Hi everyone. This is my first post on this forum after around a decade (or so?) of being a lurker. Seriously.
Anyway, I got bored the other day and came up with a Uniform Swing (UNS) calculator for the 2020 us presidential election. It isn't meant to be perfect, or necessarily a predictor, but its useful to be able to check polls against a UNS and see which states fall at different polling levels.
So with Biden 55, Trump 41 UNS gives:
Biden 413, Trump 125
Closest states:
Alaska - Trump +4
Iowa - Biden +2
Texas - Biden +3
Ohio - Biden +4
On UNS, shouldn't SC and ME-02 be between IA and AK?
Yes you are right!
Maine 02 - Biden +1
South Carolina - Trump +2