One hell of a likely voter screen, race is tied among RV's.
I have said it before so this is not just unskewing a poll to fit my liking but I think RV polls give a better view of the state of the race. A bad LV screen makes for a bad poll.
Wishcasting ?
I mean we consider the typical WI polling error in recent years.. this could be even worse for Barnes.
LV polls are subject to assumptions made by whoever designed them, RV are polling a known universe. Also in this case LV = "certain to vote". Someone who is 80% to vote is still "likely" but they are not "certain".
BTW for the record my view of this race has not changed all year, Johnson is and always has been slight favorite.
ISTR a study that showed that even among those who said they were "certain to vote", only something like 68% actually voted.
