Biden continues not to be in good polling shape in the swing states.
If this means he'll go down Hillary-style there, or wins by good mobilisation of his voters due to a close race --- who knows ?
C'mon man, you're an Atlas poster. You should know how Nevada polling works. Rasmussen of all posters showing a Biden lead in Nevada is an impressive result.
I still rate the chances of Trump being re-elected as enormously intact.
After the Senate confirms ACB in a straight-ticket vote ("the chance of a lifetime"), all the hordes of Evangelicals and Catholibans in the US will come out in droves to "thank" Trump at the ballot box.
I'm almost sure that the polls are wrong this time, because the above-mentioned groups don't tell their true intentions about Trump to pollsters.
Lol those people are already Trump cultists. There is absolutely no evidence of a shy Trump effect. At this point, given how much people worry about polls overestimating Trump, it is a very real possibility that they underestimate Biden instead.
I know many in NYC who are shy voters because of the stigma and backlash. I met a couple from Ohio who moved here and whispered that they never met anyone who was voting for trump in the city - i am a shy trump voter if people ask i say im undecided and waiting for the debates
Do you say the same to a pollster on the phone though? They shouldn't be able to figure out your identity and make you suffer social consequences for your vote.
It's not like the social consequences i care about - it's just i prefer to be private so i would normally just say undecided if i ever got polled (never happened to me though yet in my lifetime) many trump supporters that are in their 20s are kind of low key about it that i know - they aren't over the top and shouting they love trump like a lot of people in the forum and media like to claim... maybe it's because it's a blue state (NJ/NY) who knows.