The Delegate Fight: 2016

[Erc]

Texas (R): March 1

Overview
155 Delegates (6.27% of total)
Open Primary
108 District (Winner-Take-Most, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)
47 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold)

Delegate Allocation

Three delegates are awarded from each of Texas' 36 Congressional Districts.  If a candidate gets a majority of the vote in a CD they receive all 3 delegates.  Otherwise, the first place finisher receives two delegates while the runner-up receives one.

If a candidate receives a majority of the statewide vote, they receive all 47 At-Large delegates.  Otherwise, they are allocated among all candidates clearing 20%, proportional to their vote share among the threshold-clearing candidates.  All fractions are rounded down.  Any delegates left over after rounding are given one at a time to the highest placing candidates, in order, until all delegates are allocated.  If only one candidate places above 20% but no one has a majority, delegates are allocated proportionally between the winner and the runner-up in the same fashion.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the State Convention on May 14.

Results (3/2)

At-Large, Rubio failed to meet the threshold, and Cruz wins 30 to Trump's 17 delegates.

Cruz won all the CDs, including majorities in CDs 1 and 29, picking up another 74 delegates.

Rubio placed 2nd and above threshold in CDs 7, 16, and 32, picking up 3 delegates.

Trump placed 2nd in the remaining CDs, picking up 31 additional delegates.

Totals: Cruz 104, Trump 48, Rubio 3.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate withdraws, dies, or releases them.  Delegates are also bound on the second ballot if their candidate receives 20% of the total vote on the first ballot.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: TX-R
Frontloading HQ: TX
TX GOP Rules

[Erc]

Vermont (R): March 1

Overview
16 Delegates (0.65% of total)
Open Primary
16 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 16 delegates.  Otherwise, the delegates are allocated among all candidates meeting a 20% threshold, proportional to the share of the vote among all threshold-meeting candidates.  Delegates are rounded to the nearest whole number; rounding errors are resolved by giving delegates to the winner or subtracting delegates from the lowest-placed finisher, as appropriate.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the State Convention on May 21.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot unless their candidate withdraws, suspends his campaign, or is not placed in nomination.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: VT-R
Frontloading HQ: VT
VT GOP Rules

[Erc]

Virginia (R): March 1

Overview
49 Delegates (1.98% of total)
Open Primary
49 At-Large (Proportional, no threshold)

Delegate Allocation

Delegates are allocated among all candidates, proportional to their share of the vote.  Delegates are rounded to the nearest whole number; rounding errors are resolved by giving delegates to (or taking them from) the candidates closest to (or furthest from) receiving an additional delegate.

Note that this mean any candidate receiving at least 1.02% of the vote (up to rounding errors) will be entitled to a delegate.  This raises the remote possibility that one of the dropouts could get a delegate (compare Paul's 0.7% result in New Hampshire). GILMENTUM?

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the Congressional District Conventions from March through May, and by the State Convention on April 30.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot.  It seems that delegates bound to withdrawn candidates are still bound.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: VA-R
Frontloading HQ: VA
VA Delegate Allocation: GOP

[Erc]

Wyoming (R): February 16-April 16

Overview
29 Delegates (1.17% of total)
Closed Caucus (non-binding)
12 County
14 At-Large
3 RNC Members

Details

Wyoming, like Colorado and North Dakota, elected not to hold a Presidential Preference Poll at this year's caucus.  As a result, we will know next to nothing about the results on the night of the caucus itself.

Precinct caucuses are held across the state on a number of different days, currently ranging from February 16 (in Niobrara County) to March 1.  These elect delegates to the County Conventions; note that there is often only one precinct per county in Wyoming.

The 23 various County Conventions are held on March 12.  Twelve of these counties will select a delegate to Cleveland (Albany, Sweetwater, Uinta, Teton, Fremont, Hotsprings, Sheridan Platte, Campbell, Crook, Converse, Goshen, and Laramie) and twelve will select an alternate (the other eleven counties and Laramie again).  The county conventions also elect delegates to the State Convention (numbers shown here).  

