New Hampshire Primary (January 23) Megathread

[EastwoodS]

I did not predict this race cause I'm not that into primaries. But These results are telling me to trust polls instead of vibes, which we have been told is more accurate than literal polling.

[EastwoodS]

I did not predict this race cause I'm not that into primaries. But These results are telling me to trust polls instead of vibes, which we have been told is more accurate than literal polling.

Indeed the Exit Polls do look wrong, this isn't the Trump +3-4 lead it looks like a Trump +12.

They overestimated Haley a bit in Iowa too, they might weight college whites to strongly in their samples.

I mean like the pre-election day polls. I never trust early exit polls

[EastwoodS]

Most boring primaries ever.

Also it looks like polls are pretty accurate so far this year. Which should concern Biden supporters.

President Biden's polling has actual improved these last week

no, it hasn't. the hackery..

[EastwoodS]

the amount of GOP voters to Dem voters in this primary should be concerning for Democrat's. Maybe I am wrong..

[EastwoodS]

Right now Trump has underperformed the NH polls by a lot. The RCP average was Trump +20 and the 538 average was Trump +17. Haley could keep this within single digits

I mean, we did not have a lot of polls for a two way race in NH.

[EastwoodS]

the amount of GOP voters to Dem voters in this primary should be concerning for Democrat's. Maybe I am wrong..

You are, in fact, wrong.

well a hack has spoken so.. I Guess it is all over for me.