True, our list should include at least 10 D flips if the Republican candidates are weak.
1. IA (duh)
2. WI (ONLY if Johnson runs, otherwise it’s Titanium R)
3. OH (with Ryan)
4. PA (with Fetterman, otherwise it’s Likely/Safe R)
5. MO
6. IN
7. KY
8. KS
9. AL
10. SC
(11/12 if Steil/Gallagher run and Fetterman isn’t the nominee are ND and OK)
Solid list, the only thing I take issue with here is LA not being #2 if JBE runs (it’s #19 if he doesn’t). Democrats don’t really have a candidate of his caliber waiting in the wings in WI.
Control of the Senate probably comes down entirely to whether JBE runs or not tbh
John Kennedy spends his days furiously refreshing The Cook Political Report to see any developments on whether or not JBE may run. If he does, he has a pre-written retirement speech ready.
Let’s be real folks, with JBE LA is safer than IA. The real question would be if Republicans could keep La Salle within single digits.