The remaining 14 delegates are selected at the State Convention on April 14.   A slate of delegates is drawn up by the Nominating/Elections committee, though more names may be added from the floor.  All delegate candidates at the State Convention must inform the Convention of their Presidential Preference.

Candidates for National Convention Delegate may pledge themselves to a candidate prior to their nomination; according to their process submission to the RNC, this pledge is binding, though completely optional.  It is unclear how many ballots such a pledge is binding for.  If a candidate "isn't in the race in July," they are freed from their pledge, according to WY GOP chairman Matt Micheli.

RNC Members (unbound)

Matt Micheli
Marti Halverson
Greg Schaefer

County Convention Results (March 12)

Cruz 9 - Rubio 1 - Trump 1 - Uncommitted 1

Based on these results, I'm projecting a Cruz sweep of all 14 delegates at the State Convention.

Delegates:

Rubio (1):
Tammy Hooper - Cruz

Uncommitted (1):
Ogden Driskill.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: WY-R
Frontloading HQ: WY
WY GOP Bylaws
WY GOP Convention Details
Wyoming Precinct Caucus Schedule
RNC Process Book

[Erc]

March 1 Democratic Primaries: Part I

Delegate Allocation Overview

Unlike for the Republicans, where the specific math varies from state to state, the system for the Democrats is largely uniform.  In each jurisdiction (each CD, At-Large, and PLEO At-Large), the delegates are allocated among candidates meeting a 15% threshold, proportional to their share of the vote among candidates meeting that threshold.  Fractional delegates are rounded up, starting with the largest remainder, until all delegates are assigned.

Alabama (D)

Overview
60 Delegates (1.26% of total)
Open Primary
11 At-Large
7 PLEO At-Large
35 by CD
7 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 11 and 7 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 1; 5 for CDs 1, 2, 3; 4 for CDs 4, 5; 3 for CD 6.

Superdelegates

Clinton (4): Rep. Terri Sewell, Randy Kelley, Unzell Kelley, Janet May

Uncommitted (3): Chair Nancy Worley, Darryl Sinkfield, Vice Chair (Vacant)

The Green Papers: AL-D

American Samoa (D)

Overview
10 Delegates (0.21% of total)
Open Caucus
6 At-Large
4 Superdelegates

Details

The caucus takes place at the Tradewinds Hotel in Ottoville Village near Pago Pago.  6 delegates are allocated proportionally on the basis of the caucus vote.

Superdelegates

Clinton (4): Chair Fagafaga Daniel Langkilde, Vice Chair Galea'i Tuufuli, Clara Reid, Gov. Lolo Moliga

Sanders (1): Therese Hunkin

The Green Papers: AS-D

Arkansas (D)

Overview
37 Delegates (0.78% of total)
Open Primary
7 At-Large
4 PLEO At-Large
21 by CD
4 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 7 and 4 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CDs 2, 4; 5 for CD 1; 4 for CD 3.

Superdelegates

Clinton (5): Chair Vice Insalaco, Vice Chair Joyce Elliott, Dustin McDaniel, Krystal Thraikill, Lottie Shackelford

The Green Papers: AR-D

Georgia (D)

Overview
117 Delegates (2.46% of total)
Open Primary
22 At-Large
13 PLEO At-Large
67 by CD
15 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 22 and 13 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CD 5; 6 for CDs 4,13; 5 for CDs 1,2,6,12; 4 for CDs 3,7,8,9,10,11,14.

