Georgia 2020 Redistricting Discussion (user search)
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  Georgia 2020 Redistricting Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: Georgia 2020 Redistricting Discussion  (Read 67280 times)
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Abdullah
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« on: August 06, 2021, 11:52:32 AM »

I tried my hand at a fair 14-district map of Georgia.


Image Link

The Population Deviation is less than 0.01%, and it reflects 2015 - 2019 ACS Data.

85/100 on Dave's Proportionality Index
70/100 on the Compactness Index
66/100 on County Splitting
90/100 on the Minority Representation index
23/100 on Dave's competitiveness index (eh)

The map above shows results from the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election.

Check it out here and see county and municipality boundaries.



Partisan Breakdown by Election

2016 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia: 10R to 4D

2016 U.S. Presidential Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Attorney General Election: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Gubernatorial Election: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election: 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (special): 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Presidential Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2021 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (runoff): 8R to 6D

2021 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (special runoff): 8R to 6D



Opinions?
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,898
United States
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2021, 05:51:24 PM »
« Edited: September 19, 2021, 02:45:12 PM by "Global Perspective" »

I tried my hand at a fair congressional map of Georgia using the 2020 census results.


Image Link

The Population Deviation is less than 0.01%.

80/100 on Dave's Proportionality Index
71/100 on the Compactness Index
70/100 on County Splitting
90/100 on the Minority Representation index
20/100 on Dave's competitiveness index

The map above shows results from the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election.

Check it out here and see county and municipality boundaries.



Partisan Breakdown by Election

2016 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia: 10R to 4D

2016 U.S. Presidential Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Attorney General Election: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Gubernatorial Election: 8R to 6D

2018 Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election: 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (special): 8R to 6D

2020 U.S. Presidential Election in Georgia: 8R to 6D

2021 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (runoff): 8R to 6D

2021 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia (special runoff): 8R to 6D



The map has three majority-black seats in the Atlanta metro area (by VAP, 58%, 53%, 55% Black). There is a fourth black seat in the Southwestern region of the state, which while being majority-black in terms of total population (51.1%) is only plurality black in terms of VAP (49.0%).

There is another seat that is based entirely in the county of Gwinnett, which is the only one in the state to have a significant Hispanic population, representing an opportunity for them. Hispanics make up a whopping 25.5% of the district's population and 22.8% of the district's voting-age population (which is almost as much as Florida statewide!).

Finally, there's a special seat in the Northern Atlanta suburbs which is based around Northern Fulton County and includes Southern Forsyth, Northeastern Cobb, and Northern Gwinnett. This seat perfectly exemplifies the rapid growth and diversification of the Atlanta metro area which has reacted most poorly to Trump's new Republican party and thus delivered Georgia for Joe Biden in November.

It is notable for its large and fast-growing Asian population, which uniquely make up the largest minority group in the district. This district, despite being 11.7% Asian in 2010 (in terms of population) has seen its share spike to a whopping 18.8% in 2020 (this occurred even as the district's population as a whole grew by 19%).

Another way it is notable is the speed at which it has trended Democratic over the past years. Here's a quick look back at its election results:

2016 U.S. Senate: R+33.3 (30.8% D, 64.1% R)

2016 Presidential: R+17.7 (38.8% D, 56.5% R)

2018 Gubernatorial: R+12.0 (43.3% D, 55.3% R)

2020 Presidential: R+3.3 (47.6% D, 50.9% R)

2020 Special Senate Runoff: R+5.8 (47.1% D, 52.9% R)



Opinions?
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Abdullah
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Posts: 2,898
United States
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2021, 04:57:30 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2021, 05:00:31 PM by 🌍 "GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE" 🌎 »

Thoughts on this 8 D - 6 R Map? The Atlanta Metro seats are very clean and compact. The rural districts were harder to be made fully compact.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/23b5b96e-273c-45bb-89b0-bab1ec70a33f






This is the most aesthetically pleasing map 8D-6R I've seen, and I find it very interesting how you managed two D seats outside metro Atlanta. Must've taken some creativity!
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Abdullah
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Posts: 2,898
United States
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2021, 09:56:49 PM »


I'm a big fan of this idea and your map, also agreeing Georgia's likely to have 15 districts
Personally, I'm a little more bullish on growth in Forsyth, which IMHO could easily be 40% Asian by 2030.

Made a new thread for 2030 Georgia Redistricting Discussion, I'll try to make a map too.
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