Marquette: Johnson +6

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Ron Jon literal electoral titan.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

One hell of a likely voter screen, race is tied among RV's.

I have said it before so this is not just unskewing a poll to fit my liking but I think RV polls give a better view of the state of the race. A bad LV screen makes for a bad poll.

RV polls give a better view on the race on the basis of what..

Wishcasting ?

I mean we consider the typical WI polling error in recent years.. this could be even worse for Barnes.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

One hell of a likely voter screen, race is tied among RV's.

I have said it before so this is not just unskewing a poll to fit my liking but I think RV polls give a better view of the state of the race. A bad LV screen makes for a bad poll.

RV polls give a better view on the race on the basis of what..

Wishcasting ?

Actually, the opposite. LV screens, especially in an environment like this, can be screwy. People who say they "definitely will vote" as opposed to "certain to vote" can be factored out very quickly. Can't rely on them 100%, but they still are more likely to vote than not. Better to just have the entire RV sample than try and say who will and won't vote.

This is why young voters - who yes, are unreliable - are likely getting cycled out because they're more likely to put "definitely vote" instead of "certain", etc.

This late into a cycle.. obviously LV screens should be given more credence as we've seen time and again.

This isn't early 2022.