Superdelegates

Confirmed Clinton (11): Rep. Hank Johnson, Rep. John Lewis, Rep. David Scott, David Worley, Dan Halpern, Vice Chair Nikema Williams, Sally Rosser, Chair Dubose Porter, Wendy Davis, Kasim Reed, Pam Stephenson

Uncommitted (4): President Jimmy Carter, Rep. Sanford Bishop, Richard Ray, Louis Elrod

The Green Papers: GA-D

Massachusetts (D)

Overview
116 Delegates (2.44% of total)
Half-Open Primary
20 At-Large
12 PLEO At-Large
59 by CD
25 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 20 and 12 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CD 5,6,7,8,9; 6 for CDs 1,2,3,4.

Superdelegates


Clinton 17 - Sanders 1 - Uncommitted 7

according to Bloomberg.

Confirmed Clinton (16): Sen. Ed Markey, Rep. Michael Capuano, Rep. Katherine Clark, Rep. William Keatin, Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy III, Rep. Stephen Lynch, Rep. Jim McGovern, Rep. Seth Moulton, Rep. Richard Neal, Rep. Niki Tsongas, Ex-DNC Chair Steve Grossman, Gus Bickford, Kate Donaghue, Ray Jordan, Elaine Kamarck, David O'Brien

Sanders (1): Ex-DNC Chair Paul G. Kirk, Jr.

Other DNC [8]: Ex-DNC Chair Debra DeLee, Chair Thomas McGee, Vice Chair Debra Kozikowski, Susan Thomson, Virginia Barnes, James Roosevelt, Alejandra Salinas

The Green Papers: MA-D


Minnesota (D)

Overview
93 Delegates (1.95% of total)
Open Caucus
17 At-Large
10 PLEO At-Large
50 by CD
16 Superdelegates

Details

Despite being a caucus state, delegates are allocated and bound based on the raw vote at the precinct caucuses; functionally, this is a primary with lower turnout.  Groups of 17 and 10 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 5; 7 for CDs 3,4; 6 for CDs 2,8; 5 for CDs 1,6,7.

Superdelegates

Clinton (13): Vice President Walter Mondale, Gov. Mark Dayton, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Sen. Al Franken, Rep. Tim Walz, Ken Martin, Nancy Schumacher, Rep. Betty McCollum, Rep. Rick Nolan, Marge Hoffa, Javier Morillo-Alicea, Rick Stafford, Lori Sellner

Sanders (2): Rep. Keith Ellison, Rep. Collin Peterson

Uncommitted (1): DNC Vice Chair RT Rybak

Useful Links
The Green Papers: MN-D
MN Delegate Selection Plan
DFL State Convention Rules

[Erc]

March 1 Democratic Primaries: Part II

Oklahoma (D)

Overview
42 Delegates (0.88% of total)
Closed Primary
8 At-Large
5 PLEO At-Large
25 by CD
4 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 8 and 5 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CD 5; 5 for CDs 1,3,4; 4 for CD 3.

Superdelegates

Clinton (1): Betty McElderry

Sanders (1): Vice Chair Connie Johnson

Uncommitted (2): Chair Mark Hammons, Jim Frasier

The Green Papers: OK-D


Tennessee (D)

Overview
75 Delegates (1.57% of total)
Open Primary
14 At-Large
9 PLEO At-Large
44 by CD
8 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 14 and 9 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CD 9; 6 for CD 5; 5 for CDs 3,7,8; 4 for CDs 1,2,4,6.

Superdelegates

Bloomberg: 6 Clinton - 2 Uncommitted

Confirmed Clinton (5): Rep. Jim Cooper, Rep. Steve Cohen, Gale Jones Carson, Vice Chair John Litz, Bill Owen

Other (3): Vice President Al Gore, Chair Mary Mancini, Will Cheek

Myron Lowery (Clinton) is apparently no longer a superdelegate.

The Green Papers: TN-D

Texas (D)

Overview
251 Delegates (5.27% of total)
Closed Primary*
48 At-Large
29 PLEO At-Large
145 by State Senatorial District.
29 Superdelegates

Details

*See jimrtex's post below for a clarification of how voter affliation works in Texas.

