UK Local Elections 2022 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 13, 2024, 07:17:24 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK Local Elections 2022 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: UK Local Elections 2022  (Read 15898 times)
TheTide
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,885
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P P
« on: May 05, 2022, 10:18:07 PM »

Labour's gains in the likes of Dudley will be ignored by the media in favour of its gains in London. Which will then be followed by the usual stuff about how Labour is an out of touch metropolitan party. So predictable.
Logged
TheTide
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,885
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2022, 10:33:12 PM »

Labour's gains in the likes of Dudley will be ignored by the media in favour of its gains in London. Which will then be followed by the usual stuff about how Labour is an out of touch metropolitan party. So predictable.

I mean there is a numeric reason right now in addition to the geographic one. Labour +2 in Dudley, whereas it's looking like say +6 at least right now in Southampton, +3 in Hillingdon, +5 in Barnet, and +8 in Wandsworth.

There is also the signal and noise phenomenon. The Black Country was one of those areas where Labour fell backwards hard in 2019 and 2021, so just holding the 2018 map from when they we still decent in these types of areas is a clear victory. But it doesn't look like a victory.

Gaining two in Dudley is proportionally equivalent to gaining about five in Wandsworth, given the number of seats being contested.
Logged
TheTide
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,885
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2022, 12:00:33 PM »

Tower Hamlets news is grim, even if not totally unexpected.

Was he helped by the 340% turnout?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 12 queries.