Democrats this fall. I thought we were still going to lose the House, but I thought the abortion issue might help around the margins. I thought it might keep us the Senate or some Governors. Sure, most people are voting on the economy and not abortion, but I figured it might move some at the margins.

After tonight? I think it's going to be much more important. We are seeing near-Presidential turnout for otherwise sleepy primaries in August 2022. The 'No' vote is outrunning Biden by what, 20 points? And this is just for removing the Constitutional protection for abortion. This isn't about some total abortion ban nightmare bill. This is the bare-minimum pro-life proposal.

This might age terribly, but who cares: If this Midterm becomes an election about abortion, I don't see how Democrats can lose.

DNC: "But what if we tried?"
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #133 on: August 02, 2022, 09:26:02 PM »

Meijer to 49.5%.


You've shiften from a negative PC Social score to a solid mid-2 score.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #134 on: August 02, 2022, 09:33:36 PM »

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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #135 on: August 02, 2022, 09:39:21 PM »

NYT Calls it for No!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #136 on: August 02, 2022, 09:41:36 PM »

I mean is this that different from Medicaid expansion referedums where if the emphasis is on one issue they all vote for it.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #137 on: August 02, 2022, 09:58:32 PM »

Credit where it is due: Kunce is making this a much closer race against Busch Valentine than I initially thought.

I could see him winning Cleaver's seat when he retires. If he were in a friendlier state his future would be even brighter.
For some reason I thought that district was majority/plurality Black. But yeah, he'd be a great candidate to face Jacob Turk in 2024, 2026, and beyond.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #138 on: August 03, 2022, 12:55:55 AM »


Or KKforK (KKK)
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #139 on: August 03, 2022, 01:08:57 AM »



Swing map.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #140 on: August 09, 2022, 08:38:20 PM »

FIRST MN-01 RESULTS:

Brad Finstad (R)- 547 (72.7%)
Jeff Ettinger (D)- 200 (26.6%)
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #141 on: August 09, 2022, 08:40:37 PM »

Even a 4% underperformance is actually indicative of an even national environment.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #142 on: August 09, 2022, 08:43:34 PM »

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #143 on: August 09, 2022, 08:49:00 PM »

Wow, let’s go, uh, whoever the hell Don Samuels is!
He's a former City Council member and a bit of a washed up hack who was on the right wing of municipal politics, and was involved in an accident where a child drowned under his care. He ran for mayor in 2013 as the most conservative major candidate. He did once speak at my church in a roundtable thing (one of our most notable speakers) so he has that going for him, but my vote for him was quite reluctant.

Omar's up by 3 with over 85% in so she probably has it but considering how weak Samuels was this definitely puts a target on her back in 2024.

Omar under performs in Generals, she under performs in Primaries...what good is she?  I've never been much of a fan really.

She's also a combination of everything Republicans hate, and they use her with some success for turnout.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #144 on: August 09, 2022, 08:52:59 PM »

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

Genuine question, what the actual hell is wrong with you? That is not a rhetorical question. I am genuinely curious.

Maybe he just wants to set the bar so low he'll be pleasantly surprised when the Dems don't do as bad.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #145 on: August 09, 2022, 08:54:55 PM »

Have the Republicans in the WOW counties gone full MAGA or have all the reasonable ones left the party? Kleefisch should be doing much much better in them.

The WI-GOP are one of the more insane state franchises.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #146 on: August 09, 2022, 08:57:18 PM »

Klarides losing in Connecticut. Nolan losing in Vermont. Kleefisch losing in Wisconsin. WHY WOULD DEMOCRATS DO THIS?Huh?
Dark Brandon works in mysterious ways Smiley
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #147 on: August 09, 2022, 09:00:30 PM »

MN-01 RETURNS:

Brad Finstad (R)- 2,739 (58.4%)
Jeff Ettinger (D)- 1,829 (39.0%)
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #148 on: August 09, 2022, 09:05:28 PM »

MN-01 RETURNS:

Brad Finstad (R)- 3,587 (60.1%)
Jeff Ettinger (D)- 2,217 (37.2%)
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,340
Norway


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
« Reply #149 on: August 09, 2022, 09:06:22 PM »

Rock County seems to be all in and Finstad did slightly underrun Trump 2020.

All I've learned in elections since 2020 is that % of vote in projections are always incredibly off.
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