Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction. (user search)
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  Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction.  (Read 5343 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: October 26, 2017, 09:42:40 PM »
Northam 51-47.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2017, 09:29:46 AM »
Quote from: Old Liner on October 27, 2017, 09:25:52 AM
Unless Quinnipiac has changed its methods since the primary, I'm viewing the Northam+7 poll with skepticism. Quinnipiac consistently had Perriello narrowly leading in it. My prediction is somewhere between Northam +3 and Northam+5. If Gillespie win, it'll be a nail-bitter.

I think you're mixing your polls; the last Q poll was Northam +14 (53-39).  I do think that was an outlier (and so was the Hampton poll with Gillespie +8), and your prediction is in the same range as mine.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2017, 03:20:29 PM »

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2017, 08:50:02 AM »
Quote from: Castro on November 05, 2017, 03:27:17 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 05, 2017, 03:20:29 PM

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.

Boom:

Northam - 1,219,187
Gillespie - 1,108,759

You were pretty close for Gillespie.
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