VA-Trafalgar: Tie (user search)
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June 05, 2024, 04:23:12 PM
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  2023 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  VA-Trafalgar: Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Trafalgar: Tie  (Read 1102 times)
kwabbit
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,962


« on: September 01, 2021, 12:43:40 PM »

Doesn't fivethirtyeight ban their polls?  This site should too.

538 upgraded them after 2020 given their relatively accuracy. They are now an A-. Their polls are suspect, but they have a decent record of success at this point. Some huge misses in the Sunbelt in 2018, but they were closer than most of the gold-standard firms in most other regions 2016-2020. I assume their success will dry up if gold-standards ever stop underestimating the GOP, because it often seems that they use ad-hoc adjustments to give good results to Republicans.
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