Ontario Election 2022 (user search)
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May 25, 2024, 09:45:28 PM
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Author Topic: Ontario Election 2022  (Read 38709 times)
Central Lake
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Posts: 107
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« on: May 10, 2022, 09:50:28 AM »

I don't think PCs will leak that much to the right. In addition to most of the COVID-related mandates being lifted, Doug Ford won't say things like

"This is not your dad's conservative party anymore"
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2022, 07:39:58 PM »

Del Duca is not going to even win Woodbridge, is he?

He could win it but the Conservatives are favoured to hold it.
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2022, 11:19:33 AM »

Touching 40% is a good sign from a conservative standpoint.
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2022, 01:30:42 PM »

Will a election results thread be created
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2022, 09:54:40 PM »

If not for Oshawa the 905 would have been aesthetic to look at. Almost a PC sweep.
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #5 on: June 02, 2022, 10:24:37 PM »

Bit surprised by how well CONs did in Windsor Tecumseh
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2022, 03:30:00 PM »

Liberal showings in Milton continue to surprise me. I know the town has grown a lot recently and isn't what it used to be, a lot of Mississauga exodus happening there. There's a booming South Asian community there, which has been good for the LPC and bad for the CPC federally; though of course, longtime residents of Milton are more like exurban Tories than suburban Grits. So you'd think at the very least, Milton would be a safer hold for the PCs than the Mississauga ridings - to the contrary, the Liberals did better there than anywhere in Mississauga!

If you had told me yesterday that the Tories would get the same share of the vote in Milton as in Brampton East, I would have assumed you were smoking something very strong.

It is also possible that whites in Milton are shifting left. Theoretically it is possible that old time white residents are moving towards the LPC and there is a influx of LPC leaning South Asians at the same time.
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Central Lake
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Posts: 107
Canada


« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2022, 03:06:54 PM »

Looking at the Tory gains, here's when they last won those ridings (or their nearest equivalents):

Brampton Centre - 1999
Brampton East - 1999 (as Bramalea - Gore - Malton - Springdale)
Brampton North - 1999 (as Brampton Centre)
Essex - 1959 (as Essex South)
Hamilton East - Stoney Creek - 1951 (as Wentworth)
Thunder Bay - Atikokan - 1985 (as Fort William)
Timmins - 1987 (as Cochrane South)
Windsor - Tecumseh - 1929 (as Essex North)
York South - Weston - 1951 (as York South)

Interesting. Taking note of adma's post When did the following ridings (or nearest equivalents) last go Tory provincially?
Niagara Falls
Niagara Centre
Nickel Belt
Timmins Cochrane
Algoma Manitoulin
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