Groups of 48 and 29 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  Unlike most states, the District-level delegates are apportioned by State Senate Districts, not Congressional Districts.  The district delegates are distributed among the SDs as follows: 10 for SD 14; 8 for SDs 13,23; 6 for SDs 10,15,25,26; 5 for SDs 5,8,16,17,19,20,21; 4 for SDs 2,4,6,7,9,11,12,18,22,27,29; 3 for SDs 1,3,24,30; 2 for SDs 28,31.

Superdelegates

Clinton (20): Reps. Rubén Hinojosa, Sheila Jackson Lee, Joaquin Castro, Henry Cuellar, Gene Green, Eddie Bernice Johnson, Marc Veasey, Filemon Vela Jr., and Al Green, Katie Naranjo, Royce West, Jose Rodriguez, Montserrat Garibay, Dennis Speight, Lenora Sorola-Pohlman, Betty Ritchie, Rafael Anchia, Rep. Lloyd Doggett, Chair Gilberto Hinojosa, Garnet Coleman

Uncommitted (9): Rep. Beto O'Rourke, Carol Guthrie, Lorraine Miller, Henry Munoz (Clinton 2008), Senfronia Thompson, John Patrick, Glen Maxey, Yvonne Davis, Vice Chair Fredericka Phillips

The Green Papers: TX-D

Vermont (D)

Overview
26 Delegates (0.55% of total)
Open Primary
3 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
11 CD
10 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 3, 2, and 11 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.

Superdelegates

Clinton (4): Ex-DNC Chair Howard Dean, Billi Gosh, Gov. Peter Shumlin, Sen. Pat Leahy

Sanders (6): Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rich Cassidy, Rep. Peter Welch, Chair Dottie Deans, Vice Chair Tim Jerman, Jim Condos

Pat Leahy says he will vote for the pledged delegate winner; as that's overwhelmingly likely to be Clinton, I'm keeping him in the Clinton camp for now.

The Green Papers: VT-D

Virginia (D)

Overview
109 Delegates (2.29% of total)
Open Primary
21 At-Large
12 PLEO At-Large
62 by CD
14 Superdelegates

Details

Groups of 21 and 12 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 8 for CDs 3,8; 7 for CD 11; 6 for CDs 4,10; 5 for CDs 1,2,5,7; 4 for CD 6; 3 for CD 9.

Superdelegates

Clinton (13): Gov. Terry McAuliffe, Sen. Mark Warner, Sen. Tim Kaine, Rep. Gerry Connolly, Rep. Don Beyer, Rep. Bobby Scott, Chair Susan Swecker, Sandra Brandt, Frank Leone, Jennifer McClellan, George Wallace, Alice Germond, Vice Chair Fred Hudson

Uncommitted (1): Doris Crouse-Mays

The Green Papers: VA-D

[Erc]

Colorado (D): March 1

Overview
78 Delegates (1.64% of total)
Closed Caucus
14 At-Large
9 PLEO At-Large
43 by CD
12 Superdelegates

At the Caucus

Colorado has a caucus system; like many such systems, it has its own idiosyncrasies.  Unlike in Iowa, a Preference Poll is taken and the raw vote totals are reported to the media.  There is no form of re-caucusing, not that it matters much in a two-person race.  After the Preference Poll, each preference group elects delegates to County Conventions, their number proportional to their result in the Preference Poll.  Some smaller counties elect delegates directly to the CD/State Conventions on March 1.

County Conventions (through March 26)

These conventions elect delegates to the CD and State Conventions, again on a proportional basis.  Strangely, the threshold here is 30%, not 15%; this may be in conflict with national DNC rules.  

CD Conventions: April 1-15

The CD conventions, in early April, allocate these delegates proportionally based on a vote in each CD convention.  The number of delegates per district is: 8 for CD 1; 7 for CD 2; 6 for CDs 3,6,7; 6 for CDs 4,5.

