GA-Atlanta Journal Constitution/University of Georgia: Kemp + 7 / Perdue + 4

[2016]

Brian Kemp (R, Inc.) 48
Stacey Abrams (D) 41

David Perdue (R) 47
Stacey Abrams (D) 43

https://t.co/ZUM0dfAlrR

Biden Approval 34/61

[SnowLabrador]

Lean R.

[wbrocks67]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

[Sir Mohamed]

Tossup, remains the best Dem pickup opportunity beyond MD and MA.

Not sure whether I should buy these Biden approvals, BUT if true, it would be horrible. Regardless, just remember Trump was underwater in the Rust Belt trio in 2017 and 2018 and still came close in 2020, proving the previous election wasn't just a fluke. So while 2022 may not be nice, no need to freak out over 2024. Yet.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a Runoff state along with LA so if the Ds get to a Runoffvthey are favored, they just can't let Rs break 50 percent in LA or GA

[DPKdebator]

Biden's bad approval numbers with black voters (for a Democrat) could end up saving the GAGOP for one more cycle if it means their turnout craters.

[Matty]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Long way 'til November folks.

[ElectionsGuy]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

C'mon, we know why.

[Podgy the Bear]

Wait till the bad blood between Kemp and Perdue spill out.  And Vernon Jones is already angry for the fool he has become in groveling for Trump and his ilk.

This will be a very close election in November.  I do agree that Kemp is a stronger GE candidate than Perdue.

[Matty]

Wait till the bad blood between Kemp and Perdue spill out.  And Vernon Jones is already angry for the fool he has become in groveling for Trump and his ilk.

This will be a very close election in November.  I do agree that Kemp is a stronger GE candidate than Perdue.

None of this matters though

Biden at 34% in Georgia is going to prevent any dem from winning

That number needs to rise for dems to have a chance

[Buzz]

Great to see Kemp ahead of Perdue!

[Unelectable Bystander]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

What is your obsession with shrugging off the struggles with young voters? Dem’s did the same thing when polls showed them losing ground with minorities last election. “Surely they will never swing republican”. The 18-34 vote has been underwhelming for Dems in every single poll, and many generic ballot polls have them as being relatively close. There is also anecdotal and voter registration data that the youngest voters are becoming unaffiliated indies more than anything else. I also believe exit polls had Youngkin close with this group as well. Whether it’s actual competitiveness or low turnout, it’s clearly an issue

[One Term Floridian]

Yeesh those Biden approval #s

[kwabbit]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

I'm really looking forward to wbrocks67's polling analysis in a red wave environment, as 2022 is likely to be. When every subgroup shows a shift to the GOP, as would happen in a GOP wave year, will he just point to all of them as trash? Or will he just call every poll bar DFP and PPP junk?

[Roll Roons]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

I'm really looking forward to wbrocks67's polling analysis in a red wave environment, as 2022 is likely to be. When every subgroup shows a shift to the GOP, as would happen in a GOP wave year, will he just point to all of them as trash? Or will he just call every poll bar DFP and PPP junk?

Por que no los dos?

[Unelectable Bystander]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

I'm really looking forward to wbrocks67's polling analysis in a red wave environment, as 2022 is likely to be. When every subgroup shows a shift to the GOP, as would happen in a GOP wave year, will he just point to all of them as trash? Or will he just call every poll bar DFP and PPP junk?

You sound like you’re half kidding but that’s what actually happens on this forum dude

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA is a runoff state like LA anyways so

[MargieCat]

Georgia just seems to keep on trending leftwards, even when the national environment trends right.

https://twitter.com/staceyabrams/status/1467720994731307009

[Buzz]

Georgia is trending left hard, that’s undeniable.  It’s just the environment is going to be hell this fall.  Biden is not liked here.

[kwabbit]

The Q-Pac one seemed closer to reality, even in a good year Kemp would not have a 7% lead on Abrams. (It also has them tied among 18-34 year olds, so.)

Just out of curiosity…..why do you think this?

Biden’s ratings now are as bad as Trump’s were in 2018 and look at what happened in the Midwest in 2018. Dems easily won WI senate, won WI Governor, Michigan Governor, etc.

The Democrats are going to lose Arizona and Georgia senate races if Biden remains unpopular. That’s just a fact.

I'm really looking forward to wbrocks67's polling analysis in a red wave environment, as 2022 is likely to be. When every subgroup shows a shift to the GOP, as would happen in a GOP wave year, will he just point to all of them as trash? Or will he just call every poll bar DFP and PPP junk?

You sound like you’re half kidding but that’s what actually happens on this forum dude

It seems like your account is new, so you might not be completely aware of wbrocks67 posting style, but he is an incredibly prolific poll analyst. He can find some positive news out of any poll for Democrats.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Georgia is trending left hard, that’s undeniable.  It’s just the environment is going to be hell this fall.  Biden is not liked here.
[/quote

Lol we're likely to lose the H but you guys are trailing in every Senate race except NV we're not gonna get wiped out in a 3=9% unemployment and Trump kept the Senate being under 50% he was at 39/47 in Jan 2018



GA and LA are Runoffs if  no one gets 50%

[MillennialModerate]

Abrams has done amazing work for us.

But as a canidate she can’t win. Period.

With that said I won’t be crushed if Kemp wins. Cause it’ll still be an FU to Trump.

If Perdue wins…. Yuck.

Any primary polling for the GOP?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abrams has done amazing work for us.

But as a canidate she can’t win. Period.

With that said I won’t be crushed if Kemp wins. Cause it’ll still be an FU to Trump.

If Perdue wins…. Yuck.

Any primary polling for the GOP?

Lol stop dooming its a runoff and if no one gets 50% she gets into runoff you said the samething about GA last time and you were wrong

[Cyrusman]

Abrams has done amazing work for us.

But as a canidate she can’t win. Period.

With that said I won’t be crushed if Kemp wins. Cause it’ll still be an FU to Trump.

If Perdue wins…. Yuck.

Any primary polling for the GOP?

Why can’t she win as a candidate?