MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone. (user search)
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  MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone. (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.  (Read 38260 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: April 30, 2022, 03:51:41 PM »
Quote from: Lone Star Politics on April 30, 2022, 03:44:53 PM
So...I'm hearing things aren't looking too good?

In what respect?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2022, 07:50:35 PM »


This is hilarious and, I'd guess, unprecedented.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2022, 05:35:50 PM »
« Edited: May 31, 2022, 08:25:56 PM by GeorgiaModerate »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 31, 2022, 04:24:54 PM
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 31, 2022, 01:20:00 PM
The poll has Whitmer at a 42% approval rating with Republican women... backlash to Dobbs?

I'm not sure how they'd have her be at 42% approval with GOP women and only be 49% overall though...

Probably a small subsample size.  I haven't seen the crosstabs (does anyone have a link?) but if the overall poll sample is 400-500, which would be typical for a statewide poll, then the number of Republican women would likely be somewhere in the neighborhood of 100.

ETA: I still didn't find the crosstabs, but this Detroit News story says the total sample was 600 RV.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2022, 12:18:56 PM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2022, 12:26:02 PM »
@wbrocks67: How about updating the thread title, since Craig is now off the ballot?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2022, 10:12:18 AM »
The Michigan GOP is looking like a new contender for the worst state party in the country.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2022, 11:42:58 AM »
Quote from: Orwell on June 09, 2022, 11:35:27 AM
Gosh darn, I bet on Craig for the nomination a few months ago and he got kicked off the ballot, a couple weeks ago I bet on Ryan Kelley and now he gets arrested just my luck.

Can you bet on Dixon next?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: June 09, 2022, 01:07:56 PM »
Quote from: bunkerposter on June 09, 2022, 12:28:00 PM
Quote from: Orwell on June 09, 2022, 11:35:27 AM
Gosh darn, I bet on Craig for the nomination a few months ago and he got kicked off the ballot, a couple weeks ago I bet on Ryan Kelley and now he gets arrested just my luck.

Not yet sure this will reduce his chances at the nomination.

A colleague who lives in the Detroit suburbs just told me he thinks it will help Kelley.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: June 09, 2022, 01:23:24 PM »
Quote from: kyc0705 on June 09, 2022, 01:21:06 PM
At the rate that Gretchen Whitmer is cashing in on good luck, this election will be an interesting historical tidbit to re-discover at the Whitmer Presidential Museum's grand opening in 2042.

Counterpoint: she's using it up too quickly and should save some for later in her career!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: June 30, 2022, 05:07:29 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on June 30, 2022, 04:37:09 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on June 30, 2022, 09:48:56 AM
FiveThirtyEight model expects Kelly to win the primary and gives Whitmer a 91% chance of beating him.
Thats because 538 are dem hacks who want Whitmer to win, thats why they have Kelly leading. It will probably be Dixon and she's got no worse than a 50 50 chance

Dixon would be significantly below a 50% chance to win, although I agree she's probably the strongest remaining R candidate.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: July 29, 2022, 09:32:36 AM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11 on: July 29, 2022, 08:23:49 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: August 05, 2022, 07:13:20 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 05, 2022, 07:03:31 PM
Peters went from winning by 13% in a red wave to winning by less than 2% in a slightly blue-leaning year. He's an underdog in 2026, and Whitmer is still in serious trouble this year.

Whitmer is not in serious trouble this year.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2022, 02:33:32 PM »
Quote from: Dark Brandon on August 07, 2022, 02:30:39 PM
Quote from: Politician on August 06, 2022, 02:16:40 PM
538 literally has MI safer than VT lol

Phil Scott has the highest approval rating in the nation and was up by 40% in the most recent poll. Considering you are an unapologetic R hack, I thought you'd agree with that.

I suspect he's laughing at 538 for the questionable (to put it mildly!) rating of Whitmer's chances as better than Scott's.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2022, 08:17:57 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on August 07, 2022, 07:21:01 PM
The MI GOP continues its rapid decent towards becoming the worst state party in the country.



Lock him up!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2022, 10:11:41 AM »
Unverified social media rumors should be treated with caution.  But do let us know if something substantiated turns up!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: August 19, 2022, 06:24:35 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: September 02, 2022, 12:17:35 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on September 02, 2022, 11:52:55 AM
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on September 02, 2022, 11:36:01 AM
This is totally somebody who should be put in charge of the state's elections!


Have you heard of Sandy Smith running in NC 01? She has Domestic violence allegations too

Which has what to do with Michigan?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #18 on: September 08, 2022, 08:17:06 AM »
Quote from: Splash on September 07, 2022, 04:14:32 PM


Did they issue any rulings yesterday?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #19 on: September 08, 2022, 01:43:06 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #20 on: September 08, 2022, 05:33:53 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on September 08, 2022, 04:01:12 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 08, 2022, 01:43:06 PM

Wasn’t one of the downfalls of the Romney campaign their unskewing of polls?

Yes, 2012 was the Great Unskewing Debacle that led some people to think Romney and other Republicans were doing much better than was actually the case.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #21 on: September 14, 2022, 11:07:50 AM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #22 on: September 14, 2022, 12:50:05 PM »
Quote from: Tortilla Soup on September 14, 2022, 12:34:51 PM
Quote from: (If only you knew half as much as you pretend to) on September 09, 2022, 04:25:48 PM
This...is a pretty weird message to take.


Reminds me of Scott Jensen's ad saying that you should ignore his views on abortion because he can't do anything about it anyway. Is this the new GOP strategy to sidestep the issue?

It was also Drazan's line defense when asked about the abortion issue at the first Oregon gubernatorial debate. It's certainly an indication that (most) Republican candidates for governor are concerned about the implications of the Dobbs decision on undecided voters. It's especially critical for Dixon, who might otherwise be in a dead heat race with Whitmer were it not for the abortion ballot question.

This is unlikely.  Whitmer would probably still be ahead, although by less than she is now.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #23 on: September 21, 2022, 07:29:15 AM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #24 on: September 28, 2022, 03:26:50 PM »
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