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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 178028 times)
Alcibiades
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Posts: 3,916
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Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

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« on: December 31, 2020, 07:35:58 AM »

If each state swung like the strongest D swing for Biden. Added lots of extra data for hovering over.



So, each state swings the same as its strongest county swing in real life? Also, a minor point, I think Cook, MN swung so much because it’s vacation country and full of liberal retirees, and is actually ancestrally Republican.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,916
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2021, 05:53:37 PM »


Oof, didn’t think about that.

Eugene McCarthy maybe? They were both against the Vietnam War. I don’t know how much that would’ve helped or hurt them. Though maybe if the JFK nostalgia was still strong then he could probably pull it off, or maybe the average voters back then would’ve saw both of them as too far left.

The only way Kennedy wins Maine (with >50% to boot) is if he picks Ed Muskie as running mate. It would not have gone to Humphrey in real life otherwise, as the comparison to nearby Vermont and New Hampshire, which had a pretty similar electoral history, shows.

I agree Humphrey would probably have narrowly lost Maine without Muskie, but a win wouldn’t have been impossible. Maine was the most Democratic of the trio of Upper New England states in every election from 1964-1980 inclusive (very nearly voting for Carter twice), and Humphrey did very well in New England that election.
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