Vice President Kamala Harris vs. Nikki Haley

[Bickle]

Haley would win but by less than Hawley, DeSantis or even maybe Trump against Harris. Haley's problem is that she will struggle to get the Trump base. She would end up getting most of it but I think she would lose 5 or 10% of it.

PV predictions for 2024:
Haley 48% Harris 48.5%
Hawley 50% Harris 47%
DeSantis 51% Harris 47.5%
Trump 49.5% Harris 48.5%

LOL, DeSantis is a dweeb.  He wouldn't even make it out of a GOP primary.  And Hawley is a fake Populist that's too polished to appeal to the Trump base.  Haley is too "normal" for today's GOP.

Carlson would have the best shot, besides Trump himself.  Though after questioning Powell Carlson has hurt his standing with the MAGA crowd.

[Bickle]

I don't see how republicans will win the PV unless they run up the score in red states and keep it close in Blue states.

Also Lol at the people who think the suburbs will go back to magically voting R once Trump leaves

No but the dems overperformed in the suburbs in 2020. There will be movement back in 2024. GOP can win the PV by running up the south, getting to 35 36% in CA, winning the Midwest big 3 states by 3-4% (MI, WI, PA) and increasing with Hispanics: winning Arizona, Nevada and getting close in New Mexico.

GOP's gains with hispanics are overrated.  Biden still crushed him by 30+.  Hispanics always tend to vote for the incumbent president at a higher level than the first time.  They voted for Bush at a very high clip in 2004, that was all but wiped out by Obama.  If Biden is successful, especially with immigration reform, Dems could easily win back some hispanic support they lost.

[Bickle]

I don't see how republicans will win the PV unless they run up the score in red states and keep it close in Blue states.

Also Lol at the people who think the suburbs will go back to magically voting R once Trump leaves

No but the dems overperformed in the suburbs in 2020. There will be movement back in 2024. GOP can win the PV by running up the south, getting to 35 36% in CA, winning the Midwest big 3 states by 3-4% (MI, WI, PA) and increasing with Hispanics: winning Arizona, Nevada and getting close in New Mexico.

GOP's gains with hispanics are overrated.  Biden still crushed him by 30+.  Hispanics always tend to vote for the incumbent president at a higher level than the first time.  They voted for Bush at a very high clip in 2004, that was all but wiped out by Obama.  If Biden is successful, especially with immigration reform, Dems could easily win back some hispanic support they lost.

We'll see. Dems wokeness is hurting them with hispanics and AAs.

Has it?  Or did Trump benefit from being an incumbent like Dubya did?

you should be more worried about those working class whites who gave Biden the election.