NYTimes/Siena - Biden+9 in MN, +3 in NH, +4 in NV, +5 in WI

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304755359777783808

[GeorgiaModerate]

On New Hampshire:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304756113548537860
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304756916313354242

[GeorgiaModerate]

I look at the high undecideds and narrow Biden margins for everything except Minnesota and it takes me back to October 2016 polls giving me confidence in Clinton. I know 2020 is different, we have several midterm elections to show that undecideds tend to favor the Dem, but it’s a little cause for anxiety.

Yep. Seeing results like 45-42 and 46-42 is a big trigger. Why they couldn't of pushed these people or at least asked which way they were leaning is beyond me...

Somebody asked Nate about that:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304762438747926528

Whatever quibbles we may have with the methodology, Nate's transparency on all this is laudable.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304767299149352960

[GeorgiaModerate]

Those results roughly indicate a 4-6% national race in favour of Biden.

NV could actually vote to the Right of the US again this year, just like in 2000.

NV Latinos are not really enthusiastic about Biden and might sit out the election.

All the other results look reasonable, NH maybe too close.

Nate Cohn disagrees with your estimate:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1304755484788961280

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Wisconsin poll has Biden leading in the Milwaukee suburbs.

They had the columns for Milwaukee city and suburbs flipped.  But even with the correct data, Biden is only down 48-43 in the suburbs, which is a great showing.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I love how people post the "race is over" if it is why r yall the first people running in here to say that?

GO TRUMP!

I just reviewed the whole thread.  Nobody proclaimed that the race is over.  The closest anyone came was a couple of posts that said *if* a current trend continued, the race would be over:

If trump is still in the low or mid 40s on election day it is game over for him and Biden is going to be our next president

If Biden is winning young people by 40% and older people by 12%, that's total game over for Trump

There are several good reading comprehension courses online.  They may help you.