Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (user search)
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  Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history  (Read 6601 times)
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« on: February 19, 2022, 02:48:53 PM »

Definitely getting either something in the upper midwest to explain 1988's strong performance or maybe the upper/inland south to explain the strong 1990s performance and then hardcore shift to the right since. I'm guessing it's hyperwhite, rural or exurban, and working class with large agrarian segments.

Federalist/Democratic-Republican

1796: 40/58
1800: 39/60
1804: 33/65
1808: 35/63
1812: 45/54
1816: 34/63
1820: 4/95

Quincy Adams/Jackson/Crawford/Clay

1824: 44/39/2/15

Whig/Democratic

1828: 49/50
1832: 44/37/15 (Clay/Jackson/Wirt)
1836: 41/45/3 (Harrison/Van Buren/Webster)
1840: 56/43
1844: 52/48
1848: 44/34/20 (Taylor/Cass/Van Buren)
1852: 53/45

Republican/Democratic

1856: 44/40/14 (Fremont/Buchanan/Filmore)
1860: 39/34/12/9 (Lincoln/Douglas/Bell/Breckinridge)
1864: 52/45
1868: 56/40
1872: 60/39 (Grant/Greeley)
1876: 45/53
1880: 54/45
1884: 43/55
1888: 54/44
1892: 48/40/8 (Harrison/Cleveland/Weaver)
1896: 56/42
1900: 56/44
1904: 59/38
1908: 53/46

Progressive/Republican/Democratic/Socialist

1912: 41/25/32/2

Republican/Democratic

1916: 54/43
1920: 63/35
1924: 66/30
1928: 56/44
1932: 48/50
1936: 37/60
1940: 39/57
1944: 44/53
1948: 45/54/1 (Dewey/Truman/Thurmond)
1952: 46/52
1956: 55/44
1960: 45/54
1964: 27/72
1968: 39/49/9 (Nixon/Humphrey/Wallace)
1972: 52/48
1976: 31/66
1980: 42/56
1984: 57/42
1988: 50/48
1992: 40/49/10
1996: 39/50/6
2000: 43/57
2004: 45/54
2008: 41/59
2012: 40/59
2016: 39/55
2020: 34/65

Feels like a rural, but touristy county in the Midwest or New England, so mostly college-educated whites, who are wealthier and less religious than the national average

Republican/Democratic/3rd Party
1884: 52/45
1888: 53/44
1892: 50/44
1896: 60/37
1900: 58/39
1904: 57/40
1908: 56/40
1912: 34/38/28
1916: 54/43
1920: 65/30
1924: 66/27
1928: 63/36
1932: 57/42
1936: 55/44
1940: 57/43
1944: 56/44
1948: 52/44
1952: 64/36
1956: 72/28
1960: 54/46
1964: 34/66
1968: 55/40
1972: 68/32
1976: 54/45
1980: 51/41
1984: 64/35
1988: 54/45
1992: 40/36/23
1996: 38/45/17
2000: 51/44
2004: 57/41
2008: 54/45
2012: 53/45
2016: 64/31
2020: 64/34

Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2022, 11:19:17 AM »

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52



My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2022, 04:17:40 PM »

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52



My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2

Suburban county in Ohio with a large enough working class population

        D:        R:
1888: 49/47
1892: 55/43
1896: 55/43
1900: 59/38
1904: 37/56
1908: 49/46
1912: 47/31/10 (Progressive)
1916: 54/41
1920: 47/49
1924: 19/61/18 (Progressive)
1928: 34/64
1932: 54/42
1936: 59/35
1940: 51/48
1944: 51/48
1948: 52/46
1952: 41/58
1956: 40/59
1960: 43/56
1964: 68/31
1968: 45/48/6 (American Independence)
1972: 33/64
1976: 41/55
1980: 35/56
1984: 41/57
1988: 50/49
1992: 45/33/20 (Perot)
1996: 48/40/10 (Perot)
2000: 47/48
2004: 46/52
2008: 46/51
2012: 37/60
2016: 38/56
2020: 42/56

Upper South county that is largely non-college educated whites and is home to a small metro area

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 55/43
1888: 58/40
1892: 53/42
1896: 62/34
1900: 59/36
1904: 63/34
1908: 59/36
1912: 35.4/34.5/30 (Progressive)
1916: 55/40
1920: 66/27
1924: 65/25
1928: 57/41
1932: 50/47
1936: 55/43
1940: 57/42
1944: 52/48
1948: 54/42
1952: 65/35
1956: 73/27
1960: 54/46
1964: 33/67
1968: 51/44/6 (American Independent, adds up to 101 due to rounding)
1972: 69/31
1976: 60/40
1980: 51/38 (Independent)
1984: 60/40
1988: 52/47
1992: 36/42/22 (Reform)
1996: 38/51/11 (Reform)
2000: 41/54
2004: 44/54
2008: 39/59
2012: 39/60
2016: 40/54
2020: 39/59
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2022, 03:43:54 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2022, 06:27:14 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2022, 08:58:02 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2022, 07:19:56 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2022, 07:46:08 PM by Thoughts & Prayers for Andriy and Україна »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #7 on: March 02, 2022, 09:49:11 AM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%   
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%   
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34% 
1936: 68%  29%   
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%   
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7% 
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38% 
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2022, 11:57:17 AM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%  
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%  
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34%  
1936: 68%  29%    
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%  
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7%  
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%  
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71


Southern rural county with a sizeable black population.

