2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630659 times)
S019ian Liberal
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« on: November 03, 2020, 07:22:08 PM »

CNN says 84% of predicted vote is in in Dade. Biden leads by under 9 points
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 02:19:59 PM »

Atlas was mocking Ralston for saying Nevada would matter.

 Ralston was right.

No, Ralston said NV was safe Biden

Meanwhile I said this, and repeatedly (I think at least 50 times):

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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 11:59:07 PM »


No matter what, we know Sabato made a better call than 538 did.
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2020, 10:17:04 PM »

Me neither, lol!
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2020, 11:26:58 AM »
« Edited: November 12, 2020, 11:30:46 AM by S019ian Liberal »

whether justly or not, i mean like of course...bro! afterman.
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2020, 11:19:50 PM »

Cohn's gotten this one on the mark, hit its nail right for my head.


through to our best end: actually, tbh aha
Quote
> Some types of voters seem less willing to respond to polls than others, perhaps because they are less trusting of institutions, and these voters seem to lean Republican.


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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2020, 11:37:36 PM »

this had already been a glaring red flag, long before we began "quantitatively analyzing" their results either. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/12/us/politics/election-polls-trump-biden.html
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2020, 11:53:42 PM »

i'll repeat again, what i've always said to them: ignore and discount with me at Your Own Peril. for, then

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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #8 on: November 13, 2020, 09:24:40 PM »
« Edited: November 13, 2020, 09:42:15 PM by S019ian Liberal »


"And these hispanics that have been staying home for many cycles finally did turnout big - but - shocker - they didn't vote 100% dem"

Quote from Wulfric on Disc, I think it's more accurate in ways than I could have put it myself.

>although ga and az have flipped for the first time in a long time
>they still voted to the right of pa, wi, mi, mn
when many predicted that would have changed by 2020

that's news to me!

...

here you go, honestly:

anyway team trump made poor strategic decisions in this election
which i’m sure cost them the campaign
they didn’t believe the polls in 2016 so they went campaigning in the umw
but for whatever reason they bought into the public numbers this time around and stayed away instead
pulled out of wi, mi, gave up on mn, largely stayed away from pa even
and instead erratically went around targeting nm, nv, etc
while spending way too much (i believe most) of their time working to shore up tx, ga, fl, oh, ia, az
even though it was undeniably clear that his only shot was a major error and polling failure thus allowing him to replicate 16 again!

> 'oh it was just a last-minute shift in 2016'
that’s precisely the sentiment nov 3 disproved tho
not saying i’m any less guilty of falling into that trap myself
but in the future atlas will need way more independent thinkers



Oh God ... don't get me started on Florida.<br />I'm pissed at this state, and especially the Hispanic community that fell for the "The US will be a Socialist nation like you home country" BS.<br />Naïve people. They come here with massive freedoms compared to their home, and yet believe in crap that the US would become like theirs, is ridiculous.<br />I obviously blame the Creeps that spread this garbage in their communities, but still, they should know better than to fall for that crap.<br /><br />Anyway the answer to your poll is Yes.<br /><br />
<br />
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