WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R > Safe R.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R > Safe R.

I wouldn't go that far, but Johnson is favored. If I had to guess, he will defeat Barnes by around mid-single digits this fall.

It's quite likely to be republican wave environment.. and contrary to some analysis, Johnson is a strong incumbent.. he outperformed trump in 16.

It's borderline Safe R.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R > Safe R.

I wouldn't go that far, but Johnson is favored. If I had to guess, he will defeat Barnes by around mid-single digits this fall.

It's quite likely to be republican wave environment.. and contrary to some analysis, Johnson is a strong incumbent.. he outperformed trump in 16.

It's borderline Safe R.

What happened between then and now

A Trump presidency where literally every senator was incredibly partisan.. and the first year of a significantly unpopular democratic incumbent.

You're not making the point you think you are.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R.. move on.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I'm not polling in this race but had lunch yesterday with a former colleague who is - said Johnson has apparently blown a "high single digits" lead from February and is now running even with both Barnes and Lasry.

Is this the same "colleague" who had Dolan leading in a Ohio tracker poll..

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I'm not polling in this race but had lunch yesterday with a former colleague who is - said Johnson has apparently blown a "high single digits" lead from February and is now running even with both Barnes and Lasry.

Is this the same "colleague" who had Dolan leading in a Ohio tracker poll..

Can y'all just be nice and respectful that we have an actual pollster here to give us some insights instead of giving them attitude?

It's a legitimate question.. I make no apologies in that I express skepticism in data from wholly anonymous sources.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/DanielBice/status/1580661289784733696?t=wJokaoTpYE9Sr0SH6kA6...

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/yesh222/status/1582763358700249088?t=qPr4eA3lvV-SS4d6qQt3Hw&...