Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history

[Vice President Christian Man]

I don't think an actually county has this exact voting history, but how would you describe the average voter in this county (race, religion, annual income, etc.).

Dem/Rep:

1876: 59/37
1880: 54/43
1884:56/39
1888: 49/48
1892: 51/43
1896: 39/56
1900: 51/46
1904:44/51
1908: 49/48
1912: 59/P24/R15
1916: 51/42
1920: 45/50
1924: 53/34/P9
1928: 58/40
1932: 60/36
1936: 55/42
1940: 45/54
1944: 42/56
1948: 54/44
1952: 51/46
1956:59/39
1960: 63/36
1964: 63/35
1968: 40/35/AI 23
1972: 30/69
1976: 59/39
1980: 55/38
1984: 46/52
1988: 47/51
1992: 44/34/I22
1996: 51/33/I15
2000: 46/51
2004: 38/59
2008: 39/59
2012: 34/63
2016: 21/73
2020: 20/77

[CookieDamage]

White, conservative, rural

Mine:
D/R/I

1952: 58/40
1956: 54/45
1960: 64/31
1964: 52/46
1968: 47/41/11
1972: 38/57
1976: 64/32
1980: 55/44
1984: 43/56
1988: 53/45
1992: 49/35/15
1996: 45/42/8
2000: 45/50/2
2004: 43/53
2008: 48/49
2012: 49/47
2016: 46/49
2020: 48/50

Bonus: how will it vote in 2024 and 2028?

[Vice President Christian Man]

White, conservative, rural

Mine:
D/R/I

1952: 58/40
1956: 54/45
1960: 64/31
1964: 52/46
1968: 47/41/11
1972: 38/57
1976: 64/32
1980: 55/44
1984: 43/56
1988: 53/45
1992: 49/35/15
1996: 45/42/8
2000: 45/50/2
2004: 43/53
2008: 48/49
2012: 49/47
2016: 46/49
2020: 48/50

Bonus: how will it vote in 2024 and 2028?

Upper South county with a high black population.

2024: 45/52
2028: 46/51

55% white, 38% black, 4% asian, 3% other. Mostly middle class with some blue collar sections. Primarily Protestant, with some non-church goers and Catholics, as well as a small Jewish population.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

White, conservative, rural

Mine:
D/R/I

1952: 58/40
1956: 54/45
1960: 64/31
1964: 52/46
1968: 47/41/11
1972: 38/57
1976: 64/32
1980: 55/44
1984: 43/56
1988: 53/45
1992: 49/35/15
1996: 45/42/8
2000: 45/50/2
2004: 43/53
2008: 48/49
2012: 49/47
2016: 46/49
2020: 48/50

Bonus: how will it vote in 2024 and 2028?

This is such a boring and uninspired answer that I had to step in and at least try to give a better one.

To the original post:

This a upper Southern county in lower Indiana. It voted Dem up until Bryan out of Civil War memories, but swung right in 1896 because of its growing industry and concerns over Bryan's radicalism. It voted against Cox in 1920 because of opposition to the Versailles Treaty, but swung back D in 1924, perhaps because of Davis's nearby West Virginia ties. It then supports Roosevelt in 1932, but swings to the right during his Presidency due to its Midwestern isolationism. It then swings back to Truman in 1948 over concerns that Republicans will eliminate New Deal Programs + continuing ancestral D legacy only temporarily broken by Bryanite radicalism/Wilsonian and Rooseveltian interventionism. In 1968, it has a strong Wallace showing due to its Southernishness, and for that same reason votes for Carter in 1976 and 1980. However, generational change and growing conservatism reduces the power of ancestral D loyalties, causing this county to vote Republican in 1984 and 1988. It swings back for Southerner Bill Clinton, but rockets right with Clinton out of office, voting for every Republican candidate since 1996 by increasing margins, with the exception of a small swing to Obama in 2008 (a real Indiana county would probably have seen a bigger Obama swing, so maybe this county is just across the border in Kentucky, but Indiana is overall the best fit.)


Skip.

