CNN/SSRS: Biden + 14%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/08/politics/cnn-poll-trump-biden-chaotic-week/index.html

Biden 55%
Trump 41%

1125 registered voters
MoE 3.6%
Sampling dates: June 2-5

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

We’re witnessing something crazy this cycle

[America Needs R'hllor]

NUT!!!!!!

[JerryArkansas]

Yeah at this point he's up around 10 in the average.  Of course throw it in the pile, but I do love seeing it. 

[wbrocks67]

This might *actually* be a breaking point where we don't have to say "nothing matters" anymore. Who knows if Biden is up this much, but it's clear *right now*, people do not want Trump to get re-elected.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'm confused. Is this the protests bump or the job numbers bump?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

It's time to start shifting a few safe R states into the likely R column, if you think any of them are capable of cracking. For my part, I'll suggest Alaska. I was tempted to add Missouri and Montana, but this could be something of a fluke.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I'm confused. Is this the protests bump or the job numbers bump?

When his numbers are down but you know Trump's going to be fine because millions of conservatives are lying about voting for Biden instead of Trump specifically to own the libs in November.

[Brittain33]

Well, this would explain Trump being down in Texas in his internal polling.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wonder what SN will say about this one, in a few hrs, this is funny polls, that corrupt Trump is now down by 15

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

With 42% calling race relations extremely important to their vote for president this fall, the issue now stands on par with the economy and health care near the top of campaign issues.

[Podgy the Bear]

I wonder what SN will say about this one, in a few hrs, this is funny polls, that corrupt Trump is now down by 15

Really, this board needs to stop worrying about what SN thinks. 

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/06/08/rel6a.-.race.and.2020.pdf

Full results above.

Biden 55%
Trump 41%
Neither 2%
Other 1%
No opinion 2%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Not to be pessimistic here but the same is way too democratic friendly.

32-25-44 D-R-I sample

[wbrocks67]

Not to be pessimistic here but the same is way too democratic friendly.

32-25-44 D-R-I sample

Can't really say that when we don't know how the Indies lean. If anything, on it's face, it's way too Indie-dependent. But we don't know how they lean.

[BobbieMac]

Hi everyone. This is my first post on this forum after around a decade (or so?) of being a lurker. Seriously.

Anyway, I got bored the other day and came up with a Uniform Swing (UNS) calculator for the 2020 us presidential election. It isn't meant to be perfect, or necessarily a predictor, but its useful to be able to check polls against a UNS and see which states fall at different polling levels.

So with Biden 55, Trump 41 UNS gives:

Biden 413, Trump 125

Closest states:

Alaska - Trump +4
Iowa - Biden +2
Texas - Biden +3
Ohio - Biden +4

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hi everyone. This is my first post on this forum after around a decade (or so?) of being a lurker. Seriously.

Anyway, I got bored the other day and came up with a Uniform Swing (UNS) calculator for the 2020 us presidential election. It isn't meant to be perfect, or necessarily a predictor, but its useful to be able to check polls against a UNS and see which states fall at different polling levels.

So with Biden 55, Trump 41 UNS gives:

Biden 413, Trump 125

Closest states:

Alaska - Trump +4
Iowa - Biden +2
Texas - Biden +3
Ohio - Biden +4

On UNS, shouldn't SC and ME-02 be between IA and AK?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Not to be pessimistic here but the same is way too democratic friendly.

32-25-44 D-R-I sample

Can't really say that when we don't know how the Indies lean. If anything, on it's face, it's way too Indie-dependent. But we don't know how they lean.

Independents go for Biden 52-41

[_]

Just wait til Trump goes nuclear on Biden

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Just wait til Trump goes nuclear on Biden

Tfw he orders an open-air nuclear test to boost his polling numbers.

[wbrocks67]

Not to be pessimistic here but the same is way too democratic friendly.

32-25-44 D-R-I sample

Can't really say that when we don't know how the Indies lean. If anything, on it's face, it's way too Indie-dependent. But we don't know how they lean.

Independents go for Biden 52-41

Right, but they didn't know how they were going to lean originally. So what I'm saying is, you could argue a few different things in the composition of the poll. Even so, it's not like it doesn't align with other high quality pollsters giving Biden a double digit lead right now.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Hi everyone. This is my first post on this forum after around a decade (or so?) of being a lurker. Seriously.

Anyway, I got bored the other day and came up with a Uniform Swing (UNS) calculator for the 2020 us presidential election. It isn't meant to be perfect, or necessarily a predictor, but its useful to be able to check polls against a UNS and see which states fall at different polling levels.

So with Biden 55, Trump 41 UNS gives:

Biden 413, Trump 125

Closest states:

Alaska - Trump +4
Iowa - Biden +2
Texas - Biden +3
Ohio - Biden +4

Welcome!

[BobbieMac]

Hi everyone. This is my first post on this forum after around a decade (or so?) of being a lurker. Seriously.

Anyway, I got bored the other day and came up with a Uniform Swing (UNS) calculator for the 2020 us presidential election. It isn't meant to be perfect, or necessarily a predictor, but its useful to be able to check polls against a UNS and see which states fall at different polling levels.

So with Biden 55, Trump 41 UNS gives:

Biden 413, Trump 125

Closest states:

Alaska - Trump +4
Iowa - Biden +2
Texas - Biden +3
Ohio - Biden +4

On UNS, shouldn't SC and ME-02 be between IA and AK?

Yes you are right!

Maine 02 - Biden +1
South Carolina - Trump +2

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Such a big, beautiful poll. Tremendous, with the polling they're doing, it's very special. Everyone goes to vote, and boom, no more Trump. It's like magic. Ask anyone, they'll tell you. Big league losing. You're gonna be sick of all the losing, it's true.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Well this is decidedly NOT good for Trump