Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

I was close.  Their initial Biden daily poll is:

Approve 48 (strongly 36)
Disapprove 45 (strongly 38)

Their final Trump poll on Tuesday was 51/48 (strongly 36/41).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Why we are so concerned over approvals and Biden and D's haven't passed one piece of legislation

*checks thread title* Because this is the Biden approval ratings thread.

[GeorgiaModerate]

First Reuters/Ipsos poll on Biden-

Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 32%

Trump's first poll had him at 43%.

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-01/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_01_22_2021.pdf

More details on this poll, using the same format as I did for Trump:

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Jan. 20-21, 1115 adults including 950 RV

Adults:

Approve 55
Disapprove 32

Strongly approve 28
Strongly disapprove 20


RV:

Approve 57
Disapprove 32

Strongly approve 31
Strongly disapprove 20

[GeorgiaModerate]

I am among the 32% who disapprove.

Rasmussen has Biden at 48% approve, 45% disapprove. It has Biden "underwater" among women (46/48) and whites (43/51). Incidentally, Rasmussen also has Trump's final approval at 48%.

Nope, their final Trump poll was 51/48 on Tuesday.  The 48/45 shown for yesterday on the Trump approval page is NOT a Trump poll; it's actually their first Biden poll, but they haven't separated it out into a new Biden approval page yet.

Speaking of approval pages, I contacted 538 and asked when they'd start a Biden tracker.  A nice research assistant responded and said they would do so once they had enough polls, but so far there were only three (the Ras, Ipsos, and MC polls discussed above).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Numbers so good that sweaty fraud Nate Silver refuses to make a 538 Biden approval rating tracker, like he did for Trump. Wow!

I know you're joking, but if anyone is wondering, 538 intends to start a Biden approval tracker once there are a sufficient number of polls.  (I emailed them a few days ago and asked about this.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Jan. 24-26, 1500 adults including 1245 RV

Adults:

Approve 51
Disapprove 33

Strongly approve 30
Strongly disapprove 23


RV:

Approve 52
Disapprove 36

Strongly approve 33
Strongly disapprove 26

[GeorgiaModerate]

A couple of new ones:


Data for Progress, Jan 22-25, 1164 LV

Approve 57
Disapprove 36

Strongly approve 40
Strongly disapprove 26


RMG Research, Jan. 21-23, 1200 RV

Approve 58
Disapprove 32

Strongly approve 41
Strongly disapprove 25

[GeorgiaModerate]

When should we expect Gallup's first approval poll?

Relatedly, starting (Gallup) approval rating for….

Truman: 87%
Johnson: 78%
Kennedy: 72%
Ford: 71%
Eisenhower: 68%
Obama: 67%
Carter: 66%
Nixon: 59%
Clinton: 58%
Bush Jr: 57%
Reagan: 51%
Bush Sr: 51%
Trump: 45%

Over/under Biden starts at 58%?

I'd guess the first week of February, and twice a month thereafter.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia: AJC/UGA, Jan. 17-28, 858 RV

I believe this is the first single-state poll with Biden's approval.


Approval/disapproval:

President Biden (approval of transition): 59/33 (strongly 41/27)

Former President Trump: 40/57 (strongly 29/48)

Gov. Kemp: 42/51 (strongly 10/29)

Secretary of State Raffensperger: 46/32 (strongly 22/20)


Favorable/unfavorable:

President Biden: 52/41

Sen. Ossoff: 50/40

Sen. Warnock: 54/37

Stacey Abrams: 51/41

Democratic Party: 50/44

Republican Party: 34/59

[GeorgiaModerate]

His approval is probably gonna be in the low 30’s. Far left will turn on him.


And no, I don’t care about the BS MSM polling. Rasmussen is more reliable

LMAO

[GeorgiaModerate]

His approval is probably gonna be in the low 30’s. Far left will turn on him.


And no, I don’t care about the BS MSM polling. Rasmussen is more reliable

LMAO

This dude probably believes the polls saying Joe has a 63% approval rating LMAO

Nope.  As a serious follower of electoral polling for quite a few years, I strongly prefer polling averages.  538 has Biden at 54.3/34.6 (+19.7), while RCP has him at 55.8/35.5 (+20.3).  Those seem quite reasonable to me.  I'll also note that your beloved Rasmussen's latest poll has Biden at 50/45.  There is simply no rational basis for expecting him to drop to the low 30's.