[H. Ross Peron]

Dem/Rep

1876: 44/56
1880: 42/58
1884: 45/50
1888: 43/53
1892: 44/47
1896: 45/54
1900: 43/56
1904: 39/61
1908: 42/58
1912: 29/20/40 (Progressive win)
1916: 46/54
1920: 35/65
1924: 23/53/24
1928: 44/56
1932: 59/41
1936: 68/32
1940: 60/40
1944: 58/42
1948: 60/36/4 (for Wallace)
1952: 52/48
1956: 48/52
1960: 57/43
1964: 73/27
1968: 56/38/6
1972: 47/53
1976: 61/39
1980: 52/41/7
1984: 54/46
1988: 59/39
1992: 50/29/21
1996: 56/38/6
2000: 55/40/5
2004: 59/41
2008: 65/35
2012: 63/37
2016: 52/43
2020: 57/41

[CookieDamage]

Dem/Rep

1876: 44/56
1880: 42/58
1884: 45/50
1888: 43/53
1892: 44/47
1896: 45/54
1900: 43/56
1904: 39/61
1908: 42/58
1912: 29/20/40 (Progressive win)
1916: 46/54
1920: 35/65
1924: 23/53/24
1928: 44/56
1932: 59/41
1936: 68/32
1940: 60/40
1944: 58/42
1948: 60/36/4 (for Wallace)
1952: 52/48
1956: 48/52
1960: 57/43
1964: 73/27
1968: 56/38/6
1972: 47/53
1976: 61/39
1980: 52/41/7
1984: 54/46
1988: 59/39
1992: 50/29/21
1996: 56/38/6
2000: 55/40/5
2004: 59/41
2008: 65/35
2012: 63/37
2016: 52/43
2020: 57/41

A community anchored by a major city, maybe a big college in university, but with significant WWC areas that explains the R trend since 2012.

D/R/I
1924: 32/60
1928: 41/58
1932: 55/39
1936: 72/25
1940: 60/39
1944: 56/43
1948: 48/47/2
1952: 39/59
1956: 36/61
1960: 48/49
1964: 74/22
1968: 50/41/8
1972: 42/56
1976: 45/51
1980: 44/50/5
1984: 42/57
1988: 46/53
1992: 39/40/20
1996: 45/44/10
2000: 47/46/5
2004: 41/55
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/52
2016: 48/49/1
2020: 49/50

Bonus: guess how 2024/28/32 will go.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Dem/Rep

1876: 44/56
1880: 42/58
1884: 45/50
1888: 43/53
1892: 44/47
1896: 45/54
1900: 43/56
1904: 39/61
1908: 42/58
1912: 29/20/40 (Progressive win)
1916: 46/54
1920: 35/65
1924: 23/53/24
1928: 44/56
1932: 59/41
1936: 68/32
1940: 60/40
1944: 58/42
1948: 60/36/4 (for Wallace)
1952: 52/48
1956: 48/52
1960: 57/43
1964: 73/27
1968: 56/38/6
1972: 47/53
1976: 61/39
1980: 52/41/7
1984: 54/46
1988: 59/39
1992: 50/29/21
1996: 56/38/6
2000: 55/40/5
2004: 59/41
2008: 65/35
2012: 63/37
2016: 52/43
2020: 57/41

A community anchored by a major city, maybe a big college in university, but with significant WWC areas that explains the R trend since 2012.

D/R/I
1924: 32/60
1928: 41/58
1932: 55/39
1936: 72/25
1940: 60/39
1944: 56/43
1948: 48/47/2
1952: 39/59
1956: 36/61
1960: 48/49
1964: 74/22
1968: 50/41/8
1972: 42/56
1976: 45/51
1980: 44/50/5
1984: 42/57
1988: 46/53
1992: 39/40/20
1996: 45/44/10
2000: 47/46/5
2004: 41/55
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/52
2016: 48/49/1
2020: 49/50

Bonus: guess how 2024/28/32 will go.

Midwestern, possibly in the farm belt based off of the lack of a swing between '88 & 92 and suburban with a swing against Trump, but still enough exurban or rural areas to give Trump a win. Mostly protestant & middle class with working class and rich areas.

I'm guessing R in 2024 and 2028 and possibly D in 2032.

