Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,209
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« on: September 03, 2021, 12:17:46 AM » |
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« edited: September 03, 2021, 05:25:54 AM by Chips »
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I agree with brucejoel99 in that you can look at it and plausibly conclude that Trump won in 2016.
The conclusion I would've made in 2010-2011 if I had seen this was that Obama wins in 2012 and then has a disaster of a second term and then Trump wins in the anger of the moment in 2016 with Trump then having a rather poor presidency as well and loses to the relatively safe candidate Biden. Trends cause Georgia and Arizona to flip while Trump keeps Iowa and Ohio. If I had seen this in 2010, I probably would've concluded Trump won through a combination of Indiana, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota as well as both Nebraska-2 and Maine-2 in 2016.
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