The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)
Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?
Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.
The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.
I'm really looking forward to wbrocks67's polling analysis in a red wave environment, as 2022 is likely to be. When every subgroup shows a shift to the GOP, as would happen in a GOP wave year, will he just point to all of them as trash? Or will he just call every poll bar DFP and PPP junk?