My prediction
P.C 25
Liberal 18
Green 5
PanB 1
The P.Cs 'having' to drop their candidate in Victoria-La Vallee costs them a riding.
From a center-right perspective, was the dropped candidate's transphobic comment actually bad or was it the sort of statement 80% of NB's electorate would agree with? I'd like to assume it must have been pretty heinous for a center-right party in a non-metropolitan province to drop him, but....
I have no idea what others think of it, but you can see the meme he tweeted here:
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/roland-michaud-provincial-election-1.5719457As the article says, he blamed his past sexual abuse for misunderstanding what he was tweeting. I really have no idea, but there was a close result in this riding in 2018, and I think if people wanted to vote for the P.Cs in that riding his explanation might have been acceptable for people who felt a need to rationalize voting for him, and I'm sure a lot of other people simply wouldn't have cared all that much, one way or the other.
Given the polling, had he not tweeted this meme, he obviously would have remained the P.C candidate and he very likely would have won.
