European ethnicities Biden won (user search)
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  European ethnicities Biden won (search mode)
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Author Topic: European ethnicities Biden won  (Read 2011 times)
Asta
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Posts: 647


« on: November 24, 2020, 07:01:43 PM »
« edited: November 24, 2020, 07:36:49 PM by Asta »

Wild guess from me

Biden: Bosnian
Trump won by 1-4: Serbian, Russian, Ukrainian, Greek, Hungarian, Portuguese, Spanish
Trump won by 5-9 : Swedish, Finnish, Italian, Slovak, Slovenian, Lithuanian, Polish
Trump won by 10-15: All others
Trump won by 15+: Scots-Irish

To be honest, I wouldn't be surprised if Biden did not win any of them.
Biden may have won Russians with significant % of them being Jews, but with huge number of Russian immigrants in the past several years, this seems more doubtful.
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Asta
Jr. Member
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Posts: 647


« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2020, 07:39:14 PM »

Why would Trump not win Serbians?
Wouldn’t they be more likely to vote like Poles?

Typo. I meant to put Serbians in tilt Trump column. Bosnia on the other hand may have gone to Biden by a hair though I'm not at all confident.
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Asta
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Posts: 647


« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2020, 12:46:08 PM »

It's really ironic Trump won most European ethnics when at the same time barely any European country would have voted for him. Vast majority of Europeans wanted Biden to win. Trump would have been wiped out in Scandinavia, Germany, France, Austria, the Netherlands and even most Southern countries.

I don't think the origin is as important as nativism vs non-nativism. The ones who most identify as natives are more likely to vote for preservation of self-interest instead of looking out for minority groups. You can see that those who plainly identify as "American" were most likely to vote for Trump.

Also, once immigrants live in a country long enough, they tend to align their views more uniform to the standards of the country.

I also speculate that some sort of self-selection in immigration is in play here. The ones who tend to immigrate tend to be disproportionately more Christian than their native counterparts.
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