           D:             R:
1880:   23              76
1884:   52              47
1888:   35              63
1892:   <1              18  (80% Populist)
1896:    89              10
1900:    76             23
1904:    32           18    (37% Socialist, 11% Populist)
1908:     51          33    (12% Socialist)
1912:     39          11     (25% Socialist, 25% Progressive)
1916:     45          26     (27% Socialist)
1920:     36          42     (20% Socialist)
1924:     25           20     (53% Progressive)
1928:     61          36
1932:     79          20
1936:    84          15
1940:    76          23
1944:    64          35
1948:    50          41  (7% Progressive)
1952:    50          49
1956:    42          55
1960:    63          36
1964:    58          41
1968:    27          30    (41% American Independent)
1972:    26          73
1976:    57          38
1980:    20          71     (5% Anderson)
1984:    13          81
1988:    17         78
1992:    3           51      (46% Perot)
1996:    10         58       (23% Perot)
2000:    6          76        (17% Reform)
2004:    22        74              
2008:    21        73                
2012:    20       78        
2016:    11       69         (9% Johnson, 7% Bernie write-in)
2020:    13       84        
Probably somewhere in the rural Interior West that is overwhelmingly white and blue-collar, though not particularly religious

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 49/44
1888: 54/42
1892: 54/39
1896: 58/38
1900: 56/40
1904: 56/39
1908: 55/41
1912: 28/40/27/5 (Progressive/Prohibition)
1916: 55/40
1920: 70/26
1924: 73/23
1928: 73/26
1932: 64/33
1936: 64/34
1940: 66/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 67/28
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 66/34
1964: 36/64
1968: 53/41
1972: 59/41
1976: 54/45
1980: 42/40/14 (John Anderson)
1984: 48/51
1988: 41/59
1992: 28/56/16 (Reform)
1996: 31/56/7 (Reform)
2000: 33/54/11 (Green)
2004: 33/64
2008: 28/70
2012: 28/69
2016: 24/68
2020: 24/74
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2022, 12:55:41 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%  
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%  
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34%  
1936: 68%  29%    
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%  
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7%  
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%  
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71


Southern rural county with a sizeable black population.

           D:             R:
1880:   23              76
1884:   52              47
1888:   35              63
1892:   <1              18  (80% Populist)
1896:    89              10
1900:    76             23
1904:    32           18    (37% Socialist, 11% Populist)
1908:     51          33    (12% Socialist)
1912:     39          11     (25% Socialist, 25% Progressive)
1916:     45          26     (27% Socialist)
1920:     36          42     (20% Socialist)
1924:     25           20     (53% Progressive)
1928:     61          36
1932:     79          20
1936:    84          15
1940:    76          23
1944:    64          35
1948:    50          41  (7% Progressive)
1952:    50          49
1956:    42          55
1960:    63          36
1964:    58          41
1968:    27          30    (41% American Independent)
1972:    26          73
1976:    57          38
1980:    20          71     (5% Anderson)
1984:    13          81
1988:    17         78
1992:    3           51      (46% Perot)
1996:    10         58       (23% Perot)
2000:    6          76        (17% Reform)
2004:    22        74              
2008:    21        73                
2012:    20       78        
2016:    11       69         (9% Johnson, 7% Bernie write-in)
2020:    13       84        
Probably somewhere in the rural Interior West that is overwhelmingly white and blue-collar, though not particularly religious

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 49/44
1888: 54/42
1892: 54/39
1896: 58/38
1900: 56/40
1904: 56/39
1908: 55/41
1912: 28/40/27/5 (Progressive/Prohibition)
1916: 55/40
1920: 70/26
1924: 73/23
1928: 73/26
1932: 64/33
1936: 64/34
1940: 66/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 67/28
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 66/34
1964: 36/64
1968: 53/41
1972: 59/41
1976: 54/45
1980: 42/40/14 (John Anderson)
1984: 48/51
1988: 41/59
1992: 28/56/16 (Reform)
1996: 31/56/7 (Reform)
2000: 33/54/11 (Green)
2004: 33/64
2008: 28/70
2012: 28/69
2016: 24/68
2020: 24/74


Highly educated, white-collar and secular county.

               D:    R:
1880:      52     44
1884:       50    46
1888:       53    44
1892:       56    18     26 (Populist)
1896:       69     24
1900:        72     15   7 (Prohibition)
1904:        66     18    10 (Socialist)
1908:        62     19     10 (Socialist)
1912:        68      7     15 (Progressive),  10 (Socialist)
1916:        57      28    8 (Socialist), 7 (Prohibition)
1920:        57      35    5 (Socialist)
1924:        54       18    22 (Progressive), 5 (Prohibition)
1928:        25       71
1932:        64       32
1936:        65       35
1940:       59        39
1944:      56         43
1948:      37         46  13 (States' Rights)
1952:      30          68
1956:      30          68
1960:      37          61
1964:       36         63
1968:       15         56  28 (American Independent)
1972:        12        84
1976:        39        59
1980:        25        70
1984:        17        82
1988:        22       76
1992:        24       51  23 (Perot)
1996:        34       55  10 (Perot)
2000:        35       62
2004:        31        67
2008:        36       62
2012:        35       63
2016:        36       60
2020:       37        61
Upper South county that is developing into an outer suburban area


D/R/3rd Party

1896: 67/29
1900: 72/11
1904: 77/18
1908: 57/24
1912: 58/12/30 (Roosevelt)
1916: 44/39
1920: 39/55
1924: 50/34
1928: 39/60
1932: 65/35
1936: 60/40
1940: 59/41
1944: 56/44
1948: 44.7/44.6
1952: 38/62
1956: 35/65
1960: 32/68
1964: 44/56
1968: 20/44/36 (Wallace)
1972: 17/83
1976: 49/50
1980: 36/60
1984: 27/74 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1988: 31/68
1992: 33/42/25 (Perot)
1996: 47/39/14 (Perot)
2000: 51/47
2004: 47/53
2008: 59/40
2012: 62/37
2016: 60/36
2020: 56/43

Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #10 on: March 28, 2022, 07:16:24 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%  
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%  
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34%  
1936: 68%  29%    
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%  
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7%  
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%  
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71


Southern rural county with a sizeable black population.