     D:  R:
1876: 48/51
1880: 41/56
1884: 49/50
1888: 46/53
1892: 42/34/25(Populist)
1896: 53/46
1900: 35/62
1904: 32/65
1908: 35/63
1912: 34.4/34.5/31 (Progressive)
1916: 37/62
1920: 35/64
1924: 30/62/7 (Progressive)
1928: 30/69
1932: 40/59
1936: 49/50
1940: 47/52
1944: 41/58
1948: 47/52
1952: 46/53
1956: 45/55
1960: 59/40
1964: 64/35
1968: 54/28/18 (American Indepdent)
1972: 34/63
1976: 69/29
1980: 54/43
1984: 47/52
1988:54/44
1992: 51/33/14 (Independent)
1996: 52/33/13 (Indepdent)
2000: 48/49
2004: 39/60
2008: 34/64
2012: 26/72
2016: 13/81
2020: 17/80

[CookieDamage]

Definitely getting either something in the upper midwest to explain 1988's strong performance or maybe the upper/inland south to explain the strong 1990s performance and then hardcore shift to the right since. I'm guessing it's hyperwhite, rural or exurban, and working class with large agrarian segments.

Federalist/Democratic-Republican

1796: 40/58
1800: 39/60
1804: 33/65
1808: 35/63
1812: 45/54
1816: 34/63
1820: 4/95

Quincy Adams/Jackson/Crawford/Clay

1824: 44/39/2/15

Whig/Democratic

1828: 49/50
1832: 44/37/15 (Clay/Jackson/Wirt)
1836: 41/45/3 (Harrison/Van Buren/Webster)
1840: 56/43
1844: 52/48
1848: 44/34/20 (Taylor/Cass/Van Buren)
1852: 53/45

Republican/Democratic

1856: 44/40/14 (Fremont/Buchanan/Filmore)
1860: 39/34/12/9 (Lincoln/Douglas/Bell/Breckinridge)
1864: 52/45
1868: 56/40
1872: 60/39 (Grant/Greeley)
1876: 45/53
1880: 54/45
1884: 43/55
1888: 54/44
1892: 48/40/8 (Harrison/Cleveland/Weaver)
1896: 56/42
1900: 56/44
1904: 59/38
1908: 53/46

Progressive/Republican/Democratic/Socialist

1912: 41/25/32/2

Republican/Democratic

1916: 54/43
1920: 63/35
1924: 66/30
1928: 56/44
1932: 48/50
1936: 37/60
1940: 39/57
1944: 44/53
1948: 45/54/1 (Dewey/Truman/Thurmond)
1952: 46/52
1956: 55/44
1960: 45/54
1964: 27/72
1968: 39/49/9 (Nixon/Humphrey/Wallace)
1972: 52/48
1976: 31/66
1980: 42/56
1984: 57/42
1988: 50/48
1992: 40/49/10
1996: 39/50/6
2000: 43/57
2004: 45/54
2008: 41/59
2012: 40/59
2016: 39/55
2020: 34/65

[GregTheGreat657]

Definitely getting either something in the upper midwest to explain 1988's strong performance or maybe the upper/inland south to explain the strong 1990s performance and then hardcore shift to the right since. I'm guessing it's hyperwhite, rural or exurban, and working class with large agrarian segments.

Federalist/Democratic-Republican

1796: 40/58
1800: 39/60
1804: 33/65
1808: 35/63
1812: 45/54
1816: 34/63
1820: 4/95

Quincy Adams/Jackson/Crawford/Clay

1824: 44/39/2/15

Whig/Democratic

1828: 49/50
1832: 44/37/15 (Clay/Jackson/Wirt)
1836: 41/45/3 (Harrison/Van Buren/Webster)
1840: 56/43
1844: 52/48
1848: 44/34/20 (Taylor/Cass/Van Buren)
1852: 53/45

Republican/Democratic

1856: 44/40/14 (Fremont/Buchanan/Filmore)
1860: 39/34/12/9 (Lincoln/Douglas/Bell/Breckinridge)
1864: 52/45
1868: 56/40
1872: 60/39 (Grant/Greeley)
1876: 45/53
1880: 54/45
1884: 43/55
1888: 54/44
1892: 48/40/8 (Harrison/Cleveland/Weaver)
1896: 56/42
1900: 56/44
1904: 59/38
1908: 53/46

