MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC (user search)
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May 31, 2024, 04:34:45 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC  (Read 36728 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« on: October 13, 2020, 09:55:29 AM »
« edited: August 02, 2022, 05:41:43 AM by Brittain33 »
https://www.dropbox.com/s/8k0pvsrbbzcy8p6/slu-poll-october2020-toplineresults.pdf?dl=0
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2021, 06:40:42 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 08, 2021, 12:09:55 PM
Miles should come on here and explain that decision.



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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2021, 12:36:24 PM »
« Edited: March 12, 2021, 01:55:08 PM by VXR »
I doubt Ann Wagner is even going to run, let alone win the primary. She’s all but guaranteed to be shored up (it’s super easy), so she might want to stay in the House. Plus the MO GOP electorate is has become Trumpier, and given her adverse geographical base and past comments about Trump, I’m not convinced she can pull it off*.

*Of course she could win a very divided field, but still unlikely IMO.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2021, 04:45:45 PM »
« Edited: August 04, 2021, 04:49:25 PM by VARep »

As shown here, it’s incredibly easy to shore up Ann Wagner without drawing ugly lines and/or endangering nearby GOP-held seats. This is basically guaranteed to happen (even if Republicans decide not to crack Kansas City), and Wagner knows this. So let’s please stop paying attention to NYE’s nonsense.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2021, 01:28:02 AM »
Quote from: MarkD on August 04, 2021, 09:56:10 PM
I wonder if a map like that is really what very many Missouri legislators are interested in adopting next year?

Probably (unless they want Democrats to flip the seat.)
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