           D:             R:
1880:   23              76
1884:   52              47
1888:   35              63
1892:   <1              18  (80% Populist)
1896:    89              10
1900:    76             23
1904:    32           18    (37% Socialist, 11% Populist)
1908:     51          33    (12% Socialist)
1912:     39          11     (25% Socialist, 25% Progressive)
1916:     45          26     (27% Socialist)
1920:     36          42     (20% Socialist)
1924:     25           20     (53% Progressive)
1928:     61          36
1932:     79          20
1936:    84          15
1940:    76          23
1944:    64          35
1948:    50          41  (7% Progressive)
1952:    50          49
1956:    42          55
1960:    63          36
1964:    58          41
1968:    27          30    (41% American Independent)
1972:    26          73
1976:    57          38
1980:    20          71     (5% Anderson)
1984:    13          81
1988:    17         78
1992:    3           51      (46% Perot)
1996:    10         58       (23% Perot)
2000:    6          76        (17% Reform)
2004:    22        74              
2008:    21        73                
2012:    20       78        
2016:    11       69         (9% Johnson, 7% Bernie write-in)
2020:    13       84        
Probably somewhere in the rural Interior West that is overwhelmingly white and blue-collar, though not particularly religious

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 49/44
1888: 54/42
1892: 54/39
1896: 58/38
1900: 56/40
1904: 56/39
1908: 55/41
1912: 28/40/27/5 (Progressive/Prohibition)
1916: 55/40
1920: 70/26
1924: 73/23
1928: 73/26
1932: 64/33
1936: 64/34
1940: 66/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 67/28
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 66/34
1964: 36/64
1968: 53/41
1972: 59/41
1976: 54/45
1980: 42/40/14 (John Anderson)
1984: 48/51
1988: 41/59
1992: 28/56/16 (Reform)
1996: 31/56/7 (Reform)
2000: 33/54/11 (Green)
2004: 33/64
2008: 28/70
2012: 28/69
2016: 24/68
2020: 24/74


Highly educated, white-collar and secular county.

               D:    R:
1880:      52     44
1884:       50    46
1888:       53    44
1892:       56    18     26 (Populist)
1896:       69     24
1900:        72     15   7 (Prohibition)
1904:        66     18    10 (Socialist)
1908:        62     19     10 (Socialist)
1912:        68      7     15 (Progressive),  10 (Socialist)
1916:        57      28    8 (Socialist), 7 (Prohibition)
1920:        57      35    5 (Socialist)
1924:        54       18    22 (Progressive), 5 (Prohibition)
1928:        25       71
1932:        64       32
1936:        65       35
1940:       59        39
1944:      56         43
1948:      37         46  13 (States' Rights)
1952:      30          68
1956:      30          68
1960:      37          61
1964:       36         63
1968:       15         56  28 (American Independent)
1972:        12        84
1976:        39        59
1980:        25        70
1984:        17        82
1988:        22       76
1992:        24       51  23 (Perot)
1996:        34       55  10 (Perot)
2000:        35       62
2004:        31        67
2008:        36       62
2012:        35       63
2016:        36       60
2020:       37        61
Upper South county that is developing into an outer suburban area

Suburban county in North Carolina
D/R/3rd Party

1896: 67/29
1900: 72/11
1904: 77/18
1908: 57/24
1912: 58/12/30 (Roosevelt)
1916: 44/39
1920: 39/55
1924: 50/34
1928: 39/60
1932: 65/35
1936: 60/40
1940: 59/41
1944: 56/44
1948: 44.7/44.6
1952: 38/62
1956: 35/65
1960: 32/68
1964: 44/56
1968: 20/44/36 (Wallace)
1972: 17/83
1976: 49/50
1980: 36/60
1984: 27/74 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1988: 31/68
1992: 33/42/25 (Perot)
1996: 47/39/14 (Perot)
2000: 51/47
2004: 47/53
2008: 59/40
2012: 62/37
2016: 60/36
2020: 56/43



Suburban county in North Carolina.

         D:    R:
1892: 53  42
1896: 30  64
1900: 44  53
1904: 46  51
1908: 42  51
1912: 44  29 22 (Progressive), 5 (Socialist)
1916: 48  46
1920: 38  56
1924: 38  49  13 (Progressive)
1928: 42  56
1932: 43  52
1936: 48  47
1940: 56  43
1944: 51  49
1948: 49  51
1952: 37  62
1956: 33   65
1960: 49   50
1964: 72    27
1968: 46    53
1972: 37    61
1976: 48    50
1980: 29    56  14 (Anderson)
1984: 29    68
1988: 34    64
1992: 37    35  27 (Perot)
1996: 48    37  17 (Perot)
2000: 46    48
2004:  51    47
2008:  53    46
2012:  49    48
2016:  40    53
2020:  42    56
Micropolitan Midwestern county that is whiter and more blue collar than the national average, and roughly average church attendance rates

R/D/3rd Party

1856: 33/46/20
1860: 45/43/11
1864: 58/42
1868: 56/44
1872: 45/55
1876: 49/50
1880: 54/46
1884: 53/46
1888: 52/47
1892: 51/47
1896: 60/40
1900: 57/41
1904: 66/25/8
1908: 56/40
1912: 38/39/23
1916: 53/43
1920: 57/39
1924: 61/18/21
1928: 57/43
1932: 48/49
1936: 39/55
1940: 51/49
1944: 52/48
1948: 52/47
1952: 60/40
1956: 66/34
1960: 55/45
1964: 45/55
1968: 50/37/13
1972: 66/33
1976: 60/38
1980: 58/36
1984: 63/36
1988: 61/38
1992: 48/37/16
1996: 50/43
2000: 54/43
2004: 53/47
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/53
2016: 42/53
2020: 41/57
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2022, 11:24:46 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%  
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%  
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34%  
1936: 68%  29%    
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%  
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7%  
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%  
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71


Southern rural county with a sizeable black population.

