AL-SEN 2017 predictions?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bump. Moving this to Tossup obviously, but I have no idea who will win or by what margin. It should be relatively close, though.

I'm switching to Tossup as well.  The race is in too much flux right now to make a decent prediction.

[GeorgiaModerate]

After today's developments, I'm switching votes again to Lean D.  (I had gone from Likely R to Tossup.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Doug Jones-Democratic: 46.5%
Roy Moore-Republican: 45%
Others/write-ins: 9.5%

That adds up to 101%.   But I think you're right that the write-in vote may be significant even if nobody runs an organized campaign for it.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I truly don't know; I'm more uncertain about this race than any other in a long time.  But I voted for Jones in the hope that my faith in human decency will win out over my cynicism that tribalism will triumph.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This Race is now Lean D because of Roy Moores slavery gaffe.

And because of this, Democrats are now favorites to control the Senate after 2018.

Is that gaffe really getting that much coverage? I thought it was drowned out by the signature nothingburger.

It's been on the home page of al.com for the last day.