Some language in the Delegate Selection Plan seems to imply that the CD delegates are bound based on the March 1 result, but this is contradicted strongly by other sections of the Plan.

State Convention: April 16

The State Convention chooses the 14 At-Large and 9 Pledged PLEO delegates, allocated proportionally based on a vote of State Convention delegates.  These results may differ somewhat from an allocation based on the March 1 vote, due to the multi-tiered caucus/convention structure.

Superdelegates

Clinton 10 - Uncommitted 2

This count comes from the Bloomberg tracker.

Confirmed Clinton (9): Gov. John Hickenlooper, Sen. Michael Bennet, Rep. Diana DeGette, Rep. Ed Perlmutter, Rep. Jared Polis, Ex-DNC Chair Roy Romer, Bianca O'Leary, Mannie Rodriguez, Anthony Graves

Other DNC (3): Chair Rick Palacio, Vice Chair Beverly Ryken, Lisa Padilla

Denver Mayor Michael Hancock (associated with the National Conference of Democratic Mayors) was a superdelegate pledged to Clinton, but is apparently no longer a superdelegate.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: CO-D
CO Delegate Selection Plan

[Erc]

Thanks for the clarification!

[Erc]

The AP has conducted a new survey of superdelegates, and their new count shows:

449 Clinton - 19 Sanders

This is a pretty large change from their November survey, which found a 359-8 lead for Clinton.

Versus our current count (434-14), not a huge difference, only a few Clinton supporters slipping through the cracks.  Interesting is the uptick in Sanders support...who are these 5 secret Sanders supporters?  You'd think the Bernie supporters would have posted them all over the internet by now.

EDIT: math fail.

[Erc]

The projected Clinton victory in Nevada means that Clinton should win 19 delegates to Sanders' 16.

This only changes if Clinton should break 58.3% in CDs 2,3, or 4, or Sanders wins CD 1 (or the state).

[Erc]

Doing rough estimates it looks as if Bernie will win the Second district. 

It's a 6-delegate district, so it doesn't matter who wins unless anyone breaks 58.3%.

[Erc]

Calling all 50 delegates in SC for Trump.

[Erc]

Jeb's Delegates

With Jeb out of the race, what happens to his four (4) delegates?  His sole delegate in Iowa remains bound to him, but his three in New Hampshire are effectively released.  This increases the number of effective "superdelegates" in the Republican race from 15 to 18.  We should hopefully know who the three of them are within a few weeks.

[Erc]

The projected Clinton victory in Nevada means that Clinton should win 19 delegates to Sanders' 16.

This only changes if Clinton should break 58.3% in CDs 2,3, or 4, or Sanders wins CD 1 (or the state).

According to the Green Papers Hillary is currently at 58.6% in CD 4.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NV-D

Not sure where they are getting their numbers but if it holds the final total would be Hillary 20, Bernie 15.

Thanks!  Moved a delegate from Bernie to Uncommitted until I can verify this.  It may also be close enough that it's the sort of thing that could be undone at later stages of the caucuses due to the multi-stage process, so I'll try to check that out once I have access to precinct-level results.

If Clinton does win the delegate here, it means that according to my count she's negated Sanders' huge win in New Hampshire---or retakes the lead, if she wins that last pledged delegate in Iowa as well.

[Erc]

After digging through the precinct numbers and running through the later stages of the delegate math, Clinton winning the 4th delegate in CD 2 seems assured.  Exactly how the delegates sent from the Clark County Convention to the State Convention are divided up among the Congressional Districts is not perfectly clear, but it doesn't really matter.  Clark County so dominates CD 4, and the number of delegates at the state convention is so large (1 per every 150 registered Democrats) that Hillary cannot lose her slim margin there based on rounding errors or the like.