           D:             R:
1880:   23              76
1884:   52              47
1888:   35              63
1892:   <1              18  (80% Populist)
1896:    89              10
1900:    76             23
1904:    32           18    (37% Socialist, 11% Populist)
1908:     51          33    (12% Socialist)
1912:     39          11     (25% Socialist, 25% Progressive)
1916:     45          26     (27% Socialist)
1920:     36          42     (20% Socialist)
1924:     25           20     (53% Progressive)
1928:     61          36
1932:     79          20
1936:    84          15
1940:    76          23
1944:    64          35
1948:    50          41  (7% Progressive)
1952:    50          49
1956:    42          55
1960:    63          36
1964:    58          41
1968:    27          30    (41% American Independent)
1972:    26          73
1976:    57          38
1980:    20          71     (5% Anderson)
1984:    13          81
1988:    17         78
1992:    3           51      (46% Perot)
1996:    10         58       (23% Perot)
2000:    6          76        (17% Reform)
2004:    22        74              
2008:    21        73                
2012:    20       78        
2016:    11       69         (9% Johnson, 7% Bernie write-in)
2020:    13       84        
Probably somewhere in the rural Interior West that is overwhelmingly white and blue-collar, though not particularly religious

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 49/44
1888: 54/42
1892: 54/39
1896: 58/38
1900: 56/40
1904: 56/39
1908: 55/41
1912: 28/40/27/5 (Progressive/Prohibition)
1916: 55/40
1920: 70/26
1924: 73/23
1928: 73/26
1932: 64/33
1936: 64/34
1940: 66/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 67/28
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 66/34
1964: 36/64
1968: 53/41
1972: 59/41
1976: 54/45
1980: 42/40/14 (John Anderson)
1984: 48/51
1988: 41/59
1992: 28/56/16 (Reform)
1996: 31/56/7 (Reform)
2000: 33/54/11 (Green)
2004: 33/64
2008: 28/70
2012: 28/69
2016: 24/68
2020: 24/74


Highly educated, white-collar and secular county.

               D:    R:
1880:      52     44
1884:       50    46
1888:       53    44
1892:       56    18     26 (Populist)
1896:       69     24
1900:        72     15   7 (Prohibition)
1904:        66     18    10 (Socialist)
1908:        62     19     10 (Socialist)
1912:        68      7     15 (Progressive),  10 (Socialist)
1916:        57      28    8 (Socialist), 7 (Prohibition)
1920:        57      35    5 (Socialist)
1924:        54       18    22 (Progressive), 5 (Prohibition)
1928:        25       71
1932:        64       32
1936:        65       35
1940:       59        39
1944:      56         43
1948:      37         46  13 (States' Rights)
1952:      30          68
1956:      30          68
1960:      37          61
1964:       36         63
1968:       15         56  28 (American Independent)
1972:        12        84
1976:        39        59
1980:        25        70
1984:        17        82
1988:        22       76
1992:        24       51  23 (Perot)
1996:        34       55  10 (Perot)
2000:        35       62
2004:        31        67
2008:        36       62
2012:        35       63
2016:        36       60
2020:       37        61
Upper South county that is developing into an outer suburban area

Suburban county in North Carolina
D/R/3rd Party

1896: 67/29
1900: 72/11
1904: 77/18
1908: 57/24
1912: 58/12/30 (Roosevelt)
1916: 44/39
1920: 39/55
1924: 50/34
1928: 39/60
1932: 65/35
1936: 60/40
1940: 59/41
1944: 56/44
1948: 44.7/44.6
1952: 38/62
1956: 35/65
1960: 32/68
1964: 44/56
1968: 20/44/36 (Wallace)
1972: 17/83
1976: 49/50
1980: 36/60
1984: 27/74 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1988: 31/68
1992: 33/42/25 (Perot)
1996: 47/39/14 (Perot)
2000: 51/47
2004: 47/53
2008: 59/40
2012: 62/37
2016: 60/36
2020: 56/43



Suburban county in North Carolina.

         D:    R:
1892: 53  42
1896: 30  64
1900: 44  53
1904: 46  51
1908: 42  51
1912: 44  29 22 (Progressive), 5 (Socialist)
1916: 48  46
1920: 38  56
1924: 38  49  13 (Progressive)
1928: 42  56
1932: 43  52
1936: 48  47
1940: 56  43
1944: 51  49
1948: 49  51
1952: 37  62
1956: 33   65
1960: 49   50
1964: 72    27
1968: 46    53
1972: 37    61
1976: 48    50
1980: 29    56  14 (Anderson)
1984: 29    68
1988: 34    64
1992: 37    35  27 (Perot)
1996: 48    37  17 (Perot)
2000: 46    48
2004:  51    47
2008:  53    46
2012:  49    48
2016:  40    53
2020:  42    56
Micropolitan Midwestern county that is whiter and more blue collar than the national average, and roughly average church attendance rates

R/D/3rd Party

1856: 33/46/20
1860: 45/43/11
1864: 58/42
1868: 56/44
1872: 45/55
1876: 49/50
1880: 54/46
1884: 53/46
1888: 52/47
1892: 51/47
1896: 60/40
1900: 57/41
1904: 66/25/8
1908: 56/40
1912: 38/39/23
1916: 53/43
1920: 57/39
1924: 61/18/21
1928: 57/43
1932: 48/49
1936: 39/55
1940: 51/49
1944: 52/48
1948: 52/47
1952: 60/40
1956: 66/34
1960: 55/45
1964: 45/55
1968: 50/37/13
1972: 66/33
1976: 60/38
1980: 58/36
1984: 63/36
1988: 61/38
1992: 48/37/16
1996: 50/43
2000: 54/43
2004: 53/47
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/53
2016: 42/53
2020: 41/57

Rural, Midwestern county with an above average religiosity rate and somewhat suburban.

