Malaysia State Elections: Penang, Selangor, N9, Kelantan, T'ganu, Kedah 2023 and by-elections 2023

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Thank you for these posts; My lack of knowlege regarding Malasiyan politics is shameful for me and it's hard to find good sources for it.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Kemaman by-election

PN-PAS       70.1
BN-UMNO    29.9

back in 2022, it was

PN-PAS       58.1
BN-UMNO    34.1
PH-PKR         7.4

It seems the Chinese vote did not turn out which hit the BN-UMNO vote plus the expected defection of the old UMNO base to PAS or not voting due to the BN alliance with PH.  The only bright spot for BN-PH is the military postal vote seems to be shifting toward BN.  That vote is a proxy for the civil service (mostly Malay) vote which I expect to trend PH-BN next general election even as the overall Malay vote shift toward PN.

I would probably not read too much into the trend in military postal votes (all 382 of them) when BN literally ran a retired general, and likewise for the overall vote when PAS literally ran the menteri besar who just wiped out all his opposition in August.

Hard to say which demographic did or didn't turn out when the Chinese areas tend to be won by PAS anyway – I don't think there are any polling stations here where PH+BN outpolled PAS even last year.

Is there any support for PAS anywhere among non-malay voters from parochial issues or some other reason ?

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Is there any support for PAS anywhere among non-malay voters from parochial issues or some other reason ?

The perception, from videos of old Chinese men at Terengganu PAS rallies circulating online, is more inflated than it presumably actually is. But plenty of people see Ahmad Samsuri as a genuinely "different kind of PAS" because he came from aerospace instead of the traditional religious background.

Usually they also say he runs the state well. Menteri besar job approval ratings tend to be high regardless of state and run far ahead of the actual party breakdown, so take that in its context, but it has for sure been a smoother run of things than UMNO 2004-18 which was being destabilized all through by Ahmad Said among others.

I tried to search it up but couldn't find anything, does PAS have any Indian Muslim or chinese convert MP's or is their parlimentary delegation entirley malay ?