TheReckoning
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,854
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« on: January 24, 2021, 09:05:51 PM » |
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South Carolina has been extremely inelastic for a while now. Here it is compared to the rest of the country since 1988, the year it arguably became safe for the GOP:
1988: R+16.2
1992: R+13.7
1996: R+14.6
2000: R+16.4
2004: R+14.6
2008: R+16.2
2012: R+14.3
2016: R+16.4
2020: R+16.1
You can blame this on “counteracting trends” or whatever, but honestly, it doesn’t show any clear trend anywhere. Both Republicans and Democrats have a lot of ground to gain and lose in the state, so while it might be competitive in the future, I have no idea where 2028 is coming from.
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