                  Dem:      Rep:
1876: 69/30
1880: 62/36
1884: 64/34
1888: 55/43
1892: 49/40/6 (Populist)
1896: 57/40
1900: 64/34
1904: 50/47
1908: 51/46
1912: 42/30/21 (Progressive)
1916: 57/40
1920:45/51
1924: 47/35/12 (Progressive)
1928: 45/52
1932: 76/22
1936: 78/20
1940: 70/29
1944: 69/30
1948: 55/28/16 (States' Rights)
1952: 63/37
1956:50/34/16 (States' Rights)
1960: 60/39
1964: 52/47
1968: 30/36/34 (Wallace)
1972: 42/57
1976: 56/42
1980: 49/44
1984: 45/52
1988: 52/45
1992: 50/32/13 (Perot)
1996: 57/28
2000: 57/40
2004: 53/45
2008: 54/44
2012: 54/44
2016: 42/52
2020: 45/52
Rural County in Arkansas that has a roughly equal amount of Whites and African Americans, and is blue collar

R/D/3rd

1892: 40/34/26
1896: 51/45
1900: 51/42
1904: 60/23/17
1908: 54/32/15
1912: 1/39/60
1916: 57/35
1920: 72/20
1924: 67/9/24
1928: 79/20
1932: 46/48
1936: 43/55
1940: 55/43
1944: 57/42
1948: 61/36
1952: 70/29
1956: 67/32
1960: 61/39
1964: 56/44
1968: 63/30
1972: 69/27
1976: 62/35
1980: 68/23
1984: 75/24
1988: 68/31
1992: 44/32/25
1996: 52/38/10
2000: 56/40
2004: 60/39
2008: 50/48
2012: 52/46
2016: 42/51
2020: 44/53
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2022, 04:36:45 PM »

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34


D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76
90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48


Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70


Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%  
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%  
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34%  
1936: 68%  29%    
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%  
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7%  
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%  
Rural County in Northern Appalachia where a large college was built and opened between 2016 and 2020

D/R/3rd Party

1888: 62/36
1892: 63/33
1896: 62/36
1900: 59/39
1904: 54/41
1908: 58/37
1912: 59/19/22
1916: 64/34
1920: 56/42
1924: 54/42
1928: 43/56
1932: 65/33
1936: 65/34
1940: 60/40
1944: 59/41
1948: 62/37
1952: 59/41
1956: 57/44 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1960: 56/44
1964: 75/25
1968: 57/35
1972: 41/58
1976: 62/37
1980: 58/38
1984: 59/40
1988: 65/35
1992: 56/23/21
1996: 56/29/15
2000: 53/43
2004: 49/50
2008: 48.6/49.0
2012: 40/58
2016: 28/68
2020: 28/71


Southern rural county with a sizeable black population.

           D:             R:
1880:   23              76
1884:   52              47
1888:   35              63
1892:   <1              18  (80% Populist)
1896:    89              10
1900:    76             23
1904:    32           18    (37% Socialist, 11% Populist)
1908:     51          33    (12% Socialist)
1912:     39          11     (25% Socialist, 25% Progressive)
1916:     45          26     (27% Socialist)
1920:     36          42     (20% Socialist)
1924:     25           20     (53% Progressive)
1928:     61          36
1932:     79          20
1936:    84          15
1940:    76          23
1944:    64          35
1948:    50          41  (7% Progressive)
1952:    50          49
1956:    42          55
1960:    63          36
1964:    58          41
1968:    27          30    (41% American Independent)
1972:    26          73
1976:    57          38
1980:    20          71     (5% Anderson)
1984:    13          81
1988:    17         78
1992:    3           51      (46% Perot)
1996:    10         58       (23% Perot)
2000:    6          76        (17% Reform)
2004:    22        74              
2008:    21        73                
2012:    20       78        
2016:    11       69         (9% Johnson, 7% Bernie write-in)
2020:    13       84        
Probably somewhere in the rural Interior West that is overwhelmingly white and blue-collar, though not particularly religious

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 49/44
1888: 54/42
1892: 54/39
1896: 58/38
1900: 56/40
1904: 56/39
1908: 55/41
1912: 28/40/27/5 (Progressive/Prohibition)
1916: 55/40
1920: 70/26
1924: 73/23
1928: 73/26
1932: 64/33
1936: 64/34
1940: 66/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 67/28
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 66/34
1964: 36/64
1968: 53/41
1972: 59/41
1976: 54/45
1980: 42/40/14 (John Anderson)
1984: 48/51
1988: 41/59
1992: 28/56/16 (Reform)
1996: 31/56/7 (Reform)
2000: 33/54/11 (Green)
2004: 33/64
2008: 28/70
2012: 28/69
2016: 24/68
2020: 24/74


Highly educated, white-collar and secular county.

               D:    R:
1880:      52     44
1884:       50    46
1888:       53    44
1892:       56    18     26 (Populist)
1896:       69     24
1900:        72     15   7 (Prohibition)
1904:        66     18    10 (Socialist)
1908:        62     19     10 (Socialist)
1912:        68      7     15 (Progressive),  10 (Socialist)
1916:        57      28    8 (Socialist), 7 (Prohibition)
1920:        57      35    5 (Socialist)
1924:        54       18    22 (Progressive), 5 (Prohibition)
1928:        25       71
1932:        64       32
1936:        65       35
1940:       59        39
1944:      56         43
1948:      37         46  13 (States' Rights)
1952:      30          68
1956:      30          68
1960:      37          61
1964:       36         63
1968:       15         56  28 (American Independent)
1972:        12        84
1976:        39        59
1980:        25        70
1984:        17        82
1988:        22       76
1992:        24       51  23 (Perot)
1996:        34       55  10 (Perot)
2000:        35       62
2004:        31        67
2008:        36       62
2012:        35       63
2016:        36       60
2020:       37        61
Upper South county that is developing into an outer suburban area

Suburban county in North Carolina
D/R/3rd Party

1896: 67/29
1900: 72/11
1904: 77/18
1908: 57/24
1912: 58/12/30 (Roosevelt)
1916: 44/39
1920: 39/55
1924: 50/34
1928: 39/60
1932: 65/35
1936: 60/40
1940: 59/41
1944: 56/44
1948: 44.7/44.6
1952: 38/62
1956: 35/65
1960: 32/68
1964: 44/56
1968: 20/44/36 (Wallace)
1972: 17/83
1976: 49/50
1980: 36/60
1984: 27/74 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1988: 31/68
1992: 33/42/25 (Perot)
1996: 47/39/14 (Perot)
2000: 51/47
2004: 47/53
2008: 59/40
2012: 62/37
2016: 60/36
2020: 56/43



Suburban county in North Carolina.

