Bold Predictions for November (user search)
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  Bold Predictions for November (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bold Predictions for November  (Read 11979 times)
Kuumo
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Posts: 2,080


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« on: October 21, 2020, 05:38:14 PM »

NM will vote to the right of VA/CO.


Welcome to the forum! I'm glad you're not afraid to make bold predictions.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,080


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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 04:36:33 PM »

Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina vote within 1 percent of each other in terms of margin.

NE-02 votes more than 10 points to the left of ME-02.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,080


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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 06:23:16 PM »

Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina vote within 1 percent of each other in terms of margin.

NE-02 votes more than 10 points to the left of ME-02.
Is that really bold though? It was only 1 point away from happening in 2016 and trends will continue this year again too.

Some people on Atlas seem to think that Biden will win Maine by double digits, and ME-02 will snap back somewhat from 2016. Among the "trends are usually real" group though, this is basically the consensus. I tried to pick things that I was confident would happen, which made it hard to get truly bold predictions, since my predictions tend to be near the Atlas median.
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