Progressive/Republican/Democratic/Socialist

1912: 41/25/32/2

Republican/Democratic

1916: 54/43
1920: 63/35
1924: 66/30
1928: 56/44
1932: 48/50
1936: 37/60
1940: 39/57
1944: 44/53
1948: 45/54/1 (Dewey/Truman/Thurmond)
1952: 46/52
1956: 55/44
1960: 45/54
1964: 27/72
1968: 39/49/9 (Nixon/Humphrey/Wallace)
1972: 52/48
1976: 31/66
1980: 42/56
1984: 57/42
1988: 50/48
1992: 40/49/10
1996: 39/50/6
2000: 43/57
2004: 45/54
2008: 41/59
2012: 40/59
2016: 39/55
2020: 34/65

Feels like a rural, but touristy county in the Midwest or New England, so mostly college-educated whites, who are wealthier and less religious than the national average

Republican/Democratic/3rd Party
1884: 52/45
1888: 53/44
1892: 50/44
1896: 60/37
1900: 58/39
1904: 57/40
1908: 56/40
1912: 34/38/28
1916: 54/43
1920: 65/30
1924: 66/27
1928: 63/36
1932: 57/42
1936: 55/44
1940: 57/43
1944: 56/44
1948: 52/44
1952: 64/36
1956: 72/28
1960: 54/46
1964: 34/66
1968: 55/40
1972: 68/32
1976: 54/45
1980: 51/41
1984: 64/35
1988: 54/45
1992: 40/36/23
1996: 38/45/17
2000: 51/44
2004: 57/41
2008: 54/45
2012: 53/45
2016: 64/31
2020: 64/34

[Vice President Christian Man]

Definitely getting either something in the upper midwest to explain 1988's strong performance or maybe the upper/inland south to explain the strong 1990s performance and then hardcore shift to the right since. I'm guessing it's hyperwhite, rural or exurban, and working class with large agrarian segments.

Federalist/Democratic-Republican

1796: 40/58
1800: 39/60
1804: 33/65
1808: 35/63
1812: 45/54
1816: 34/63
1820: 4/95

Quincy Adams/Jackson/Crawford/Clay

1824: 44/39/2/15

Whig/Democratic

1828: 49/50
1832: 44/37/15 (Clay/Jackson/Wirt)
1836: 41/45/3 (Harrison/Van Buren/Webster)
1840: 56/43
1844: 52/48
1848: 44/34/20 (Taylor/Cass/Van Buren)
1852: 53/45

Republican/Democratic

1856: 44/40/14 (Fremont/Buchanan/Filmore)
1860: 39/34/12/9 (Lincoln/Douglas/Bell/Breckinridge)
1864: 52/45
1868: 56/40
1872: 60/39 (Grant/Greeley)
1876: 45/53
1880: 54/45
1884: 43/55
1888: 54/44
1892: 48/40/8 (Harrison/Cleveland/Weaver)
1896: 56/42
1900: 56/44
1904: 59/38
1908: 53/46

Progressive/Republican/Democratic/Socialist

1912: 41/25/32/2

Republican/Democratic

1916: 54/43
1920: 63/35
1924: 66/30
1928: 56/44
1932: 48/50
1936: 37/60
1940: 39/57
1944: 44/53
1948: 45/54/1 (Dewey/Truman/Thurmond)
1952: 46/52
1956: 55/44
1960: 45/54
1964: 27/72
1968: 39/49/9 (Nixon/Humphrey/Wallace)
1972: 52/48
1976: 31/66
1980: 42/56
1984: 57/42
1988: 50/48
1992: 40/49/10
1996: 39/50/6
2000: 43/57
2004: 45/54
2008: 41/59
2012: 40/59
2016: 39/55
2020: 34/65

Feels like a rural, but touristy county in the Midwest or New England, so mostly college-educated whites, who are wealthier and less religious than the national average

