What if the insurrection happened in late October

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Suppose Trump held a rally in DC in late October and his supporters stormed congress like what happened in Jan 6th

I think it flips NC, FL, and TX. Also I think it flips senate races in NC and ME. Ossoff wins outright in November

I wouldn't be surpised if IW and OH flip along with senate races in IW and MT

curious why you abbreviate Iowa as "IW".

In my very humble opinion that disrespects the Wikipedia gods https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._state_and_territory_abbreviations

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Suppose Trump held a rally in DC in late October and his supporters stormed congress like what happened in Jan 6th

I think it flips NC, FL, and TX. Also I think it flips senate races in NC and ME. Ossoff wins outright in November

I wouldn't be surpised if IW and OH flip along with senate races in IW and MT

IW?

Iowa's bad abbreviation.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

The 383 map likely occurs and the Democrats do a lot better in the House of Representatives, but still initially lose the Senate due to lackluster candidates such as Cal Cunningham, Sara Gideon, Theresa Greenfield, and Steve Bullock (to some extent).

If the 383 map occurs, Cunningham wins.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

The 383 map likely occurs and the Democrats do a lot better in the House of Representatives, but still initially lose the Senate due to lackluster candidates such as Cal Cunningham, Sara Gideon, Theresa Greenfield, and Steve Bullock (to some extent).

What is the 383 map? I keep playing around on the electoral calculator but I cant figure it out

Basically all of Joe Biden’s 2020 states+North Carolina, Texas, Ohio, and Iowa. 

That's 412 EVs, not 383. 383 is Biden states+NC+FL+TX