Either one Sununu or Ayotte will easily win if this is anywhere close to a normal midterm, NH is no where no blue enough to survive a national R wave and the state is also quite elastic and is prone to wild swings. If 2022 as expected is an R tsunami, there's basically no way Hassan wins unless the Republican has a massive scandal.
This is one hell of an overrecation.
R tsunami based on what? A 23 candidate special all-party primary?
Hassan is only in trouble because maybe Sununu and his hold on galaxy brained ticket splitters.
Based on what normally happens in midterms
Normally happens in midterms?
Did the 2018 Dems, 2010 R's, or 2006/08 Dems literally ATTEMPT A COUP?!?!?!? No, you will not be seeing a 40+ swing like previous elections. Even the 23 candidate primary showed a neutral environment, which is similar to what 2020 was like. The Republicans will likely take back the house, but only because gaining a few seats would do so. Plus, gerrymandering will be less hard on dems since the state legislatures aren't as bad as 2010.
