Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[GeorgiaModerate]

Yeah, he isn't winning a second term with those numbers. I am starting to believe the theory that Trump won't even run in 2020.

Remember, he thought about running in 2012, but decided not too because he knew he would lose badly.

One of my colleagues, a die-hard Trump fan, is so confident in Trump's reelection that he offered to bet lunch on it for the day after the 2020 election.  (I accepted.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Yeah, he isn't winning a second term with those numbers. I am starting to believe the theory that Trump won't even run in 2020.

Remember, he thought about running in 2012, but decided not too because he knew he would lose badly.

One of my colleagues, a die-hard Trump fan, is so confident in Trump's reelection that he offered to bet lunch on it for the day after the 2020 election.  (I accepted.)

That’s a remarkably milquetoast bet

Seriously lol. I'm pretty sure he knows Trump's chances aren't that good, otherwise he would've bet bigger.

Naw, it's just that neither of us is much of a gambler.  We had the same bet on Trump vs. Clinton, so this is my chance to get even.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/2

Approve 34 (+1)
Disapprove 61 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/3

Approve 35 (+1)
Disapprove 60 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/4

Approve 35 (nc)
Disapprove 60 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trumps-approval-rating-jumps-to-45-percent-highest-since-september/article/2642685

The wave is subsiding fast. Sexual Assault + Tax Reform has Republicans surging.

You really should stop leaping to conclusions from individual polls and consider averages instead (e.g. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/).  But I suspect you know that and are just trolling.

[GeorgiaModerate]

CBS News [12/7/2017]

Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 57%

Net: -21%

Link: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/CBS_News_Dec_7th_2017.pdf

The previous CBS news poll (according to the 538 database) was Oct 27-30, with results of 39/55 (-16).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/6

Approve 37 (+1)
Disapprove 59 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP poll of 25 R-held swing districts for MoveOn, Dec 5-6, 3068 RV

Approve: 41
Disapprove: 56

Generic Congressional ballot: D 50, R 41

The 25 districts are AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, CO-6, FL-26, FL-27, IA-1, IL-6, MI-11, NJ-2, NJ-11, NY-19, NY-22, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-15, TX-7, TX-23, VA-10, WA-8.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Generic Congressional ballot: D 50, R 41

Nationwide or just in those districts?

If this is just those districts, it's hard to see how the GOP even still exists in 2019.

Just in those districts.

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker

Approve: 37 (-2)
Disapprove: 61 (+1)

Strongly approve 21 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 50 (+3)

Some favorability ratings:

James Comey 28/36
Jeff Sessions 19/46
Michael Flynn 9/52
Paul Manafort 5/45
Robert Mueller 33/24
Donald Trump 35/62
Ivanka Trump 38/42
Jared Kushner 16/47

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pew Research

Approve: 32%
Disapprove: 63%

http://www.people-press.org/2017/12/07/stark-partisan-divisions-over-russia-probe-including-its-importance-to-the-nation/

Ouch

I like how the % of Republicans who are confident in Mueller conducting a fair investigation is only 44%, and this is coming from the party of law and order that routinely sides with cops in cases of police misconduct involving minorities. Who would have thought that Republicans would think an older white male Republican prosecutor could possibly be unfair to their guy, when all those older white male prosecutors have seemingly been fair and just to all those gunned down minorities

Indeed, if there’s one person I consider a flaming liberal, it’s the ex-Marine 12-year director of the FBI

And a registered Republican as well.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/7

Approve 38 (+1)
Disapprove 58 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

I would have thought the tax bill would have helped him but he's been nosediving on RCP. He's lost two points in the last week or so.

Nothing will ever help Trump improve.

Eh. He was at 62% disapproval almost a week ago but is at 58% now after endorsing Rapin Roy Moore. That clearly rallied any wayward RINOs to his side.

He took a sudden negative turn last week, and this week he's made up some (not all) of that ground.  There were probably a couple of very bad days that have now rolled out of the sample.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/8

Approve 37 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/9

Approve 36 (-1)
Disapprove 59 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/10

Approve 35 (-1)
Disapprove 60 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Trump and the GOP are done!

It looks bad for them in the long term, but in the meantime, how long do we have to put up with their madness? They're like the dinosaur in the movies that gets their head cut off but continues to stumble around and break things.

I used to say on here many months ago that the GOP is heading for a crackup the way Democrats did during Carter. Except that the GOP's hubris is even more over the top. My guess is that they know theyre finished and are trying to legislate their donors wish lists before they get thrown out of office

True about the Congressional Republicans being tossed out by the voters, but Trump will get dragged out of office in handcuffs by the FBI.

That would never happen even if he were indicted.  Mueller has too much class for something like that.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/11

No change from yesterday (35/60).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marist (December 4th - December 7th, 2017)


National Registered Voters
Approve: 39%
Disapprove: 55%
Unsure: 6%

Region
Northeast: 28% 64% 8%
Midwest: 42% 48% 10%
South: 45% 49% 7%
West: 29% 67% 4%

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us171204_KoC/Marist%20Poll%20National%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_December%202017.pdf#page=3

Interestingly, the RV approval stayed the same from last month at 39/55.  But approval among all adults dropped from 39/53 to 37/36.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, Dec 6-11, 1211 RV

Approve 37 (+2)
Disapprove 57 (-1)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 49 (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Monmouth, Dec 10-12, 806 adults (change from Sept)

Approve 32 (-8)
Disapprove 56 (+7)

Record (by far) low approval and high disapproval for this poll.

Generic Congressional ballot: 51 D, 36 R

[GeorgiaModerate]

Trump refuses to believe his low poll numbers:



2018 is gonna be so good

The only opinion Trump really cares about is his own, therefore he has 100% approval.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is favorability, not approval, but it's still interesting.

Suffolk, Dec 5-9, 1000 RV (change from Oct)

Favorable 34 (nc)
Unfavorable 58 (+1)

The one that jumps out to me is Trump's favorability among Fox viewers:

June 90/5 
Oct 74/23
Dec 58/37

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 12/13

Approve 36 (nc)
Disapprove 59 (nc)