Republican/Democratic/3rd Party
1884: 52/45
1888: 53/44
1892: 50/44
1896: 60/37
1900: 58/39
1904: 57/40
1908: 56/40
1912: 34/38/28
1916: 54/43
1920: 65/30
1924: 66/27
1928: 63/36
1932: 57/42
1936: 55/44
1940: 57/43
1944: 56/44
1948: 52/44
1952: 64/36
1956: 72/28
1960: 54/46
1964: 34/66
1968: 55/40
1972: 68/32
1976: 54/45
1980: 51/41
1984: 64/35
1988: 54/45
1992: 40/36/23
1996: 38/45/17
2000: 51/44
2004: 57/41
2008: 54/45
2012: 53/45
2016: 64/31
2020: 64/34

Upstate NY, middle-upper middle class, majority Protestant with a sizeable Catholic population

[Vice President Christian Man]

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52

[GregTheGreat657]

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52

My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2

[Vice President Christian Man]

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52

My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2

Suburban county in Ohio with a large enough working class population

        D:        R:
1888: 49/47
1892: 55/43
1896: 55/43
1900: 59/38
1904: 37/56
1908: 49/46
1912: 47/31/10 (Progressive)
1916: 54/41
1920: 47/49
1924: 19/61/18 (Progressive)
1928: 34/64
1932: 54/42
1936: 59/35
1940: 51/48
1944: 51/48
1948: 52/46
1952: 41/58
1956: 40/59
1960: 43/56
1964: 68/31
1968: 45/48/6 (American Independence)
1972: 33/64
1976: 41/55
1980: 35/56
1984: 41/57
1988: 50/49
1992: 45/33/20 (Perot)
1996: 48/40/10 (Perot)
2000: 47/48
2004: 46/52
2008: 46/51
2012: 37/60
2016: 38/56
2020: 42/56

[GregTheGreat657]

    D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52

My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2

Suburban county in Ohio with a large enough working class population

        D:        R:
1888: 49/47
1892: 55/43
1896: 55/43
1900: 59/38
1904: 37/56
1908: 49/46
1912: 47/31/10 (Progressive)
1916: 54/41
1920: 47/49
1924: 19/61/18 (Progressive)
1928: 34/64
1932: 54/42
1936: 59/35
1940: 51/48
1944: 51/48
1948: 52/46
1952: 41/58
1956: 40/59
1960: 43/56
1964: 68/31
1968: 45/48/6 (American Independence)
1972: 33/64
1976: 41/55
1980: 35/56
1984: 41/57
1988: 50/49
1992: 45/33/20 (Perot)
1996: 48/40/10 (Perot)
2000: 47/48
2004: 46/52
2008: 46/51
2012: 37/60
2016: 38/56
2020: 42/56

Upper South county that is largely non-college educated whites and is home to a small metro area

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 55/43
1888: 58/40
1892: 53/42
1896: 62/34
1900: 59/36
1904: 63/34
1908: 59/36
1912: 35.4/34.5/30 (Progressive)
1916: 55/40
1920: 66/27
1924: 65/25
1928: 57/41
1932: 50/47
1936: 55/43
1940: 57/42
1944: 52/48
1948: 54/42
1952: 65/35
1956: 73/27
1960: 54/46
1964: 33/67
1968: 51/44/6 (American Independent, adds up to 101 due to rounding)
1972: 69/31
1976: 60/40
1980: 51/38 (Independent)
1984: 60/40
1988: 52/47
1992: 36/42/22 (Reform)
1996: 38/51/11 (Reform)
2000: 41/54
2004: 44/54
2008: 39/59
2012: 39/60
2016: 40/54
2020: 39/59

[Vice President Christian Man]

   D/R:

1888: 46/52
1892: 40/44/9 (Populist)
1896: 46/52
1900: 55/42
1904: 56/42
1908: 50/49
1912: 62/28/10 (Progresesive)
1916:52/47
1920: 52/47
1924: 68/29
1928: 55/44
1932: 86/12
1936: 77/22
1940: 63/36
1944: 62/37
1948: 62/36
1952: 52/47
1956: 51/48
1960: 58/41
1964: 58/41
1968: 33/41/25 (American Independent)
1972: 31/66
1976: 50/49
1980: 44/53
1984: 36/62
1988:45/53
1992: 48/23/27 (Perot)
1996: 54/33/11 (Perot)
2000: 54/45
2004: 52/47
2008: 59/39
2012: 54/44
2016: 46/49
2020: 46/52

My county was more working-class and Catholic than you guessed, but other than that you were spot on.

