MI - Trafalgar: Trump+1 (user search)
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  MI - Trafalgar: Trump+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI - Trafalgar: Trump+1  (Read 3117 times)
Asta
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Posts: 647


« on: October 16, 2020, 02:22:58 PM »

Hot Air has an article that discusses Trafalgar and its lead pollster,Robert Cahaly.  There is a link to a podcast of an interview of Cahaly by Mike Pesca of Slate.  The interview starts at 10:30

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/10/15/trafalgar-pollster-predict-trump-win-mid-270s/

https://dcs.megaphone.fm/SLT4823442188.mp3?key=f80ad0491c349c66264324a1008bcda5&source=3

Cahaly predicts Trump will win with electoral votes in the mid 270s.

He also maintains Trump is getting about 15% of the Black vote.


I've been saying this for months. Even the A+ rated Marist national poll shows 17% of black voters going Trump. Why are the Democrats not trying to get the black vote this year?

Biden never talks about the Lift Every Voice plan but Trump is talking about the platinum plan all the time

I think 11-13% is more likely than 15-17% but either way, I'm not too disappointed.

Democrats were never going to keep black votes forever. Younger people being skeptical of both parties hurts Democrats with black voters and Republicans with white voters. I'd rather see Democrats gain back reasonable base support from whites and let Republicans peel off black voters.
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