Erc
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,823
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« on: December 06, 2004, 12:57:41 AM » |
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Vermont has been trending steadily Democrat since 1892, if not before.
Vermont was ridiculously republican up until 1912 or so [even voting for Taft], extremely Republican from 1916 to 1960.
In 1964, Goldwater did worse than his national average...but that was a fluke election by all accounts. Even so, the Republicans never really did recover. Their last bright spot was the very respectable +6.8 in 1976...and it's been a Democrat state since. In 1980 probably because of Anderson...it was essentially dead even in 1984...and then fell off from there. 2000 saw a major recovery for the Republicans--mainly caused, however, by the dropoff of Perot (who got 12% in 1996), and the addition of Nader (who got nearly 7%). 2004 saw a dramatic improvement for the Democrats, who established a level of superiority in the state unseen since Ike's 1956 victory.
As to why? Combination of factors, including the general switch of the NE to liberal--plus the gradual invasion of MA / NY folks.
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