[GeorgiaModerate]

His approval is probably gonna be in the low 30’s. Far left will turn on him.


And no, I don’t care about the BS MSM polling. Rasmussen is more reliable

LMAO

This dude probably believes the polls saying Joe has a 63% approval rating LMAO

Nope.  As a serious follower of electoral polling for quite a few years, I strongly prefer polling averages.  538 has Biden at 54.3/34.6 (+19.7), while RCP has him at 55.8/35.5 (+20.3).  Those seem quite reasonable to me.  I'll also note that your beloved Rasmussen's latest poll has Biden at 50/45.  There is simply no rational basis for expecting him to drop to the low 30's.

Dude is an obvious troll, maybe a cool face sock. His account is three hours old and he’s already started posting frequently, and has a joke username and avatar.

Indeed, our diligent mods have already banned him.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marist, Jan. 24-27, 1313 adults including 1153 RV

Adults:

Approve 49
Disapprove 35

Strongly approve 25
Strongly disapprove 24

RV:

Approve 50
Disapprove 36

Strongly approve 26
Strongly disapprove 25

[GeorgiaModerate]

IBD/TIPP, Jan. 27-29, 1261 adults including 1002 RV

Adults:

Approve 53
Disapprove 29

RV:

Approve 58
Disapprove 29


HarrisX, Jan. 28-29, 945 RV

Approve 61
Disapprove 39

[GeorgiaModerate]

Global Strategy Group/Navigator Research, Jan. 27-Feb. 1, 1005 RV

Approve 53
Disapprove 39

D: 90/6
I: 44/38
R: 16/76


Also, Rasmussen's daily tracker is up to 51/45, which is their best yet for Biden.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 1500 adults including 1272 RV

Adults:

Approve 46 (-5)
Disapprove 38 (+5)

Strongly approve 30 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 29 (+6)

RV:

Approve 50 (-2)
Disapprove 40 (+4)

Strongly approve 34 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 31 (+5)

If anyone is wondering, the party breakdowns are:

Last week: D 32, R 25, I 43
This week: D 36, R 30, I 33

[GeorgiaModerate]

Echelon Insights, Jan. 20-26, 1006 RV

Approve 55
Disapprove 33

(numbers are per 538, the link requires registration)

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP/NORC, Jan. 28-Feb. 1, 1055 adults

Approve 61
Disapprove 38

Strongly approve 35
Strongly disapprove 26

[GeorgiaModerate]

We shouldn't be getting any more of the favorability polls anymore, now, correct? Now Biden's term has started and most polls taken will be Presidential approval?

Some polls will ask both approval and favorability questions.

[GeorgiaModerate]

We shouldn't be getting any more of the favorability polls anymore, now, correct? Now Biden's term has started and most polls taken will be Presidential approval?

Some polls will ask both approval and favorability questions.

Is there usually a difference between the responses to these two questions (in cases where both are asked)?

There can be, depending on the President.  You could have someone who was well-liked for his personal character but perceived as doing a poor job, or vice versa.  Just guessing, Carter would probably fit the first category, and post-impeachment Clinton the second.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Feb. 6-9, 1500 adults including 1306 RV

NOTE: the YouGov poll cited a few posts above was for CBS News and is not part of this series.  It should not be compared directly to polls in this series due to possibly different methodologies.

Adults:

Approve 50 (+4)
Disapprove 37 (-1)

Strongly approve 33 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 29 (nc)

RV:

Approve 53 (+3)
Disapprove 40 (nc)

Strongly approve 37 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 32 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Feb. 9-10, 1001 adults

Approve 57 (nc)
Disapprove 35 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Michigan: PPP, Feb. 2-3, 846 voters

Approve 53
Disapprove 44

Strongly approve 45
Strongly disapprove 39

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen is gradually edging toward the rest of the pack; they have Biden at 53-43 today, their best yet for him.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Feb. 13-16, 1500 adults including 1259 RV

Adults:

Approve 54 (+4)
Disapprove 37 (nc)

Strongly approve 34 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 29 (nc)

RV:

Approve 55 (+2)
Disapprove 40 (nc)

Strongly approve 37 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 32 (nc)