         D:    R:
1892: 53  42
1896: 30  64
1900: 44  53
1904: 46  51
1908: 42  51
1912: 44  29 22 (Progressive), 5 (Socialist)
1916: 48  46
1920: 38  56
1924: 38  49  13 (Progressive)
1928: 42  56
1932: 43  52
1936: 48  47
1940: 56  43
1944: 51  49
1948: 49  51
1952: 37  62
1956: 33   65
1960: 49   50
1964: 72    27
1968: 46    53
1972: 37    61
1976: 48    50
1980: 29    56  14 (Anderson)
1984: 29    68
1988: 34    64
1992: 37    35  27 (Perot)
1996: 48    37  17 (Perot)
2000: 46    48
2004:  51    47
2008:  53    46
2012:  49    48
2016:  40    53
2020:  42    56
Micropolitan Midwestern county that is whiter and more blue collar than the national average, and roughly average church attendance rates

R/D/3rd Party

1856: 33/46/20
1860: 45/43/11
1864: 58/42
1868: 56/44
1872: 45/55
1876: 49/50
1880: 54/46
1884: 53/46
1888: 52/47
1892: 51/47
1896: 60/40
1900: 57/41
1904: 66/25/8
1908: 56/40
1912: 38/39/23
1916: 53/43
1920: 57/39
1924: 61/18/21
1928: 57/43
1932: 48/49
1936: 39/55
1940: 51/49
1944: 52/48
1948: 52/47
1952: 60/40
1956: 66/34
1960: 55/45
1964: 45/55
1968: 50/37/13
1972: 66/33
1976: 60/38
1980: 58/36
1984: 63/36
1988: 61/38
1992: 48/37/16
1996: 50/43
2000: 54/43
2004: 53/47
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/53
2016: 42/53
2020: 41/57

Rural, Midwestern county with an above average religiosity rate and somewhat suburban.

                  Dem:      Rep:
1876: 69/30
1880: 62/36
1884: 64/34
1888: 55/43
1892: 49/40/6 (Populist)
1896: 57/40
1900: 64/34
1904: 50/47
1908: 51/46
1912: 42/30/21 (Progressive)
1916: 57/40
1920:45/51
1924: 47/35/12 (Progressive)
1928: 45/52
1932: 76/22
1936: 78/20
1940: 70/29
1944: 69/30
1948: 55/28/16 (States' Rights)
1952: 63/37
1956:50/34/16 (States' Rights)
1960: 60/39
1964: 52/47
1968: 30/36/34 (Wallace)
1972: 42/57
1976: 56/42
1980: 49/44
1984: 45/52
1988: 52/45
1992: 50/32/13 (Perot)
1996: 57/28
2000: 57/40
2004: 53/45
2008: 54/44
2012: 54/44
2016: 42/52
2020: 45/52
Rural County in Arkansas that has a roughly equal amount of Whites and African Americans, and is blue collar

R/D/3rd

1892: 40/34/26
1896: 51/45
1900: 51/42
1904: 60/23/17
1908: 54/32/15
1912: 1/39/60
1916: 57/35
1920: 72/20
1924: 67/9/24
1928: 79/20
1932: 46/48
1936: 43/55
1940: 55/43
1944: 57/42
1948: 61/36
1952: 70/29
1956: 67/32
1960: 61/39
1964: 56/44
1968: 63/30
1972: 69/27
1976: 62/35
1980: 68/23
1984: 75/24
1988: 68/31
1992: 44/32/25
1996: 52/38/10
2000: 56/40
2004: 60/39
2008: 50/48
2012: 52/46
2016: 42/51
2020: 44/53

Suburban county in Kansas
          R:           D:
1876: 41/58
1880: 43/52
1884: 42/54
1888: 42/55
1892: 43/52
1896:  33/63
1900:  46/51
1904: 50/43
1908: 34/54/9 (Socialist)
1912: 21/42/26 (Progressive)/10 (Socialist)
1916: 36/59
1920: 39/55
1924: 40/44/14 (Progressive)
1928: 61/37
1932: 3/93
1936: 25/74
1940: 30/68
1944: 40/59
1948: 49/50
1952: 51/47
1956: 50/49
1960: 55/43
1964: 25/74
1968: 59/21/16 (American Independent)
1972: 77/21
1976: 52/43
1980: 56/36/5 (Anderson)
1984: 65/34
1988: 57/40
1992: 41/51/7 (Perot)
1996: 49/48
2000: 58/36
2004: 59/39
2008: 50/47
2012: 52/46
2016: 62/36
2020: 62/36 
Mostly WWC area in Appalachia

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 77/22
1884: 76/24
1888: 74/25
1892: 74/25
1896: 63/32
1900: 68/28
1904: 62/35
1908: 65/32
1912: 68/12/21
1916: 69/30
1920: 50/48
1924: 50/44
1928: 30/69
1932: 57/42
1936: 58/41
1940: 53/47
1944: 47/53
1948: 47/53
1952: 38/62
1956: 35/64
1960: 36/64
1964: 62/37
1968: 39/53
1972: 30/68
1976: 47/51
1980: 34/55/11
1984: 34/66
1988: 36/63
1992: 36/39/25
1996: 42/44/13
2000: 47/50
2004: 49.6/49.7
2008: 57/41
2012: 56/43
2016: 49/48
2020: 52/46
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #13 on: April 21, 2022, 07:58:59 PM »

1992: 40 39 21
1996: 42 44 11 1
2000: 47 46 7
2004: 49 48 3
2008: 53 45 2
2012: 51 48 1
2016: 48 41 5  3 1
2020: 55 42 3

Southern majority-white county with a high black population.