Sanders' real hope here is differential turnout.  Because the number of delegates at the State Convention is so large, if the Sanders people are just more motivated to show up, they might be able to flip the delegate.  But it's a relatively tall order; effectively, they need 10 Clinton delegates (out of around 600) not to show up, relative to the number of Sanders absences.  But the Convention is on a weekend (May 14-15), presumably is in Las Vegas, and there are alternates.  Barring Paulista-style shenanigans, Clinton is winning that delegate, and I'm allocating it to her on the main page.

[Erc]

https://twitter.com/FHQ/status/701850670610194436
http://frontloading.blogspot.com/p/2016-republican.html?platform=hootsuite

Final tally is Trump 11, Kasich 4, Cruz 3, (Bush 3), Rubio 2

This was my initial call and, in my mind, the only correct interpretation of NH statutes; only changed my call when literally every single source contradicted it. Apparently I should have stuck to my guns here.

[Erc]

Vermont (R): March 1

Overview
16 Delegates (6.27% of total)

I don't think that's right- likely carried from the previous (Texas) post.

Awesome thread though- very helpful!

Thanks for the catch!

On the superdelegate front: the folks at Vox got their hands on a list of all the superdelegates.

There's still clearly a couple errors/out-of-date information, but it's a vast improvement over the scrabbled-together list I had before.  There's only around two truly unknown delegates now: who (if anyone) has replaced Sheldon Silver in his DNC slot, and who's replaced ex-Houston Mayor Annise Parker at the National Conference of Democratic Mayors?

[Erc]

Kansas (R): March 5

Overview
40 Delegates (1.62% of total)
Closed Caucus
25 At-Large (Proportional, 10% threshold)
12 District (Proportional, 10% threshold)
3 RNC Members (WTA)

Delegate Allocation

Statewide, 25 delegates are bound as a result of the caucus vote.  All candidates receiving at least 10% of the statewide vote receive a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the vote among all candidates meeting the threshold.  Delegates are allocated starting with the winner and proceeding down the candidates in order of number of votes received, with all fractional delegates rounded up, until all 25 delegates are allocated.

The same procedure takes place for the three delegates in each of Kansas's four Congressional Districts.  Here is where the rounding rules really come into play.  If the winner receives more than one-third (33.33%) of the vote among candidates meeting the threshold, he would receive 2 delegates, with the second place finisher receiving one.  Otherwise, the top three candidates meeting the threshold would each receive one delegate.  Here's where Kasich could play an interesting role; a strong (>10%) fourth place finish in a number of Congressional Districts wouldn't net him any delegates, but might swing delegates from first place to third place.

The three automatic RNC member delegates are, in the KS GOP rules, slated to be bound to the winner of the caucus.  It's not clear whether this is in violation of rules requiring proportionality before March 15; possibly, the three delegates will be pooled together and allocated with the other At-Large delegates, though I doubt it.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the Congressional District Conventions and the State Committee Convention in April and May.

Results (3/5)

Cruz 24 - Trump 9 - Rubio 6 - Kasich 1

In the unlikely event the RNC members are allocated with the rest of the At-Large delegation, Trump and Kasich each gain one at Cruz's expense.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound until released by their candidate.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: KS-R
Frontloading HQ: KS
KS Delegate Allocation: GOP

[Erc]

Kentucky (R): March 5

Overview
46 Delegates (1.86% of total)
Closed Caucus
46 At-Large (Proportional, 5% threshold)

Delegate Allocation

All 46 delegates are bound as a result of the caucus vote.  All candidates receiving at least 5% of the statewide vote receive a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the vote among all candidates meeting the threshold, rounded to the nearest whole number.  In the event this results in too many or too few delegates being allocated due to rounding, a delegate is given to (or taken away from) the candidate closest to (or furthest from) receiving another delegate.

Results (3/5)

Trump 17 - Cruz 15 - Rubio 7 - Kasich 7

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the Congressional District Conventions and the State Convention in April and May.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate dies or withdraws, where withdraws in this case means "notice in writing by the candidate to the chairman of the Kentucky delegation prior to the first ballot."

