Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[GeorgiaModerate]

Michigan: Climate Nexus, July 14-17 820 RV

Approve 42
Disapprove 54

Strongly approve 19
Strongly disapprove 42

Biden 49, Trump 36
Sanders 48, Trump 37
Warren 44, Trump 38
Harris 41, Trump 38
Buttigieg 40, Trump 37
Booker 39, Trump 37

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, July 25-28, 1306 RV (change from early June)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 47 (+1)

2020 (change from May):

Definitely vote for Trump 32 (+1)
Consider voting for Trump 12 (nc)
Definitely not vote for Trump 54 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, July 25-28, 1306 RV (change from early June)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 47 (+1)

2020 (change from May):

Definitely vote for Trump 32 (+1)
Consider voting for Trump 12 (nc)
Definitely not vote for Trump 54 (nc)

Given how much insanity he's shown in the past few days, this is still a shockingly high number even though a bad sign for anyone with reelection hopes. But I guess some of his supporters are just irredeemable. They would still support him even if he openly said "yes, I am a racist".

True, but these numbers are horrible for trump.
The net disapproval in this poll is +14, which is very large.
And Quinnipiac University is rated A- by 538.
Also, the period of time that this poll was taken (July 25-28) could be that people were still absorbing all the recent racist Tweets from the POTUS, so different polls released in the next two-weeks could show further slip of support.

Just a note about 538's pollster ratings.  They update infrequently (once a year?) and can get out of date.  The ratings page also lists Quinnipiac with virtually no bias (D+0.1), but it's evident that Q has picked up more of a Democratic bias in the last year or so.  And 538 is adjusting for this in the average; they adjusted this poll by a net 3 points toward the Republicans (40/54 to 42/53).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kaiser Family Foundation, July 18-23, 1196 adults (prior poll May 30-June 4)

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 28 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Texas: UT-Tyler, July 24-27, 1414 RV

Approve 40
Disapprove 54

O'Rourke 49, Trump 38
Warren 41, Trump 38
Sanders 39, Trump 37
Harris 40, Trump 39
Biden 37, Trump 37
Trump 39, Buttigieg 33

[GeorgiaModerate]

Texas: UT-Tyler, July 24-27, 1414 RV

Approve 40
Disapprove 54

O'Rourke 49, Trump 38
Warren 41, Trump 38
Sanders 39, Trump 37
Harris 40, Trump 39
Biden 37, Trump 37
Trump 39, Buttigieg 33

"Imagine if you will, a world where Texas votes to the left of the nation as a whole..."

It's a world that's too good to be true.

Not necessarily true.  Look at it the other way around: "Imagine if you will, a world where the U.S. as a whole votes to the right of Texas."  And then Texas still goes Republican.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 27-30, 1500 adults including

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)

Generic D 42 (nc), Trump 33 (-2)

RV:

Approve 43 (-2)
Disapprove 55 (+3)

Strongly approve 27 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+1)

Generic D 50 (+1), Trump 38 (-3)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (+1), R 37 (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker, July 29-30, 1112 adults including 972 RV (1-week change)

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

Strongly approve 20 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+2)

RV:

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 59 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

IBD/TIPP (monthly), July 25-Aug. 1, 902 adults

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+7)

This is Trump's worst showing in this poll since February.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, July 15-31, 3038 adults (prior poll July 1-12)

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Democracy Corps (D), July 18-28, 1700 RV

Approve 42
Disapprove 54

Strongly approve 30
Strongly disapprove 47

Biden 49
Trump 41
Amash 7

Warren 49
Trump 43
Amash 4

Generic D 46
Trump 42
Amash 7

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 3-6, 1500 adults including 1161 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

Generic D 41 (-1), Trump 36 (+3)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 30 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)

Generic D 48 (-2), Trump 39 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 38 (+1)

Last week's poll was really terrible for Trump compared to the previous one, so I think this movement is mostly reversion to the mean.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 3-6, 1500 adults including 1161 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

Generic D 41 (-1), Trump 36 (+3)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 30 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)

Generic D 48 (-2), Trump 39 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 38 (+1)

He actually improved after 3 very recent mass shootings by his supporters?

As I indicated in the original post, last week's poll looks like an outlier.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, Aug. 5-7, 1960 RV (prior poll June 29-July 1)

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (+3)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+3)

I'm not sure what's up with Morning Consult lately.  They used to post a weekly tracker of RVs, but this is the first one I've seen in a while.  However, they have been posting a bunch of (rather noisy) polls of adults.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Who are these people who approve of Trump until his racism flares up or tragic racist events like Charlottesville or El Paso happen and then go back to supporting him?

Semi deplorables.

Let's not stereotype truckers! (Although I don't doubt that the majority of them support Trump).

[GeorgiaModerate]

New Hampshire: Gravis, Aug. 2-6, 505 RV

Approve 44
Disapprove 54

Strongly approve 32
Strongly disapprove 48

Is Trump racist?

Yes 49
No 40

Trump loses head-to-head against all Democrats tested with margins from 3 (Harris) to 13 (Biden).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, Aug. 9-11, 1993 RV (prior poll Aug. 5-7)

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

(No priors on following questions)

Definitely vote for Trump 27
Probably vote for Trump 9
Probably someone else 7
Definitely someone else 47

GCB: D 43, R 37

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 10-13, 1500 adults including

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

Generic D 42 (+1), Trump 35 (-1)

RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (+2)

Strongly approve 28 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+2)

Generic D 50 (+2), Trump 39 (nc)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 38 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker (weekly), Aug. 12-13, 1116 adults including 980 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-2)

Strongly approve 24 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-3)

RV:

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

I don't usually mention Rasmussen or other daily trackers here unless they start showing an interesting trend.  That may be happening with Rasmussen.  Trump's net approval has been gradually declining over the past 2 or 3 weeks.  Today it's at 45/54, the lowest since May.  Their "approval index" (strong approval minus strong disapproval) is also at the lowest level since May.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, Aug. 11-13, 1013 RV (3-week change)

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+5)

Strongly approve 27 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (+7)

This appears to be Trump's worst showing in the Fox poll since Oct. 2017, which was his all-time low in it.

Also lots of gun questions.  Worth reading.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I almost didn't post this one, but figured we could use some comedy relief...

Zogby, Aug. 9-12, 897 "likely voters"

Approve 51
Disapprove 47

Strongly approve 27
Strongly disapprove 37

Some tidbits:

Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, Independents, Millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities-28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president-both very good numbers, historically, for Trump.

Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters-more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating. It will be interesting to see if the rise in support among urban women can blunt the decreased support among women in the suburbs.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I almost didn't post this one, but figured we could use some comedy relief...

Zogby, Aug. 9-12, 897 "likely voters"

Approve 51
Disapprove 47

Strongly approve 27
Strongly disapprove 37

Some tidbits:

Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, Independents, Millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities-28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president-both very good numbers, historically, for Trump.

Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters-more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating. It will be interesting to see if the rise in support among urban women can blunt the decreased support among women in the suburbs.

And I bet 538 laps it right up.

Yes, they did, and with a fairly high weight since it purports to be a LV poll.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, Aug. 1-14, 1522 adults (2-week change)

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

On issues:

Economy 53/46
Education 44/50
Foreign affairs 41/57
Race relations 34/64

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pew Research, July 22-Aug. 4, 4175 adults

Approve 40
Disapprove 59

No change from their previous poll, Apr. 29-May 13