KY-AARP: Trump +12 (user search)
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  KY-AARP: Trump +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-AARP: Trump +12  (Read 1881 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 16, 2019, 08:08:44 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 16, 2019, 08:04:14 PM
Folks need to seriously worry about Trump voters hanging up on the polls.  Every time I see one of these in a blowout Trump 2016 state, it makes me suspect that all those Biden +5-10 margins we keep seeing in the major Midwest swing states are skewed several % by nonresponse bias. 

This is a common talking point, but there's little to no evidence of an actual bias to that effect.  See for example this 2017 article from Pew Research.
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