After a candidate withdraws, the delegation as a whole meets and casts a secret ballot for presidential preference.  This ballot binds any delegates which became Uncommitted, in a proportional manner.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: KY-R
Frontloading HQ: KY
KY Delegate Allocation: GOP
Kentucky Revised Statutes

[Erc]

Louisiana (R): March 5

Overview
46 Delegates (1.86% of total)
Closed Primary
28 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold)
18 District, (Proportional)

Delegate Allocation

The 28 At-Large delegates (including the 3 RNC members) are bound as a result of the primary vote.  All candidates receiving at least 20% of the statewide vote receive a share of these delegates proportional to their share of their total vote.  These will be rounded by the Executive Committee; they may have some leeway to do so, but I will assume they are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Note that this means that, assuming some candidates don't meet the threshold, there will be delegates left over that are not allocated to any candidate.  The Louisiana rules explicitly provide for this, and say that these delegates will be uncommitted.  Louisiana has thus found a sneaky way to give their State Convention real influence over the results from their state without doing away with their Primary entirely.  It's possible this provision is in violation of national GOP rules, but I think they technically got away with it.

In each of Louisiana's six Congressional Districts, three delegates are allocated proportionally.  There is no threshold at the CD level, and rounding rules are unspecified.  Unless Louisiana adopts a Kansas-type system (where all fractions are rounded up), this is likely to result in the top three candidates in each CD each getting a delegate, unless the winner receives a majority, in which case the delegates would break 2-1.

Results (3/6)

The At-Large delegates break down

Trump 12 - Cruz 11 - Uncommitted 5.

The CD delegate results have been confirmed to be

Trump 6 - Cruz 7 - Rubio 5.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention on March 12.  Candidates provided a list of approved delegate candidates, which the State Convention chooses from.  They also choose any Uncommitted At-Large delegates left over after the allocation above.

The delegates attending the State Convention are chosen entirely by the Republican State Central Committee.

Delegates

Trump (18)
[1] Jay Batt
[2] Andrew Bautsch
[3] Adrian Bruneau
[4] Collin Buisson
[5] Michael Chittom
[6] Jeff Crouere
[7] Mike Fesi
[8] Fenn French
[9] Jeff Giles
[10] Gena Gore
[11] Duke Lowrie
[12] Eric Skrmetta - Trump
[1-1] Lynn Skidmore
[2-1] Jennifer Madsen
[3-1] Patti Carter
[4-1] Diane Long
[5-1] Kay Kellogg Katz
[6-1] Penny Vidrine

Cruz (18)
[1] Michael Bayham
[2] Charlie Buckels
[3] Zach Dasher
[4] Joy Duhon
[5] Kim Fralick
[6] Louis Gurvis Jr.
[7] Tony Perkins
[8] Bob Reid
[9] Franz Robinson
[10] Michael Sims
[11] Ed Tarpley
[1-1] Tina Payton
[2-1] Gregory Neff
[3-1] Gwen Bowen
[4-1] Sandra McDade
[4-2] Michael Vergis
[5-1] Frank Black
[6-1] Jonathan Davis

Rubio (5) (now Uncommitted)
[1-1] Stephanie Berault
[2-1] Robert Williamson
[3-1] Jennifer LeBlanc
[5-1] Luke Letlow
[6-1] Leslie Tassin Sr.

Uncommitted (5)
[1] Rhett Davis (likely Jonathan's father?)
[2] Jason Doré [Executive Director]
[3] Ross Little Jr. [National Committeeman] - Cruz
[4] Roger Villere, Jr. [State Chairman]
[5] Lenar Whitney [National Committeewoman - Cruz

Reportedly, many (if not all) of the others are for Cruz as well, as Cruz had a supermajority at the State Convention.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

The non-Uncommitted delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate ends or suspends their candidacy.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: LA-R
Frontloading HQ: LA
LA Delegate Allocation: GOP
Louisiana Caucus Results
Elected Delegates

[Erc]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But if a candidate gets more than 50% in a CD, won't they round up to two delegates, with second place getting 1 delegate?

