Did the majority of Trump general election voters vote for Reagan in 1980 and 1984? (user search)
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  Did the majority of Trump general election voters vote for Reagan in 1980 and 1984? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did the majority of Trump general election voters vote for Reagan in 1980 and 1984?  (Read 2401 times)
Battista Minola 1616
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E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« on: June 23, 2020, 10:08:08 AM »

A more interesting question is how many Clinton voters who are old enough to have voted in 1984 voted for Reagan. My guess is not a majority but still a very sizable number.
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,452
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2020, 04:58:10 AM »

A more interesting question is how many Clinton voters who are old enough to have voted in 1984 voted for Reagan. My guess is not a majority but still a very sizable number.

We have at least two such posters here on the Atlas Forum who fit into this category: mollybecky and GeorgiaModerate. mollybecky openly stated that they voted for Reagan in 1984, and GeorgiaModerate, I'm pretty certain, was a Republican for decades before becoming an independent and subsequently, a Democrat. Conversely, we have a Trump voter here who did not vote for Reagan: Fuzzy Bear. He has said that he abstained in 1980 and voted for Mondale in 1984.

Wow I'm fairly shocked that there are three posters born in the early 60's or so! They are all older than my parents
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,452
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2020, 01:16:15 PM »

I bet there are definitely a lot of voters who backed Jimmy Carter and Walter Mondale in 1980 and 1984 but voted for Donald Trump in 2016 in West Virginia, Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Tennessee, and parts of Ohio and Wisconsin. Conversely, there also exists an even higher number of Ronald Reagan 1980/1984 voters and Hillary Clinton 2016 voters in California, Texas, Arizona, Georgia, Virginia, New Jersey, parts of New England, and many other states. Honestly, I would probably guess that most Ronald Reagan 1980/1984 voters went for Hillary Clinton in 2016, whereas most Jimmy Carter 1980/Walter Mondale 1984 voters went for Donald Trump.

That feels wrong, especially regarding 1984.
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,452
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2020, 05:41:00 AM »

A more interesting question is how many Clinton voters who are old enough to have voted in 1984 voted for Reagan. My guess is not a majority but still a very sizable number.

We have at least two such posters here on the Atlas Forum who fit into this category: mollybecky and GeorgiaModerate. mollybecky openly stated that they voted for Reagan in 1984, and GeorgiaModerate, I'm pretty certain, was a Republican for decades before becoming an independent and subsequently, a Democrat. Conversely, we have a Trump voter here who did not vote for Reagan: Fuzzy Bear. He has said that he abstained in 1980 and voted for Mondale in 1984.

Wow I'm fairly shocked that there are three posters born in the early 60's or so! They are all older than my parents

GeorgiaModerate and Fuzzy Bear, in fact, were born in the 1950s (I don't know about mollybecky). Two of this site's moderators (muon2 and Torie), who haven't been active as much recently, were also born in the 1950s. These four Baby Boomers are probably the oldest posters on this website, which tends to skew young overall.

Iirc the oldest poster overall (though he is not all that active) is Arkansas Yankee who is like 75 or something like that (not to be confused with NC Yankee who is a radically different poster and way way younger than 75 Tongue )

But yeah they are exceptions as Atlas skews young for obvious reasons.

Wow that's something. My grandparents are all around that age and I think that only 1 out of the 4 of them would be able to use a forum like this.

By the way I have just checked Arkansas Yankee's profile and he sounds like a living proof of the age gap in voting preferences. (like Fuzzy Bear)
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