First swing states only have meaning if the national popular vote is close
% between the candidates. Looking ahead, I think this is highly likely for 2008.
Barring a state favorite son, there will be fewer swing states in 2008.
Gone are WA, OR, MI, ME all too Democratic to swing.
Gone are MO, LA, AR, TN, WV, VA, NC, FL all too Republican to swing.
PA and MN don't matter, if they go Republican its a blow out Republican victory, if they stay Democratic, they aren't needed for a Republican to win.
That leaves OH, IA, WI in the midwest, NV, NM, CO in the southwest, and maybe NH in New England.
Who ever gets 39 out of their 60 EVs from these 7 states wins.
