Not happening. This race is Likely R, Hobbs will run behind Kelly (who's already an underdog.)
I mean this in the nicest way possible, and you are certainly not the only offender in this regard, but why even engage with these polls if your electoral predictions are more religious than scientific? This poll could say anything from Lake+10 to Hobbs+50 and I doubt it'd change your outlook much. That's fine, I'm not going to try to talk you out of it, but why engage with the polling if it's meaningless to you?
Give me one good reason I should believe this poll. Four cycles in a row they've underestimated the GOP.
Arizona polling averages have not been too bad. They nailed the 2020 president average and also got Kelly's vote share nearly correct that year too.
Meanwhile Sinema outdid the polling in 2018, so you're wrong in what you're saying anyway.
You must understand that by all appearances, SnowLabrador thinks every poll is bad for Democrats: if it shows the Republican up, it means the Democrat is in trouble; if it shows the Democrat up, it means the poll is flawed (or polls in general are flawed).
I don't know why he bothers to follow polls either.