As for your county, I'd guess that seems like somewhere in the Upper South, with a solid minority population, and is working class.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 46/50
1888: 50/46
1892: 49/44
1896: 67/27
1900: 60/36
1904: 57/39
1908: 60/33
1912: 28/40/31 (Progressive)
1916: 59/39
1920: 73/24
1924: 69/22
1928: 65/31
1932: 55/42
1936: 58/39
1940: 65/35
1944: 68/32
1948: 70/27
1952: 75/25
1956: 78/22
1960: 59/41
1964: 44/56
1968: 58/33/9 (American Independent)
1972: 70/29
1976: 54/45
1980: 57/33/10 (Independent)
1984: 66/34
1988: 61/39
1992: 40/39/21 (Reform)
1996: 36/52/12 (Reform)
2000: 42/53
2004: 48.5/49.4
2008: 47/53
2012: 47/51
2016: 51/45
2020: 49.3/49.2

Suburban county in Ohio with a large enough working class population

        D:        R:
1888: 49/47
1892: 55/43
1896: 55/43
1900: 59/38
1904: 37/56
1908: 49/46
1912: 47/31/10 (Progressive)
1916: 54/41
1920: 47/49
1924: 19/61/18 (Progressive)
1928: 34/64
1932: 54/42
1936: 59/35
1940: 51/48
1944: 51/48
1948: 52/46
1952: 41/58
1956: 40/59
1960: 43/56
1964: 68/31
1968: 45/48/6 (American Independence)
1972: 33/64
1976: 41/55
1980: 35/56
1984: 41/57
1988: 50/49
1992: 45/33/20 (Perot)
1996: 48/40/10 (Perot)
2000: 47/48
2004: 46/52
2008: 46/51
2012: 37/60
2016: 38/56
2020: 42/56

Upper South county that is largely non-college educated whites and is home to a small metro area.

R/D/3rd Party

1884: 55/43
1888: 58/40
1892: 53/42
1896: 62/34
1900: 59/36
1904: 63/34
1908: 59/36
1912: 35.4/34.5/30 (Progressive)
1916: 55/40
1920: 66/27
1924: 65/25
1928: 57/41
1932: 50/47
1936: 55/43
1940: 57/42
1944: 52/48
1948: 54/42
1952: 65/35
1956: 73/27
1960: 54/46
1964: 33/67
1968: 51/44/6 (American Independent, adds up to 101 due to rounding)
1972: 69/31
1976: 60/40
1980: 51/38 (Independent)
1984: 60/40
1988: 52/47
1992: 36/42/22 (Reform)
1996: 38/51/11 (Reform)
2000: 41/54
2004: 44/54
2008: 39/59
2012: 39/60
2016: 40/54
2020: 39/59

Highly educated, wealthy New England county. This one is different from my previous ones.
     D:    R:
1876:   37/60
1880:  38/60
1884:  46/49
1888:  46/50
1892: 29/47/20 (Populist)
1896: 27/69
1900: 31/63
1904: 35/61
1908: 30/66
1912: 38/39/18 (Progressive)
1916: 42/58
1920: 28/70
1924: 27/60/11 (Progressive)
1928: 52/48
1932: 50/50 (Hoover by 1 vote)
1936: 46/50
1940: 43/57
1944: 40/58
1948: 46/52
1952: 28/69
1956: 32/68
1960: 51/49
1964: 67/33
1968: 49/46
1972: 41/58
1976: 45/51
1980: 28/56/12 (Anderson)
1984: 31/67
1988: 36/62
1992: 31/40/17 (Perot)
1996: 48/44/5 (Perot)
2000: 48/47
2004: 46/52
2008: 48/49
2012: 45/53
2016: 48/43/5 (Libertarian)
2020: 55/43

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

[GregTheGreat657]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

[Vice President Christian Man]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

[GregTheGreat657]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

[Vice President Christian Man]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

[GregTheGreat657]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48

[Vice President Christian Man]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48

Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78

[GregTheGreat657]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48

Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78

Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70

[Vice President Christian Man]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48

Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78

Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70

Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

[TransfemmeGoreVidal]

A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.