Certainly.  My "likely" was (far too short) shorthand for "assuming no one gets a majority."  I'll edit the post to clarify.

[Erc]

Maine (R): March 5

Overview
23 Delegates (0.93% of total)
Closed Caucus
23 At-Large (Proportional, 10% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If any candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 23 delegates.  Otherwise, candidates receive delegates proportional to their share of the caucus vote among all candidates meeting a 10% threshold.  The rounding rules are a bit contradictory here.  One section says fractional delegates are rounded up, starting with the winner and proceeding down; the next section says they are rounded to the nearest whole number, with any rounding errors compensated for by adding (removing) a delegate to the candidate closest to (furthest from) an additional delegate.  I will be choosing to go with the first section unless I hear otherwise; FHQ agrees.

Results

Cruz 12 - Trump 9 - Kasich 2

These results confirm that the fractional delegates are rounded up.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention on April 21-23.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot unless their candidate withdraws.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: ME-R
Bangor Daily News
ME GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: ME

[Erc]

Puerto Rico (R): March 6

Overview
23 Delegates (0.93% of total)
Open Primary
23 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If any candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 23 delegates.  Otherwise, candidates receive delegates proportional to their share of the caucus vote among all candidates meeting a 20% threshold.  Rounding rules are unknown.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are elected directly on the ballot.  All candidates still in the race have a full slate of delegates.

Results

Rubio won a majority of the vote and all 23 delegates.  The list of his delegates can be found on the Sample Ballot.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are apparently bound on the first ballot only.  A PR GOP source says candidates may release their delegates.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: PR-R
Sample Ballot

[Erc]

Hawaii (R): March 8

Overview
19 Delegates (0.77% of total)
Closed Caucus
10 At-Large (Proportional, no threshold)
6 District (Proportional, no threshold)
3 RNC (Proportional, no threshold)

Delegate Allocation

The 10 At-Large delegates are allocated proportionally based on the results of the caucus.  Starting with the winner, each candidate receives a share of delegates equal to his share of the total vote among FEC-registered candidates, rounding up both fractional percentages and fractional delegates, until all delegates are allocated.

The same procedure applies for the three delegates in each CD, and for the 3 RNC members.  In practice, this means that if the winner breaks 33% of the vote, he gets 2 delegates to the runner-up's one; otherwise the top three candidates each receive a delegate.

Results (3/9)

Trump 11 - Cruz 7 - Rubio 1

This gives Trump another Rule 40 state; this is his 7th out of the needed 8.

Delegate Selection

The candidates choose their own delegates, essentially.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: HI-R
HI GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: HI

[Erc]

Idaho (R): March 8

Overview
32 Delegates (1.29% of total)
Closed Primary
32 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate wins a majority of the primary vote, they receive all 32 delegates.  Otherwise, each candidate breaking a 20% threshold receives a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the total vote; The Green Papers says fractional delegates are rounded to the nearest delegates.  Delegates that would go to under-threshold candidates are instead allocated proportionally among the threshold-meeting candidates; whether this means they are repooled or not is unclear.  The Green Papers says the Nominating Committee will have final say over any residual rounding error issues.

Results (3/9)

Cruz 20 - Trump 12

There's little room for leeway in the rounding rules here; this count seems relatively guaranteed.  Cruz picks up his 4th Rule 40 state, out of the necessary 8.

Delegate Selection

The candidates choose 80% of their own delegates by early May; the remaining 20% are chosen by a State Nominating Committee.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws, dies, or releases his delegates.  If a candidate withdraws or releases his delegates before the Idaho State Convention (June 2-4), or fails to provide a list of delegates, the State Convention chooses them instead and they will be officially Uncommitted.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: ID-R
ID GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: ID