Mine is actually a real county. Try to identify what region of the country it is in (or even which state).

2020: 66-32% R
2016: 57-33% R
2012: 53-44% R
2008: 59-40% R
2004: 62-37% R
2000: 55-41% R
1996: 52-34% D
1992: 42.5-36% D
1988: 52.5-46% D
1984: 52-48% D
1980: 54-41% D
1976: 61-36% D
1972: 52-46% D
1968: 65-27% D
1964: 74-26.5% D
1960: 70-30% D
1956: 60-40% D
1952: 69-31% D

CR's county is in rural Arizona, and ChristianMan's county is a mostly WWC county in Northern Appalachia

R/D/3rd Party

1908: 48/35/17 (mostly Socialist and Prohibition)
1912: 0/39/61 (Progressive)
1916: 41/49
1920: 65/28
1924: 68/32
1928: 68/31
1932: 29/67
1936: 38/61
1940: 47/53
1944: 54/46
1948: 53/45
1952: 62/37
1956: 56/44
1960: 54/46
1964: 48/52
1968: 53/37
1972: 62/35
1976: 50/48
1980: 56/37
1984: 62/37
1988: 55/44
1992: 39/44/18 (Mostly Reform)
1996: 37/55
2000: 43/54
2004: 46/52
2008: 36/62
2012: 33/65
2016: 26/68
2020: 37/61
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2022, 11:54:06 PM »

Definitely giving NE Ohio.

D-R-I

1960: 45-53
1964: 63-32
1968: 49-42-8
1972: 42-57
1976: 56-43
1980: 50-47-2
1984: 46-52
1988: 54-44
1992: 53-42-4
1996: 56-42
2000: 59-39
2004: 57-36
2008: 63-34
2012: 59-35
2016: 51-41-8
2020: 53-44
Upper Midwest County home to a midsized city

R/D/I

1952: 49/51
1956: 52/48
1960: 49/51
1964: 33/66
1968: 55/41
1972: 66/32
1976: 64/35
1980: 58/25/17
1984: 70/29
1988: 65/32
1992: 41/37/23
1996: 50/40/10
2000: 55/41
2004: 52/46
2008: 46/53
2012: 45/49/6
2016: 31/51/18
2020: 35/61
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #15 on: December 25, 2022, 11:49:48 PM »

Definitely giving NE Ohio.

D-R-I

1960: 45-53
1964: 63-32
1968: 49-42-8
1972: 42-57
1976: 56-43
1980: 50-47-2
1984: 46-52
1988: 54-44
1992: 53-42-4
1996: 56-42
2000: 59-39
2004: 57-36
2008: 63-34
2012: 59-35
2016: 51-41-8
2020: 53-44
Upper Midwest County home to a midsized city

R/D/I

1952: 49/51
1956: 52/48
1960: 49/51
1964: 33/66
1968: 55/41
1972: 66/32
1976: 64/35
1980: 58/25/17
1984: 70/29
1988: 65/32
1992: 41/37/23
1996: 50/40/10
2000: 55/41
2004: 52/46
2008: 46/53
2012: 45/49/6
2016: 31/51/18
2020: 35/61

A county in Utah that was relatively rural in the late 20th century, but developed into a 'resort' county after the Cold War, and is now dominated by its 'resort' communities. (Along the lines of a more Mormon version of Teton County, WY)

R/D/I

1948 - 44/55
1952 - 54/46
1956 - 55/45
1960 - 46/54
1964 - 35/65
1968 - 41/47/12
1972 - 57/41
1976 - 45/52
1980 - 55/35/10
1984 - 57/42
1988 - 51/47
1992 - 32/42/26
1996 - 36/50/14
2000 - 44/52
2004 - 45/54
2008 - 40/58
2012 - 42/56
2016 - 45/50
2020 - 47/51
Largely blue collar county in the Northwest

R/D/3rd

1912: 10/14/46
1916: 39/57
1920: 54/46
1924: 41/38/22
1928: 53/47
1932: 24/75
1936: 25/72
1940: 31/69
1944: 39/61
1948: 38/61
1952: 52/48
1956: 53/47
1960: 47/53
1964: 41/59
1968: 42/46/12
1972: 60/36
1976: 45/51
1980: 52/40
1984: 57/42
1988: 51/47
1992: 32/42/26
1996: 35/53/12
2000: 49/48
2004: 57/42
2008: 56/42
2012: 57/41
2016: 56/37
2020: 58/40
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #16 on: December 28, 2022, 09:22:19 PM »

Definitely giving NE Ohio.

D-R-I

1960: 45-53
1964: 63-32
1968: 49-42-8
1972: 42-57
1976: 56-43
1980: 50-47-2
1984: 46-52
1988: 54-44
1992: 53-42-4
1996: 56-42
2000: 59-39
2004: 57-36
2008: 63-34
2012: 59-35
2016: 51-41-8
2020: 53-44
Upper Midwest County home to a midsized city

R/D/I

1952: 49/51
1956: 52/48
1960: 49/51
1964: 33/66
1968: 55/41
1972: 66/32
1976: 64/35
1980: 58/25/17
1984: 70/29
1988: 65/32
1992: 41/37/23
1996: 50/40/10
2000: 55/41
2004: 52/46
2008: 46/53
2012: 45/49/6
2016: 31/51/18
2020: 35/61

A county in Utah that was relatively rural in the late 20th century, but developed into a 'resort' county after the Cold War, and is now dominated by its 'resort' communities. (Along the lines of a more Mormon version of Teton County, WY)

