2020 Redistricting in Arizona (user search)
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  2020 Redistricting in Arizona (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Redistricting in Arizona  (Read 24550 times)
compucomp
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« on: December 10, 2021, 07:19:33 PM »



538 makes it look like a super GOP gerrymander.

Is there a DRA link for this? Just as they always do, Democrats are just whining about how everything is supposedly so unfair and rigged against them. But I bet at least four, maybe even five, districts voted to the left of the state.

538 calculates the deviation of the median district from the whole state and for this map it's 0. The efficiency gap is also calculated and it is D+2. 538 uses data from multiple elections to calculate their partisan lean so for a traditionally R but D trending state like AZ, districts will appear more R than they were in the 2020 Presidential election. Yes this means in 2022 Republicans are favored on this map and could win 7-2 but if the D trend continues several districts could flip and Dems could win 6-3.
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