Like with Christian Man, this county is different from my previous three which were all in NY State (with the first and third being Upstate Rust Belt counties, and the second being a suburban Long Island county)

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32

Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.

           D:    R:
1880: 64    35
1884: 58    40
1888: 56    39
1892: 67    24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58    39
1900: 65    31
1904: 70    24
1908: 71    27
1912: 67   26    (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73   26
1920: 61   38
1924: 74   14  (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65   34
1932: 85   13
1936: 84   14
1940: 76   22
1944: 72   27
1948: 58   27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57   42
1956: 56   42
1960: 69   29
1964: 75   24
1968: 36   32  (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30   65
1976: 48    50
1980: 40    54  (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32    66
1988: 33    66
1992: 34    47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39   55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41   57
2004: 40   59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50   48
2016: 56   37
2020: 64   34

D/R/3rd Party

1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39

Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.

           D:    R:
1912:  34    24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916:   34    63
1920:   31    56  (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924:   4      46  (Progressive: 48%)
1928:   39     60
1932:  66      31
1936:  60      36
1940:  49.6      49.7
1944:  52      48
1948:  65      33
1952:  26     73
1956:  51     48
1960:  50     49
1964:  57     41
1968: 40      54
1972: 46      52
1976:  51     48
1980:  33     58  (Anderson: 6%)
1984:  39     60
1988:  52     46
1992: 41      37  (Perot: 20%)
1996:  47     38  (Perot: 13%)
2000:  40     56
2004:  34     63
2008:  48     49
2012:  41     54
2016:  25    66  (Libertarian: 6%)
2020:  20    76

90%+ white, roughly 20% college-educated county in a rural part of the Upper Midwest

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48

Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.

          D:      R:

1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78

Very white, non-college educated, and working class. It is likely located in Appalachia or the Upper South.

R/D/3rd Party

1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70

Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.

          D:    R:
1888:  75% 25%
1892:  80% 20%
1896:  71%  27%
1900:  61%  39%
1904:  46%  49%
1908:  50%  46%
1912: 44%   27%  23% (Progressive)
1916: 54%   42%
1920: 41%   57%
1924:  33%  54% 11% (Progressive)
1928:  35%  63%
1932:  50%  47%
1936:  63%  32%
1940:  60%  38%
1944:  60%  38%
1948:  71%  26%
1952:  63%  37%
1956: 55%   45%
1960:  58%  41%
1964:  63%  36%
1968:  33%  29%  37% (American Independent)
1972:  31%  67%
1976:  61%  35%
1980:  49%  45%  7% (Anderson)
1984:  48%  52%
1988:  47%  51%
1992: 54%   36%  18% (Perot)
1996:  59%  32%  8% (Perot)
2000: 52%   44%
2004:  52%   46%
2008:  48%   50%
2012:  45%   53%
2016:  38%   60%
2020:  30%   68%

Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.

County founded in 1898
          D       R
1900: 46%  51%
1904: 37%  61%   
1908: 42%  55%
1912: 44%  11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56%  42%
1920: 49%  47%  (Debs) 2%   
1924: 47%  33%  (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55%  44%
1932: 64%  34% 
1936: 68%  29%   
1940: 56%  43%
1944: 59%  40%
1948: 66%  31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63%  36%
1956: 55%  34%
1960: 57%  42%
1964: 73%  26%
1968: 56%  33% (Wallace) 9%   
1972: 53%  45%
1976: 65%  33%
1980: 54%  41%  (Anderson) 3%
1984:  52% 47%
1988:  60%  38%
1992:   57%  34% (Perot)   7% 
1996:  67%  28% (Perot)   4%
2000:  55%  41%  (Nader) 3%
2004:  56%  43%
2008:  48%  51%
2012:  45%  53%
2016:  35%  59% (Johnson) 3%
2020:  60%  38%