Alaska's partisan lean in presidential elections since 1996 (didn't start from 1992 due to significant 3rd party vote) -
1996: R+26
2000: R+31
2004: R+23
2008: R+30
2012: R+18
2016: R+17
2020: R+14 (likely to be somewhere in between R+13 & R+15 once after full counting is done)
Is this trend sustainable enough for Alaska to become a battleground state by say 2036?
2000: R+31
2004: R+23
2008: R+30 (Palin)
2012: R+18
2016: R+17
2020: R+10
That’s an obvious trend
I think you could see it a true tossup in 2028
I forgot about Palin. It makes sense now why 2008 didn't follow the trend