R/D/I

1948 - 44/55
1952 - 54/46
1956 - 55/45
1960 - 46/54
1964 - 35/65
1968 - 41/47/12
1972 - 57/41
1976 - 45/52
1980 - 55/35/10
1984 - 57/42
1988 - 51/47
1992 - 32/42/26
1996 - 36/50/14
2000 - 44/52
2004 - 45/54
2008 - 40/58
2012 - 42/56
2016 - 45/50
2020 - 47/51
Largely blue collar county in the Northwest

R/D/3rd

1912: 10/14/46
1916: 39/57
1920: 54/46
1924: 41/38/22
1928: 53/47
1932: 24/75
1936: 25/72
1940: 31/69
1944: 39/61
1948: 38/61
1952: 52/48
1956: 53/47
1960: 47/53
1964: 41/59
1968: 42/46/12
1972: 60/36
1976: 45/51
1980: 52/40
1984: 57/42
1988: 51/47
1992: 32/42/26
1996: 35/53/12
2000: 49/48
2004: 57/42
2008: 56/42
2012: 57/41
2016: 56/37
2020: 58/40

Working class county possibly in Appalachia or the Midwest with a Southern infuence.

D/RThird Party
1876: 31/68
1880: 26/71
1884: 37/60
1888: 24/73
1892: 40/56
1896: 22/75
1900: 29/66
1904: 32/63
1908: 31/64
1912: 36/38/26
1916: 41/54
1920: 28/68
1924: 34/63
1928: 51/47
1932: 58/38
1936: 59/38
1940: 64/34
1944: 65/34
1948: 64/33
1952: 52/47
1956: 43/56
1960: 69/30
1964: 82/18
1968: 66/29/5
1972: 46/52
1976: 59/37
1980:50/37/13
1984: 50/49
1988: 57/41
1992: 48/24/28
1996: 62/21/17
2000: 65/28/7
2004: 61/37
2008: 61/36
2012: 61/36
2016: 45/47/7
2020: 48.9/48.9--Biden wins by 5 votes
Strongly Catholic and extremely white post-industrial area in the Northeast

R/D/I

1912: 19/43/38
1916: 54/46
1920: 60/40
1924: 53/47
1928: 55/45
1932: 48/52
1936: 47/53
1940: 51/49
1944: 55/45
1948: 52/46
1952: 56/44
1956: 59/41
1960: 59/41
1964: 49/51
1968: 56/32/12
1972: 63/36
1976: 49.9/49.5
1980: 51/42
1984: 64/35
1988: 59/41
1992: 41/43/16
1996: 47/43/10
2000: 56/43
2004: 53/47
2008: 47/51
2012: 50/47
2016: 46/47
2020: 45/53
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #17 on: June 11, 2023, 10:08:56 PM »

R/D/Others

1924: 47/48/5 (La Follette)
1928: 52/48
1932: 39/60
1936: 41/59
1940: 50/50
1944: 50/49
1948: 38/61
1952: 56/44
1956: 55/45
1960: 55/45
1964: 40/60
1968: 41/48/11 (Wallace)
1972: 58/41
1976: 43/56
1980: 56/39
1984: 66/34
1988: 57/43
1992: 30/48/22 (Perot)
1996: 45/46/8 (Perot)
2000: 45/52
2004: 48/51
2008: 44/54
2012: 49/49
2016: 61/33
2020: 53/45

A formerly rural area of Ohio that exploded in growth since 2008.

       D/R/Other
1892: 25/50/25 (Weaver)
1896: 58/41
1900: 39/61
1904: 9/76/13 (Debs)
1908: 28/61/7 (Debs)
1912: 26/12/38 (Roosevelt)/22 (Debs)
1916: 60/27/10 (Benson)
1920: 29/53/14 (Debs)
1924: 6/29/49 (LaFollette)/15 (Foster)
1928: 39/57
1932: 56/36/5 (Thomas)
1936: 84/10
1940: 81/16
1944: 83/14
1948: 77/17
1952: 64/35
1956: 65/34
1960: 62/38
1964: 78/21
1968: 70/21/8 (Wallace)
1972: 58/41
1976: 62/34
1980: 57/31/8 (Anderson)
1984: 63/33
1988: 65/31
1992: 55/14/28 (Perot)
1996: 61/25/12 (Perot)
2000: 59/31/8 (Nader)
2004: 66/32
2008: 67/30
2012: 65/30
2016: 54/38
2020: 58/39
Majority African-American Rust Belt county
R/D/3rd party
1880: 60/39
1884: 62/34
1888: 60/38
1892: 59/39
1896: 77/18
1900: 66/29
1904: 60/38
1908: 65/31
1912: 39/37/25
1916: 59/39
1920: 70/28
1924: 66/32
1928: 60/39
1932: 51/48
1936: 48/47
1940: 51/49
1944: 49/51
1948: 51/48
1952: 61/39
1956: 66/34
1960: 44/56
1964: 22/78
1968: 37/59
1972: 58/42
1976: 49/51
1980: 40/44/16
1984: 56/44
1988: 48/52
1992: 31/44/26
1996: 28/57/15
2000: 34/59
2004: 43/55
2008: 40/58
2012: 40/58
2016: 47/46
2020: 45/53
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #18 on: June 12, 2023, 09:12:12 PM »

D/R/I
1892: 49/46
1896: 45/53
1900: 44/53
1904: 34/57
1908: 42/51
1912: 40/31/29
1916: 46/50
1920: 30/58/12
1924: 31/48/22
1928: 45/53
1932: 62/35
1936: 64/34
1940: 59/40
1944: 58/41
1948: 62/38
1952: 58/42
1956: 55/45
1960: 56/44
1964: 68/32
1968: 46/39/15
1972: 44/56
1976: 55/43
1980: 44/51
1984: 46/54
1988: 54/45
1992: 51/28/21
1996: 53/36/11
2000: 53/44
2004: 51/48
2008: 54/44
2012: 48/49
2016: 39/54
2020: 42/55
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