Really interested in hearing the theory about those last three. The Hispanic vote in those three states is relatively small, but it is not like North Texas tejanos who been in the country for Generations and are far more white redneck in culture than Latino. From what I understand of those Mountain States, the small Hispanic population is relatively new and heavily democratic. It's again just too small to have much impact on elections (yet)
If reagente's 2016 estimates are of any utility I'd say that Idaho, Montana and Wyoming are at least as likely as Florida.
I guess there is also an outside chance for New Mexico.
reagente's map had Trump losing the non-White vote in Montana and Idaho by like less than 20 points and in Wyoming by less than 10 points if I recall correctly.
Also judging by historical percentage of Hispanic inhabitants, Hispanics in Montana and Wyoming seem to be pretty long-standing.
